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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 3–0 Final New York RangersNYR

Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 102 3 31
New York RangersNYR 000 0 25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
19:28 PIT Justin Brazeau (1) Evgeni Malkin (1) · backhand xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
17:48 PIT Justin Brazeau (2)EN Evgeni Malkin (2), Anthony Mantha (1) · wrist xG 0.91 2–0 ▶
18:08 PIT Blake Lizotte (1)EN Ryan Shea (1), Connor Dewar (1) · wrist xG 0.49 3–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 58%Deserve to win42% NYR
PITNYR
3.51Expected goals1.71
3Goals (no shootout)0
2.10Expected goals, 5 on 51.47
61Shot attempts60
41Unblocked attempts38
31Shots on goal25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:37 NYR Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Shesterkin, down 1–0
With 2:23 left; PIT scored at 17:48 of the 3rd (2–0)

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Sidney Crosby: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 0:21) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:22) Sidney Crosby: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:41) Harrison Brunicke: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:46) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:44) Rickard Rakell: backhand, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:00) Adam Fox: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:20) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 4:27) Adam Edstrom: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:40) Erik Karlsson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:59) Will Borgen: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:27) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:05) Urho Vaakanainen: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:47) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:48) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:05) Conor Sheary: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:24) Braden Schneider: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:03) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:36) J.T. Miller: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:08) Taylor Raddysh: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:30) Justin Brazeau: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:16) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:17) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:41) Mika Zibanejad: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:47) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:59) Evgeni Malkin: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:20) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:22) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:16) Will Borgen: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:44) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:45) Noel Acciari: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:17) Sam Carrick: slap, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:28) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:13) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:10) Urho Vaakanainen: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:50) Tommy Novak: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:43) Adam Fox: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:10) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:56) Ville Koivunen: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 14:17) Connor Dewar: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:45) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:24) Taylor Raddysh: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:28) Conor Sheary: wrist, 163 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:03) Will Cuylle: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:18) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 17:48) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:49) Will Cuylle: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:51) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:45) Artemi Panarin: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:05) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:36) Taylor Raddysh: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:05) Artemi Panarin: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:47) Ryan Shea: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:46) Kris Letang: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:50) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:51) Justin Brazeau: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:52) Anthony Mantha: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:04) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:10) Harrison Brunicke: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:52) Justin Brazeau: tip-in, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:21) Caleb Jones: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:21) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:36) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:10) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:02) J.T. Miller: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 9:43) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:00) Ben Kindel: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:33) Rickard Rakell: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:58) Carson Soucy: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:43) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:44) Caleb Jones: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:19) Noel Acciari: backhand, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:29) Anthony Mantha: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:08) Blake Lizotte: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:25) Mika Zibanejad: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:48) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:17) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:28) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.91 (P3 17:48) Blake Lizotte: GOAL, wrist, 140 ft, xG 0.49 (P3 18:08)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
87 Sidney Crosby 000 0 30.16 1017:49
71 Evgeni Malkin 022 +2 30.04 0116:28
67 Rickard Rakell 000 0 60.13 0215:57
39 Anthony Mantha 011 +2 50.20 3115:41
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 20.12 0115:11
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 30.18 0114:31
19 Connor Dewar 011 +1 30.09 4214:11
46 Blake Lizotte 101 +1 40.68 0013:55
52 Noel Acciari 000 +1 20.03 4113:40
16 Justin Brazeau 202 +2 81.41 4012:49
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 10.04 1112:08
Defense
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 0 20.00 2123:15
58 Kris Letang 000 +3 20.01 1122:47
6 Ryan Shea 011 +2 20.01 0322:31
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +1 60.15 0220:33
82 Caleb Jones 000 0 30.03 2115:36
45 Harrison Brunicke 000 0 20.01 0215:21
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 25025 1.000 1.71 +1.71

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
10 Artemi Panarin 000 -3 40.18 0020:47
16 Vincent Trocheck 000 -3 20.00 1120:32
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -2 120.56 2120:04
50 Will Cuylle 000 0 60.07 8119:26
10 J.T. Miller 000 -2 20.15 1118:18
13 Alexis Lafrenière 000 -3 60.27 3015:59
42 Noah Laba 000 0 10.00 1113:40
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 0 30.18 3113:07
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 30.16 0212:42
10 Sam Carrick 000 0 10.00 0010:01
73 Matt Rempe 000 0 10.00 2009:27
84 Adam Edstrom 000 0 10.02 6008:32
Defense
23 Adam Fox 000 -2 50.03 2122:25
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 000 0 10.00 1120:50
7 Carson Soucy 000 0 20.03 1318:59
4 Braden Schneider 000 -1 20.02 0118:06
17 Will Borgen 000 0 30.02 2317:53
18 Urho Vaakanainen 000 -1 50.02 1017:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 29128 .966 2.10 +1.10

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
16 Justin Brazeau R +2.80 +1.50 +0.91 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:49
71 Evgeni Malkin C +2.14 +1.40 +0.03 +0.74 0.00 -0.05 +0.03 — 16:28
37 Arturs Silovs G +1.71 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.71 60:00
39 Anthony Mantha R +1.40 +0.55 +0.13 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:41
46 Blake Lizotte C +1.36 +0.75 +0.44 +0.16 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 13:55
5 Ryan Shea D +1.15 +0.70 +0.01 +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 22:31
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.81 0.00 +0.10 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 20:33
19 Connor Dewar C +0.77 +0.55 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:11
58 Kris Letang D +0.59 0.00 +0.01 +0.72 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 22:47
81 Ben Kindel C +0.42 0.00 +0.08 +0.28 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 15:11
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.32 0.00 +0.10 +0.08 +0.15 +0.02 -0.04 — 17:49
55 Noel Acciari C +0.31 0.00 +0.02 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:40
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.23 0.00 +0.09 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:57
41 Ville Koivunen R +0.17 0.00 +0.12 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 14:31
53 Philip Tomasino R +0.12 0.00 +0.13 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:37
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 23:15
18 Tommy Novak C +0.02 0.00 +0.03 -0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 12:08
82 Caleb Jones D -0.06 0.00 +0.02 -0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:36
45 Harrison Brunicke D -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 15:21

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G +1.10 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.10 59:37
14 Taylor Raddysh R +0.34 0.00 +0.11 +0.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 13:07
93 Mika Zibanejad C +0.28 0.00 +0.36 -0.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 20:04
42 Noah Laba C +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.21 0.00 +0.03 +0.01 — 13:40
18 Urho Vaakanainen D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:35
4 Braden Schneider D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:06
17 Will Borgen D +0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:53
43 Conor Sheary L +0.10 0.00 +0.11 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:42
10 Artemi Panarin L -0.03 0.00 +0.12 -0.23 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:47
39 Sam Carrick C -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 10:01
50 Will Cuylle L -0.24 0.00 +0.04 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:26
73 Matt Rempe C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:27
84 Adam Edstrom C -0.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:32
24 Carson Soucy D -0.37 0.00 +0.02 -0.52 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:59
13 Alexis Lafrenière L -0.38 0.00 +0.18 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:59
8 J.T. Miller C -0.41 0.00 +0.10 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:18
16 Vincent Trocheck C -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:32
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D -0.68 0.00 0.00 -0.69 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 20:50
23 Adam Fox D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:25

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.