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NHL playoff odds, 2026-27

Updated Mon, Oct 19 at 5:30 AM. Rows follow the playoff format: each division's top three, then the wild-card race, with the red line at the cutoff. Finish columns are the share of simulated seasons ending in each place and add to 100. Hover a heading for its definition.

Odds: by team strength · every game 50/50

Eastern Conference

Record Goals Last 10 Proj Finish, % of seasons Odds, % Win % needed
Seed# Div Team GP W L OT Pts RW GF GA +/− Results W–L–OT PtsProj 1st 2nd 3rd WC Out Playoffs Day Final Cup 50% 95% Next
Atlantic
1 A Boston BruinsBOS 9 7 2 0 14 6 34 19 +15 7–2–0 110 33.9 24.4 16.2 13.8 11.8 88.2 +3.0 15.7 8.5 48 53 @ DAL Oct 20
2 A Tampa Bay LightningTBL 8 6 2 0 12 5 25 21 +4 6–2–0 110 33.4 23.4 16.3 14.2 12.7 87.3 +2.5 16.9 9.3 49 54 @ VGK Oct 20
3 A Ottawa SenatorsOTT 9 6 3 0 12 4 24 23 +1 6–3–0 101 11.4 15.7 18.2 22.2 32.5 67.5 -9.4 7.1 3.4 50 55 vs FLA Oct 21
Metropolitan
1 M Carolina HurricanesCAR 10 7 2 1 15 6 36 24 +12 7–2–1 112 55.9 21.5 10.9 4.2 7.5 92.5 +2.4 22.0 12.4 48 52 @ VAN Oct 20
2 M New York RangersNYR 10 6 3 1 13 6 28 22 +6 6–3–1 96 8.9 15.8 18.3 10.9 46.1 53.9 -6.3 3.8 1.5 50 55 vs ANA Oct 19
3 M Washington CapitalsWSH 8 5 3 0 10 5 28 24 +4 5–3–0 102 18.6 26.1 19.0 9.1 27.2 72.8 +5.7 8.5 4.0 50 54 vs LAK Oct 20
Wild Card
1 A Florida PanthersFLA 9 5 2 2 12 3 30 25 +5 5–2–2 96 5.4 9.3 12.7 21.4 51.3 48.7 +8.1 3.4 1.4 51 55 @ OTT Oct 21
2 A Buffalo SabresBUF 9 4 3 2 10 2 27 34 -7 4–3–2 98 7.5 12.2 15.2 23.1 42.0 58.0 -2.9 5.9 2.7 52 57 vs PHI Oct 21
M New York IslandersNYI 8 4 3 1 9 4 24 18 +6 4–3–1 94 7.1 13.2 16.0 10.8 52.9 47.1 +6.7 3.7 1.6 51 56 vs ANA Oct 20
A Montréal CanadiensMTL 8 4 3 1 9 1 27 30 -3 4–3–1 98 7.0 11.3 14.3 22.7 44.7 55.3 +7.0 5.3 2.4 52 57 vs SJS Oct 20
M New Jersey DevilsNJD 8 4 4 0 8 2 25 27 -2 4–4–0 90 3.3 7.8 11.7 9.4 67.8 32.2 -9.3 2.1 0.8 52 57 vs COL Oct 20
A Detroit Red WingsDET 8 3 3 2 8 2 20 24 -4 3–3–2 86 1.1 2.6 4.7 11.6 80.0 20.0 +2.0 1.1 0.4 53 58 @ SEA Oct 20
A Toronto Maple LeafsTOR 9 3 4 2 8 2 29 32 -3 3–4–2 82 0.4 1.2 2.4 6.8 89.4 10.6 -7.2 0.4 0.2 54 59 vs SJS Oct 19
M Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 9 3 5 1 7 1 29 33 -4 3–5–1 89 2.8 7.2 10.9 8.7 70.4 29.6 -8.4 2.0 0.8 54 58 @ UTA Oct 19
M Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 7 3 4 0 6 1 18 23 -5 3–4–0 89 3.0 7.0 10.5 8.3 71.2 28.8 +3.9 1.8 0.7 53 57 vs TOR Oct 20
M Philadelphia FlyersPHI 10 1 6 3 5 1 14 34 -20 1–6–3 78 0.3 1.3 2.8 2.7 92.9 7.1 +2.3 0.3 0.1 56 61 vs COL Oct 19

Western Conference

Record Goals Last 10 Proj Finish, % of seasons Odds, % Win % needed
Seed# Div Team GP W L OT Pts RW GF GA +/− Results W–L–OT PtsProj 1st 2nd 3rd WC Out Playoffs Day Final Cup 50% 95% Next
Central
1 C Minnesota WildMIN 9 6 2 1 13 6 28 21 +7 6–2–1 108 22.9 24.3 20.3 21.2 11.2 88.8 +2.1 12.8 6.4 47 52 @ EDM Oct 20
2 C Utah MammothUTA 9 6 3 0 12 6 33 27 +6 6–3–0 104 14.7 19.2 20.8 26.9 18.4 81.6 -5.1 9.8 4.7 48 54 vs PIT Oct 19
3 C Colorado AvalancheCOL 8 5 2 1 11 5 36 24 +12 5–2–1 114 43.2 24.2 15.3 12.0 5.4 94.6 +1.3 26.5 15.8 48 53 @ PHI Oct 19
Pacific
1 P Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 10 8 2 0 16 6 42 24 +18 8–2–0 107 39.3 28.6 16.9 4.7 10.5 89.5 +5.1 12.4 5.9 45 50 vs TBL Oct 20
2 P Edmonton OilersEDM 8 6 1 1 13 6 37 24 +13 6–1–1 106 38.5 28.0 17.1 4.7 11.7 88.3 +7.2 11.8 5.5 45 51 vs MIN Oct 20
3 P Seattle KrakenSEA 9 5 3 1 11 4 35 31 +4 5–3–1 93 7.1 13.9 20.6 10.1 48.4 51.6 -8.9 2.8 1.0 48 54 vs DET Oct 20
Wild Card
1 C Winnipeg JetsWPG 8 4 2 2 10 4 23 24 -1 4–2–2 92 2.3 5.1 9.2 25.1 58.3 41.7 -5.7 2.0 0.7 50 55 @ STL Oct 20
2 C Dallas StarsDAL 8 4 3 1 9 3 20 13 +7 4–3–1 105 14.3 20.3 21.0 26.0 18.4 81.6 +9.0 11.9 6.0 50 55 vs BOS Oct 20
C Nashville PredatorsNSH 8 3 2 3 9 3 23 24 -1 3–2–3 90 1.5 3.7 7.0 22.0 65.8 34.2 +9.2 1.5 0.6 51 57 @ BOS Oct 22
P San Jose SharksSJS 8 4 3 1 9 0 22 29 -7 4–3–1 89 4.0 9.1 15.2 8.9 62.9 37.1 -2.1 1.8 0.6 50 55 @ TOR Oct 19
P Anaheim DucksANA 7 4 3 0 8 3 22 21 +1 4–3–0 95 10.4 17.5 22.8 9.3 40.0 60.0 +2.5 4.6 1.8 49 54 @ NYR Oct 19
C St. Louis BluesSTL 8 3 4 1 7 3 27 28 -1 3–4–1 88 1.0 2.8 5.8 19.3 71.0 29.0 -8.2 1.4 0.5 52 58 vs WPG Oct 20
C Chicago BlackhawksCHI 9 3 6 0 6 2 21 36 -15 3–6–0 75 0.1 0.3 0.7 3.7 95.2 4.8 -2.8 0.1 <0.1 54 59 vs MTL Oct 23
P Vancouver CanucksVAN 10 2 7 1 5 1 30 45 -15 2–7–1 67 <0.1 0.2 0.8 0.6 98.4 1.6 -0.6 <0.1 <0.1 55 60 vs CAR Oct 20
P Calgary FlamesCGY 8 2 6 0 4 2 17 37 -20 2–6–0 74 0.2 1.0 2.7 2.4 93.7 6.3 +0.0 0.2 0.1 54 58 vs MIN Oct 22
P Los Angeles KingsLAK 6 0 4 2 2 0 12 25 -13 0–4–2 76 0.5 1.6 4.0 3.1 90.8 9.2 -2.9 0.3 0.1 53 58 @ WSH Oct 20

Today's results

Games that move playoff odds: the two teams, and any other team whose odds move by more than a point. Swing adds up how far each game moves those odds.

No impactful results so far today.

Yesterday's results

Final Swing 7.0 CBJ 1 @ MIN 2
Team Now Change
CBJ 28.8 -4.5
MIN 88.8 +2.5
Final Swing 4.8 CAR 2 @ CGY 3
Team Now Change
CAR 92.5 -2.6
CGY 6.3 +2.2

Today's games

7:00 PM Swing 29.8 ANA @ NYR
Team Now ANA win NYR win
NYR 53.9 -7.0 +5.7
ANA 60.0 +6.9 -5.7
SEA 51.6 -1.3 +1.1
SJS 37.1 -1.1 +0.9
7:00 PM Swing 8.2 COL @ PHI
Team Now COL win PHI win
PHI 7.1 -1.6 +3.1
COL 94.6 +1.2 -2.3
7:30 PM Swing 20.2 SJS @ TOR
Team Now SJS win TOR win
SJS 37.1 +6.1 -5.7
TOR 10.6 -3.2 +3.0
ANA 60.0 -1.1 +1.1
9:00 PM Swing 24.7 PIT @ UTA
Team Now PIT win UTA win
PIT 29.6 +7.1 -4.5
UTA 81.6 -5.3 +3.4
NYR 53.9 -1.5 +1.0
NYI 47.1 -1.2 +0.8

Playoff odds from a Monte Carlo simulation of the rest of the season. How it works