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NHL Playoff Probabilities

2026-27 Season — Updated Sun, Oct 04, 2026 at 7:18 PM

Eastern Conference

Team GP W L OTL PTS GF GA DIFF PO Last 10 Playoff Swing Div Conf Cup WPN% Next
Atlantic
Boston Bruins BOS Atlantic A1 3 2 1 0 4 8 7 +1 —
54.8% 3.9% 8.5% 2.6% 1.4% 55.5% vs OTT  (Oct 5)
Montréal Canadiens MTL Atlantic A2 2 1 0 1 3 8 8 0 —
44.9% 2.6% 5.6% 1.6% 0.7% 55.3% vs CAR  (Oct 6)
Florida Panthers FLA Atlantic A3 2 1 0 1 3 4 4 0 —
22.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 55.3% @ ANA  (Oct 4)
Metropolitan
New York Rangers NYR Metropolitan M1 3 2 1 0 4 7 4 +3 —
35.2% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.4% 55.5% vs UTA  (Oct 4)
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT Metropolitan M2 2 2 0 0 4 13 5 +8 —
54.3% 3.9% 5.7% 2.8% 1.0% 54.6% vs WPG  (Oct 5)
Carolina Hurricanes CAR Metropolitan M3 3 1 1 1 3 5 8 -3 —
76.3% 3.3% 14.8% 8.2% 3.9% 56.2% @ MTL  (Oct 6)
Wild Card
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL Atlantic WC1 2 1 1 0 2 4 6 -2 —
48.5% 2.2% 6.6% 1.9% 1.0% 56.0% vs PHI  (Oct 5)
Buffalo Sabres BUF Atlantic WC2 2 1 1 0 2 7 9 -2 —
59.9% 2.3% 10.6% 3.5% 1.8% 56.0% vs MIN  (Oct 6)
New York Islanders NYI Metropolitan 2 1 1 0 2 7 2 +5 —
91.8% 3.0% 38.4% 24.1% 9.8% 56.0% @ NYR  (Oct 6)
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ Metropolitan 2 1 1 0 2 7 7 0 —
58.4% 2.4% 6.8% 3.4% 1.6% 56.0% vs PIT  (Oct 9)
Washington Capitals WSH Metropolitan 2 1 1 0 2 6 5 +1 —
89.3% 4.1% 31.8% 19.5% 8.0% 56.0% vs PIT  (Oct 7)
Ottawa Senators OTT Atlantic 1 1 0 0 2 3 2 +1 —
14.0% 4.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 55.2% @ BOS  (Oct 5)
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR Atlantic 3 1 2 0 2 6 7 -1 —
47.6% 2.3% 6.2% 1.7% 1.1% 56.9% vs NSH  (Oct 6)
Philadelphia Flyers PHI Metropolitan 3 0 1 2 2 4 13 -9 —
2.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 56.9% @ TBL  (Oct 5)
New Jersey Devils NJD Metropolitan 2 1 1 0 2 3 8 -5 —
6.3% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 56.0% vs UTA  (Oct 6)
Detroit Red Wings DET Atlantic 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -2 2
93.9% 2.6% 59.9% 29.2% 15.9% 56.6% vs OTT  (Oct 6)

Western Conference

Team GP W L OTL PTS GF GA DIFF PO Last 10 Playoff Swing Div Conf Cup WPN% Next
Central
Colorado Avalanche COL Central C1 2 2 0 0 4 14 5 +9 —
71.1% 2.2% 11.2% 5.4% 2.0% 55.5% @ WPG  (Oct 7)
Minnesota Wild MIN Central C2 2 2 0 0 4 7 2 +5 —
58.0% 3.9% 6.1% 2.7% 1.1% 55.5% @ BUF  (Oct 6)
Utah Mammoth UTA Central C3 2 2 0 0 4 10 1 +9 —
58.4% 5.0% 6.4% 2.7% 1.0% 55.5% @ NYR  (Oct 4)
Pacific
Edmonton Oilers EDM Pacific P1 3 2 0 1 5 17 14 +3 —
41.0% 3.9% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5% 55.6% @ ANA  (Oct 7)
Vancouver Canucks VAN Pacific P2 3 2 1 0 4 17 15 +2 —
2.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 56.4% vs VGK  (Oct 4)
San Jose Sharks SJS Pacific P3 2 2 0 0 4 9 7 +2 —
13.1% 4.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 55.5% @ DAL  (Oct 5)
Wild Card
Vegas Golden Knights VGK Pacific WC1 2 1 1 0 2 8 6 +2 —
86.3% 3.9% 27.5% 12.6% 5.9% 56.9% @ VAN  (Oct 4)
Seattle Kraken SEA Pacific WC2 2 1 1 0 2 7 4 +3 —
77.3% 4.7% 16.3% 6.8% 3.3% 56.9% vs CGY  (Oct 4)
Anaheim Ducks ANA Pacific 1 1 0 0 2 4 3 +1 —
11.0% 3.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 56.0% vs FLA  (Oct 4)
Nashville Predators NSH Central 2 1 1 0 2 3 4 -1 —
9.2% 3.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 56.9% @ TOR  (Oct 6)
St. Louis Blues STL Central 2 1 1 0 2 5 6 -1 —
35.0% 2.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.4% 56.9% @ CHI  (Oct 6)
Los Angeles Kings LAK Pacific 2 0 1 1 1 8 13 -5 1
54.1% 3.9% 6.1% 2.0% 1.3% 57.6% vs FLA  (Oct 6)
Winnipeg Jets WPG Central 1 0 0 1 1 3 4 -1 1
5.9% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 56.7% @ PIT  (Oct 5)
Dallas Stars DAL Central 2 0 2 0 0 1 6 -5 2
92.9% 2.5% 39.9% 23.0% 12.6% 58.3% vs SJS  (Oct 5)
Chicago Blackhawks CHI Central 3 0 3 0 0 5 15 -10 2
91.2% 3.4% 33.9% 19.1% 12.2% 59.3% vs STL  (Oct 6)
Calgary Flames CGY Pacific 2 0 2 0 0 2 10 -8 2
93.5% 2.7% 46.0% 23.6% 13.0% 58.3% @ SEA  (Oct 4)

Projected First Round

Eastern Conference

CAR CAR NYI 18%CBJ 9%PIT 8%DET 7%
WSH WSH NYI 15%CBJ 13%PIT 12%NYR 7%
18%
NYI NYI CAR 18%WSH 15%PIT 12%NYR 8%
CBJ CBJ WSH 13%CAR 9%DET 8%PIT 5%
13%
DET DET BOS 10%TBL 9%TOR 9%MTL 9%
BUF BUF BOS 9%TBL 8%TOR 8%MTL 7%
10%
TBL TBL DET 9%BUF 8%TOR 6%MTL 5%
BOS BOS DET 10%BUF 9%TOR 6%MTL 6%
7%

Western Conference

VGK VGK CGY 14%LAK 13%EDM 9%COL 4%
SEA SEA CGY 18%LAK 10%EDM 7%DAL 4%
21%
COL COL DAL 17%MIN 8%UTA 8%CGY 6%
CHI CHI DAL 15%UTA 14%MIN 14%STL 8%
17%
DAL DAL COL 17%CHI 15%MIN 14%STL 8%
UTA UTA CHI 14%COL 8%CGY 6%MIN 5%
14%
LAK LAK VGK 13%SEA 10%DAL 4%CHI 4%
CGY CGY SEA 18%VGK 14%EDM 10%UTA 6%
13%

Big Games

Today's Results

No impactful results so far today.

Yesterday's Results

Oct 3, 19:00 PHI 2 - CAR 3 (OT) Swing: 1.2%
Team Current Impact
CAR CAR 76.3%
+1.0%
PHI PHI 2.0%
-0.2%
Oct 3, 19:00 PIT 6 - MTL 5 (OT) Swing: 7.9%
Team Current Impact
PIT PIT 54.3%
+4.2%
MTL MTL 44.9%
-3.6%
Oct 3, 19:00 CBJ 1 - UTA 4 Swing: 7.1%
Team Current Impact
UTA UTA 58.4%
+3.7%
CBJ CBJ 58.4%
-3.4%
Oct 3, 19:00 EDM 3 - SEA 1 Swing: 6.5%
Team Current Impact
SEA SEA 77.3%
-3.3%
EDM EDM 41.0%
+3.2%
Oct 3, 19:00 BUF 4 - CHI 3 Swing: 2.7%
Team Current Impact
CHI CHI 91.2%
-1.5%
BUF BUF 59.9%
+1.2%
Oct 3, 19:00 TBL 3 - WSH 1 Swing: 3.8%
Team Current Impact
WSH WSH 89.3%
-2.8%
TBL TBL 48.5%
+1.0%
Oct 3, 19:00 TOR 2 - OTT 3 Swing: 7.0%
Team Current Impact
OTT OTT 14.0%
+4.0%
TOR TOR 47.6%
-2.9%
Oct 3, 19:30 NYI 6 - NJD 0 Swing: 2.7%
Team Current Impact
NJD NJD 6.3%
-1.9%
NYI NYI 91.8%
+0.8%
Oct 3, 20:00 MIN 4 - BOS 1 Swing: 6.6%
Team Current Impact
BOS BOS 54.8%
-3.4%
MIN MIN 58.0%
+3.2%
Oct 3, 20:00 NSH 2 - DAL 1 Swing: 2.7%
Team Current Impact
DAL DAL 92.9%
-1.4%
NSH NSH 9.2%
+1.3%
Oct 3, 21:00 COL 6 - STL 1 Swing: 7.3%
Team Current Impact
COL COL 71.1%
+3.8%
STL STL 35.0%
-3.5%
Oct 3, 22:00 VAN 4 - CGY 1 Swing: 2.5%
Team Current Impact
CGY CGY 93.5%
-1.5%
VAN VAN 2.0%
+1.0%
Oct 3, 22:00 SJS 5 - LAK 4 (OT) Swing: 3.4%
Team Current Impact
SJS SJS 13.1%
+2.1%
LAK LAK 54.1%
-1.2%

Today's Games

Oct 4, 13:00 DET vs WPG Swing: 4.4%
Team Current If DET Wins If WPG Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
WPG WPG 5.9%
-0.8%
-0.5%
+1.8%
+1.2%
DET DET 93.9%
+0.6%
+0.4%
-1.3%
-0.9%
Oct 4, 18:00 NYR vs UTA Swing: 15.0%
Team Current If NYR Wins If UTA Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
UTA UTA 58.4%
-4.3%
-3.0%
+3.7%
+2.6%
NYR NYR 35.2%
+3.7%
+2.6%
-3.2%
-2.2%
Oct 4, 20:00 ANA vs FLA Swing: 9.4%
Team Current If ANA Wins If FLA Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
FLA FLA 22.8%
-2.7%
-1.9%
+3.2%
+2.2%
ANA ANA 11.0%
+1.6%
+1.1%
-2.0%
-1.4%
Oct 4, 20:00 SEA vs CGY Swing: 9.1%
Team Current If SEA Wins If CGY Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
SEA SEA 77.3%
+3.3%
+2.3%
-2.9%
-2.0%
CGY CGY 93.5%
-1.5%
-1.1%
+1.3%
+0.9%
Oct 4, 21:00 VAN vs VGK Swing: 5.4%
Team Current If VAN Wins If VGK Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
VGK VGK 86.3%
-3.2%
-2.2%
+1.3%
+0.9%
VAN VAN 2.0%
+0.7%
+0.5%
-0.3%
-0.2%