Colorado AvalancheCOL 4–1 Final Los Angeles KingsLAK

Tuesday, October 7, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Colorado AvalancheCOL	0	3	1	4	23
Los Angeles KingsLAK	0	0	1	1	25

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
0:48	COL	Martin Necas (1) Nathan MacKinnon (1), Artturi Lehkonen (1) · snap xG 0.15	1–0 ▶
7:00	COL	Sam Malinski (1) Unassisted · snap xG 0.01	2–0 ▶
14:42	COL	Artturi Lehkonen (1) Cale Makar (1), Nathan MacKinnon (2) · wrist xG 0.06	3–0 ▶
3rd Period
10:43	COL	Martin Necas (2)PP Cale Makar (2), Brock Nelson (1) · snap xG 0.10	4–0 ▶
15:06	LAK	Kevin Fiala (1)PP Adrian Kempe (1), Anze Kopitar (1) · wrist xG 0.08	4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

COL 40%Deserve to win60% LAK

COL		LAK
1.85	Expected goals	2.35
4	Goals (no shootout)	1
1.31	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.35
49	Shot attempts	66
33	Unblocked attempts	42
23	Shots on goal	25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:48	COL	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · COL takes the lead, 63–37% LAK had led since 5:41 of the 1st, by as much as 60%
3rd Period
10:43	LAK	Goalie	Goalie · Kuemper −2.3 goals saved 4 goals on 1.71 xG, 21 shots on goal
15:15	LAK	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Kuemper, down 4–1 With 4:45 left
16:54	LAK	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 61–39% COL had led since 0:48 of the 2nd, by as much as 68%

Shot map

COL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Colorado Avalanche

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
62	Artturi Lehkonen	1	1	2	+2	2	0.23	1	1	23:29
11	Brock Nelson	0	1	1	0	3	0.18	1	2	23:15
88	Martin Necas	2	0	2	+2	3	0.30	2	1	21:12
29	Nathan MacKinnon	0	2	2	+2	6	0.32	0	1	20:47
43	Valeri Nichushkin	0	0	0	0	5	0.19	1	1	14:41
18	Jack Drury	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	1	11:52
95	Victor Olofsson	0	0	0	0	2	0.05	1	0	11:23
79	Ross Colton	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	2	0	11:17
92	Gabriel Landeskog	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	1	0	11:12
17	Parker Kelly	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	4	10:58
22	Joel Kiviranta	0	0	0	+1	1	0.05	2	0	10:27
54	Gavin Brindley	0	0	0	+1	3	0.01	2	0	07:50
Defense
8	Cale Makar	0	2	2	+1	3	0.19	1	1	23:07
7	Devon Toews	0	0	0	+2	2	0.01	0	1	20:59
84	Brent Burns	0	0	0	+1	6	0.04	0	3	20:10
49	Samuel Girard	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	2	3	18:49
42	Josh Manson	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	6	1	17:38
70	Sam Malinski	1	0	1	+1	2	0.01	0	1	13:13

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Scott Wedgewood	25	1	24	.960	2.35	+1.35

Los Angeles Kings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
24	Phillip Danault	0	0	0	0	3	0.18	1	0	19:40
9	Adrian Kempe	0	1	1	0	7	0.13	5	1	19:09
55	Quinton Byfield	0	0	0	-2	7	0.30	3	0	18:00
11	Anze Kopitar	0	1	1	0	4	0.15	3	0	17:47
22	Kevin Fiala	1	0	1	-1	6	0.14	2	0	17:40
14	Alex Laferriere	0	0	0	-1	2	0.09	0	0	17:26
12	Trevor Moore	0	0	0	-1	4	0.09	1	0	15:17
62	Andrei Kuzmenko	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	4	2	14:46
37	Warren Foegele	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	1	0	14:27
40	Joel Armia	0	0	0	-1	5	0.16	1	1	13:29
15	Alex Turcotte	0	0	0	-1	2	0.44	0	1	07:09
39	Jeff Malott	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	3	0	06:13
Defense
8	Drew Doughty	0	0	0	-1	8	0.18	1	0	22:40
44	Mikey Anderson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.00	2	1	19:51
92	Brandt Clarke	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	0	2	19:03
2	Brian Dumoulin	0	0	0	-2	2	0.03	2	3	18:29
5	Cody Ceci	0	0	0	-2	3	0.02	1	2	16:35
6	Joel Edmundson	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	3	1	14:48

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Darcy Kuemper	23	4	19	.826	1.85	-2.15

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Colorado Avalanche

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
88 Martin Necas C	+2.04	+1.50	+0.20	+0.22	+0.15	+0.01	-0.03	—	21:12
8 Cale Makar D	+1.74	+1.40	+0.13	+0.33	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	23:07
62 Artturi Lehkonen L	+1.71	+1.30	+0.15	+0.10	+0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	23:29
29 Nathan MacKinnon C	+1.48	+1.25	+0.21	+0.22	-0.15	-0.01	-0.03	—	20:47
41 Scott Wedgewood G	+1.35	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.35	59:53
11 Brock Nelson C	+1.00	+0.55	+0.12	+0.33	0.00	-0.09	+0.10	—	23:15
7 Devon Toews D	+0.64	0.00	+0.01	+0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:59
70 Sam Malinski D	+0.61	+0.75	+0.01	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:13
92 Gabriel Landeskog L	+0.41	0.00	+0.09	+0.28	0.00	+0.03	0.00	—	11:12
13 Valeri Nichushkin R	+0.38	0.00	+0.13	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:41
20 Ross Colton C	+0.24	0.00	+0.06	+0.03	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	11:17
42 Josh Manson D	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:38
17 Parker Kelly C	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	10:58
54 Gavin Brindley C	+0.19	0.00	+0.01	+0.02	+0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	7:50
84 Brent Burns D	+0.17	0.00	+0.03	+0.14	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	20:10
95 Victor Olofsson L	+0.12	0.00	+0.03	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	11:23
94 Joel Kiviranta L	+0.07	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	10:27
18 Jack Drury C	-0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:52
49 Samuel Girard D	-0.34	0.00	+0.02	-0.51	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	18:49

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
15 Alex Turcotte C	+0.71	0.00	+0.28	+0.43	0.00	-0.03	+0.03	—	7:09
11 Anze Kopitar C	+0.69	+0.55	+0.09	+0.01	0.00	+0.09	-0.06	—	17:47
9 Adrian Kempe R	+0.54	+0.70	+0.08	-0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:09
92 Brandt Clarke D	+0.52	0.00	+0.06	+0.23	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	19:03
22 Kevin Fiala L	+0.35	+0.75	+0.09	-0.32	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	17:40
37 Warren Foegele L	+0.29	0.00	+0.04	+0.39	-0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	14:27
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L	+0.25	0.00	+0.09	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:46
12 Trevor Moore L	+0.23	0.00	+0.06	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:17
40 Joel Armia R	+0.16	0.00	+0.10	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:29
8 Drew Doughty D	-0.01	0.00	+0.12	-0.09	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	22:40
24 Phillip Danault C	-0.01	0.00	+0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:40
44 Mikey Anderson D	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:51
2 Brian Dumoulin D	-0.25	0.00	+0.02	-0.57	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	18:29
5 Cody Ceci D	-0.28	0.00	+0.01	-0.37	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:35
55 Quinton Byfield R	-0.30	0.00	+0.20	-0.66	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	18:00
6 Joel Edmundson D	-0.33	0.00	+0.02	-0.08	-0.30	0.00	+0.03	—	14:48
14 Alex Laferriere R	-0.36	0.00	+0.06	-0.37	0.00	-0.02	-0.04	—	17:26
39 Jeff Malott L	-0.38	0.00	+0.09	-0.32	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	6:13
35 Darcy Kuemper G	-2.15	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.15	57:26

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.