Los Angeles Kings
Pacific Division, Western Conference
Current Standings
| GP | W | L | OTL | PTS | GF | GA | DIFF | PTS % | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76 | 31 | 26 | 19 | 81 | 208 | 234 | -26 | 53.3% |
|
Playoff Probabilities
Based on 100,000 simulations run on Apr 07, 2026
Likely First-Round Opponents
| Opponent | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
Colorado Avalanche
|
23.6% | |
Anaheim Ducks
|
4.6% | |
Edmonton Oilers
|
4.2% | |
Vegas Golden Knights
|
3.6% |
Probabilities sum to 36.7% (= playoff probability). Remaining 63.3% = miss playoffs.
Analysis
Summary
The Los Angeles Kings are on the outside looking in with a 35.8% playoff probability, but a recent surge has boosted their odds by 11.6%. At 81 points with six games left, they’re projected right around the 88-point cutoff, meaning their postseason hopes will likely come down to the final week.
Record and Recent Performance
Los Angeles sits at 31-26-19 (81 points in 76 games), good for a 53.3% points percentage, but their -26 goal differential (208 scored, 234 allowed) reflects a team that has struggled to control play consistently. Their overall team strength rating of 50.1% paints them as roughly league average, though there’s a stark split between a poor 42.1% home strength and a much stronger 57.8% mark on the road. Encouragingly, their recent form is trending up at 60.0%, suggesting they’ve found better structure or goaltending at a critical time. If that form holds, they can outperform their season-long profile.
The Competition
The Kings are chasing Nashville (81 points, 43.9% playoff odds) for the final wild-card spot, with both teams projected around 88 points. Ahead of them, Edmonton, Anaheim, Utah, and Vegas are all projected above 92 points and carry playoff odds north of 95%, making it unrealistic for L.A. to catch that tier. Behind them, San Jose (79 points, 21.9%) is the biggest threat, especially with a game in hand, while Winnipeg and St. Louis would need near-perfect finishes. Realistically, this is a three-team race between Nashville, Los Angeles, and San Jose for one spot.
Remaining Schedule
The Kings have six games left, split evenly between home and road, with a balanced schedule and an opponent strength of just 43.3%, well below the league average of 52.9%. That makes this one of the easier closing slates among bubble teams. They’re projected to earn 7.1 more points, which would land them at 88.1 points—essentially right on the projected cutoff. Given their stronger road profile and manageable opponents, a 4-2-0 or equivalent finish may be enough, but anything less than seven points likely leaves them short.
Outlook
The path is narrow but clear: beat the teams in front of you and get to at least 88 points. With improving form and a favorable schedule, the Kings have a legitimate shot, but they don’t control their destiny entirely and probably need Nashville or San Jose to stumble. It’s a coin-flip race heading into the final stretch, and Los Angeles has left itself no margin for error.
Required Win Percentage for Playoffs
Win percentage needed in remaining games to achieve each playoff probability threshold. A checkmark (✓) means the team has mathematically clinched a playoff spot. A dash (—) means the threshold is impossible to reach.
Playoff Probability Breakdown
Understanding the factors that drive the 36.7% playoff probability
📊 Schedule Context
🎯 Key Factors
🏒 Playoff Picture
Playoff probabilities are calculated through Monte Carlo simulation, running 10,000+ scenarios of the remaining season. Each game is simulated based on team strength ratings, home ice advantage (~55% win rate), and opponent matchups.
Points Distribution vs. Cutline
Projected to finish with 87–90 points (middle 50%). The playoff cutline is typically 88–90 points. Finishes above the cutline in 50.7% of simulations.
Team Projection
Playoff Cutline
Playoff Race — Western Conference
| # | Team | PTS | GP | Left | STR | L10 | SOS | Proj PTS | Playoff % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 87 | 77 | 5 | 56.7% | 70.0% | 50.5% | 92.8 | 98.4% | |
| 5 | 87 | 77 | 5 | 50.6% | 50.0% | 48.3% | 92.8 | 96.7% | |
| 6 | 86 | 76 | 6 | 57.2% | 60.0% | 53.6% | 93.1 | 98.3% | |
| 7 | 86 | 77 | 5 | 52.5% | 50.0% | 47.1% | 92.0 | 96.2% | |
| 8 | 81 | 76 | 6 | 52.7% | 70.0% | 52.4% | 87.9 | 44.3% | |
| 9 | 81 | 76 | 6 | 50.1% | 60.0% | 43.3% | 88.1 | 36.7% | |
| 10 | 79 | 75 | 7 | 46.2% | 45.0% | 46.1% | 86.7 | 22.6% | |
| 11 | 78 | 76 | 6 | 50.7% | 70.0% | 55.9% | 84.7 | 5.6% | |
| 12 | 78 | 76 | 6 | 50.5% | 60.0% | 52.6% | 83.5 | 1.1% | |
Today's Impact
| Game | Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| LAK vs NSH | LAK playing |
LAK win:
+19.8%
NSH win:
-16.6%
|
| SJS vs CHI |
SJS win:
-2.7%
CHI win:
+3.4%
|
|
| LIVE WPG vs SEA |
WPG win:
-0.8%
SEA win:
+1.1%
|
Yesterday's Impact
| Result | Impact | |
|---|---|---|
| COL 2 - STL 3 |
-0.9%
|
|
| Net: | -0.9% | |
Team Strength Metrics
| Overall Strength | Home Strength | Away Strength | Pythagorean Win % | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 42.1% | 57.8% | 44.1% | 60.0% |
Player Statistics
| # | Player | Pos | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | R | 75 | 32 | 37 | 69 | +12 | 0 | 122 | 38 | 19:19 | |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | R | 73 | 20 | 24 | 44 | -6 | 0 | 60 | 40 | 20:00 | |
| 22 | Kevin Fiala | L | 56 | 18 | 22 | 40 | -11 | 0 | 39 | 23 | 19:07 | |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | D | 76 | 8 | 31 | 39 | +7 | 0 | 29 | 160 | 19:46 | |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | R | 76 | 19 | 18 | 37 | -1 | 0 | 234 | 48 | 18:07 | |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | C | 61 | 12 | 24 | 36 | +17 | 0 | 31 | 56 | 19:01 | |
| 10 | Corey Perry → TBL | R | 50 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | 14:17 | |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | L | 63 | 11 | 16 | 27 | -5 | 0 | 54 | 32 | 16:34 | |
| 96 | Andrei Kuzmenko | L | 52 | 13 | 12 | 25 | -4 | 0 | 18 | 14 | 14:54 | |
| 40 | Joel Armia | R | 61 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 36 | 14:05 | |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | L | 20 | 8 | 15 | 23 | +8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 20:59 | |
| 8 | Drew Doughty | D | 66 | 5 | 17 | 22 | +1 | 0 | 45 | 70 | 23:05 | |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | D | 76 | 2 | 19 | 21 | +10 | 0 | 92 | 102 | 18:26 | |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | D | 74 | 4 | 15 | 19 | +4 | 0 | 104 | 121 | 20:25 | |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | D | 76 | 2 | 15 | 17 | +1 | 0 | 35 | 83 | 17:49 | |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | C | 62 | 3 | 11 | 14 | -8 | 0 | 51 | 34 | 10:49 | |
| 37 | Warren Foegele → OTT | L | 47 | 7 | 2 | 9 | -6 | 0 | 49 | 10 | 14:45 | |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | C | 47 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 0 | 134 | 16 | 8:06 | |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | L | 56 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -8 | 0 | 163 | 27 | 8:50 | |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | D | 76 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -9 | 0 | 33 | 103 | 17:29 | |
| 52 | Taylor Ward | R | 30 | 3 | 4 | 7 | +1 | 0 | 35 | 8 | 9:50 | |
| 21 | Scott Laughton ← TOR | C | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -2 | 0 | 35 | 10 | 16:07 | |
| 24 | Phillip Danault → MTL | C | 30 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +3 | 0 | 22 | 11 | 16:19 | |
| 53 | Jared Wright | R | 17 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | 11:06 | |
| 81 | Angus Booth | D | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 12:18 | |
| 47 | Andre Lee | L | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 11:05 | |
| 34 | Kenny Connors | C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8:39 | |
| 17 | Mathieu Joseph ← STL | R | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 10:49 | |
| 43 | Jacob Moverare | D | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8:46 |
Recent Games (Last 10)
| Date | Opponent | Location | Score | Result | Opp Strength | Playoff Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 04 | Toronto Maple Leafs | Home | 7 - 6 (OT) | W | 47.0% | +9.6% |
| Apr 02 | Nashville Predators | Home | 4 - 5 (OT) | OTL | 52.7% | -12.2% |
| Apr 01 | St. Louis Blues | Home | 2 - 1 (OT) | W | 50.7% | +9.5% |
| Mar 28 | Utah Mammoth | Home | 2 - 6 | L | 57.2% | -10.1% |
| Mar 26 | Vancouver Canucks | Away | 0 - 4 | W | 30.1% | +6.1% |
| Mar 24 | Calgary Flames | Away | 3 - 2 (OT) | OTL | 47.3% | -9.4% |
| Mar 22 | Utah Mammoth | Away | 4 - 3 (OT) | OTL | 57.2% | -8.8% |
| Mar 21 | Buffalo Sabres | Home | 1 - 4 | L | 60.0% | -6.8% |
| Mar 19 | Philadelphia Flyers | Home | 3 - 4 (OT) | OTL | 56.2% | -7.2% |
| Mar 16 | New York Rangers | Away | 1 - 4 | W | 49.5% | +6.1% |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Opponent | Location | Opp Strength | Exp Pts | Playoff Swing | Predicted Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 06, 22:30 | vs Nashville Predators | Home | 52.7% | 1.06 | 36.5% | NSH (54%) |
| Apr 09, 22:30 | vs Vancouver Canucks | Home | 30.1% | 1.17 | - | LAK (52%) |
| Apr 11, 16:00 | vs Edmonton Oilers | Home | 56.7% | 1.03 | - | EDM (56%) |
| Apr 13, 21:30 | @ Seattle Kraken | Away | 43.0% | 1.23 | - | LAK (56%) |
| Apr 14, 22:00 | @ Vancouver Canucks | Away | 30.1% | 1.47 | - | LAK (70%) |
| Apr 16, 21:00 | @ Calgary Flames | Away | 47.3% | 1.11 | - | CGY (51%) |
| Averages (Next 6 games): | 7.1 pts | 11.1% | ||||
Expected points are calculated based on win probabilities: (2 × win%) + (0.25 × loss%) for overtime losses. Opponent strength ratings help identify which games are easier or harder opportunities to earn points.