New York RangersNYR 4–0 Final Buffalo SabresBUF

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New York RangersNYR	1	0	3	4	33
Buffalo SabresBUF	0	0	0	0	37

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
11:43	NYR	Alexis Lafrenière (1) Vincent Trocheck (1), Artemi Panarin (1) · wrist xG 0.20	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
14:46	NYR	Carson Soucy (1) Will Borgen (1), J.T. Miller (1) · wrist xG 0.07	2–0 ▶
17:11	NYR	J.T. Miller (1) Braden Schneider (1), Alexis Lafrenière (1) · tip-in xG 0.06	3–0 ▶
17:25	NYR	Adam Fox (1)EN Sam Carrick (1) · wrist xG 0.48	4–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYR 46%Deserve to win54% BUF

NYR		BUF
2.63	Expected goals	2.34
4	Goals (no shootout)	0
1.32	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.28
60	Shot attempts	68
46	Unblocked attempts	52
33	Shots on goal	37

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
4:10	BUF	No shift	No shift · Geertsen, 16:52 on the bench No shift from 11:43 of the 1st to 13:00 of the 2nd; 4 shifts (2:39) before that
3rd Period
4:40	NYR	No shift	No shift · Trocheck, 20:37 on the bench No shift after 6:50 of the 2nd; 12 shifts (7:48) before that
7:19	BUF	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · BUF takes the lead, 61–39% NYR had led since 4:02 of the 1st, by as much as 76%
7:19	NYR	Goalie	Goalie · Shesterkin +2.1 goals saved 0 goals on 2.07 xG, 30 shots on goal
14:40	BUF	No shift	No shift · Geertsen, 12:37 on the bench No shift from 13:54 of the 2nd to 17:25 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (3:33) before that
17:16	BUF	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Lyon, down 3–0 With 2:44 left; NYR scored at 17:25 of the 3rd (4–0)

Shot map

NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BUF shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Rangers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
10	Artemi Panarin	0	1	1	+3	6	0.21	0	0	21:10
10	J.T. Miller	1	1	2	+3	4	0.21	4	0	19:52
93	Mika Zibanejad	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	1	0	18:57
50	Will Cuylle	0	0	0	+1	4	0.20	2	2	16:24
13	Alexis Lafrenière	1	1	2	+2	5	0.55	1	0	15:54
43	Conor Sheary	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	1	15:21
14	Taylor Raddysh	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	0	14:50
42	Noah Laba	0	0	0	0	2	0.13	2	1	13:21
10	Sam Carrick	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	3	2	12:36
84	Adam Edstrom	0	0	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	09:45
73	Matt Rempe	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	5	1	09:30
16	Vincent Trocheck	0	1	1	+1	2	0.10	0	2	07:48
Defense
23	Adam Fox	1	0	1	+1	8	0.55	0	4	23:17
44	Vladislav Gavrikov	0	0	0	+2	4	0.05	0	0	21:23
7	Carson Soucy	1	0	1	+2	2	0.07	1	0	19:40
4	Braden Schneider	0	1	1	+1	4	0.09	6	0	18:49
17	Will Borgen	0	1	1	+2	1	0.00	2	1	16:23
18	Urho Vaakanainen	0	0	0	0	5	0.05	0	2	15:00

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Igor Shesterkin	37	0	37	1.000	2.34	+2.34

Buffalo Sabres

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
89	Alex Tuch	0	0	0	-1	7	0.09	0	0	22:32
72	Tage Thompson	0	0	0	-1	11	0.63	1	0	19:34
17	Jason Zucker	0	0	0	-1	5	0.29	3	0	19:23
9	Josh Norris	0	0	0	0	4	0.36	1	0	18:51
71	Ryan McLeod	0	0	0	-3	3	0.20	0	1	18:22
22	Jack Quinn	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	0	1	17:56
20	Jiri Kulich	0	0	0	0	3	0.04	0	1	16:42
91	Josh Doan	0	0	0	-1	3	0.26	1	0	12:21
19	Peyton Krebs	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	11:55
15	Justin Danforth	0	0	0	-1	4	0.04	0	2	09:33
29	Beck Malenstyn	0	0	0	-2	3	0.00	4	0	08:24
Defense
26	Rasmus Dahlin	0	0	0	-2	10	0.31	3	1	25:06
24	Bowen Byram	0	0	0	-2	4	0.04	3	0	24:46
21	Conor Timmins	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	1	1	19:38
23	Mattias Samuelsson	0	0	0	-1	3	0.01	3	2	19:26
78	Jacob Bryson	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	1	11:58

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Alex Lyon	32	3	29	.906	2.15	-0.85

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Rangers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
31 Igor Shesterkin G	+2.34	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+2.34	60:00
13 Alexis Lafrenière L	+2.11	+1.30	+0.36	+0.44	0.00	-0.01	+0.02	—	15:54
8 J.T. Miller C	+1.80	+1.30	+0.14	+0.31	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	19:52
23 Adam Fox D	+1.25	+0.75	+0.36	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	23:17
10 Artemi Panarin L	+1.19	+0.55	+0.14	+0.58	0.00	0.00	-0.08	—	21:10
24 Carson Soucy D	+1.13	+0.75	+0.05	+0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	19:40
16 Vincent Trocheck C	+1.12	+0.70	+0.06	+0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.10	—	7:48
39 Sam Carrick C	+1.02	+0.70	0.00	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	12:36
17 Will Borgen D	+0.95	+0.70	0.00	+0.39	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	16:23
4 Braden Schneider D	+0.91	+0.70	+0.06	+0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:49
73 Matt Rempe C	+0.58	0.00	+0.07	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:30
84 Adam Edstrom C	+0.31	0.00	+0.14	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:45
93 Mika Zibanejad C	+0.24	0.00	+0.05	-0.03	+0.15	+0.06	0.00	—	18:57
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D	+0.22	0.00	+0.03	+0.19	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:23
42 Noah Laba C	+0.07	0.00	+0.09	-0.12	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	13:21
18 Urho Vaakanainen D	+0.03	0.00	+0.03	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	15:00
50 Will Cuylle L	-0.14	0.00	+0.13	-0.21	-0.15	+0.01	+0.08	—	16:24
14 Taylor Raddysh R	-0.18	0.00	+0.01	-0.18	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	14:50
43 Conor Sheary L	-0.33	0.00	+0.01	-0.39	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:21

Buffalo Sabres

Player	Rating	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Josh Norris C	+0.77	+0.23	+0.60	0.00	-0.04	-0.02	—	18:51
17 Jason Zucker L	+0.60	+0.19	+0.31	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	19:23
72 Tage Thompson C	+0.60	+0.41	+0.37	-0.15	-0.03	0.00	—	19:34
26 Rasmus Dahlin D	+0.42	+0.20	+0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	25:06
91 Josh Doan R	+0.34	+0.17	-0.15	+0.30	0.00	+0.02	—	12:21
4 Bowen Byram D	+0.20	+0.03	+0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	24:46
22 Jack Quinn R	+0.09	+0.03	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	17:56
23 Mattias Samuelsson D	+0.07	+0.01	-0.04	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	19:26
89 Alex Tuch R	-0.01	+0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	22:32
21 Conor Timmins D	-0.04	+0.01	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:38
20 Jiri Kulich C	-0.16	+0.03	-0.17	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	16:42
15 Justin Danforth R	-0.29	+0.02	-0.27	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	9:33
19 Peyton Krebs C	-0.36	0.00	-0.48	+0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	11:55
33 Ryan Johnson D	-0.51	+0.01	-0.62	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	11:16
71 Ryan McLeod C	-0.52	+0.13	-0.61	0.00	-0.04	+0.01	—	18:22
55 Mason Geertsen L	-0.53	0.00	-0.38	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	4:26
78 Jacob Bryson D	-0.61	0.00	-0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:58
29 Beck Malenstyn L	-0.69	0.00	-0.69	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:24
34 Alex Lyon G	-0.85	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.85	59:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.