hockeystats.io

Montréal CanadiensMTL 5–1 Final Detroit Red WingsDET

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 320 5 17
Detroit Red WingsDET 100 1 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:50 DET Dylan Larkin (1)PP Patrick Kane (1), Moritz Seider (1) · snap xG 0.14 0–1 ▶
10:14 MTL Zachary Bolduc (2) Brendan Gallagher (2), Mike Matheson (1) · wrist xG 0.14 1–1 ▶
12:43 MTL Oliver Kapanen (2) Alex Newhook (1), Ivan Demidov (1) · snap xG 0.19 2–1 ▶
19:53 MTL Mike Matheson (1) Nick Suzuki (1), Noah Dobson (1) · wrist xG 0.10 3–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:19 MTL Alexandre Carrier (1) Arber Xhekaj (1), Brendan Gallagher (3) · wrist xG 0.01 4–1 ▶
17:12 MTL Juraj Slafkovský (1)PP Cole Caufield (1), Nick Suzuki (2) · snap xG 0.51 5–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 36%Deserve to win64% DET
MTLDET
2.13Expected goals2.89
5Goals (no shootout)1
1.27Expected goals, 5 on 51.51
38Shot attempts61
25Unblocked attempts44
17Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:53 DET Goalie Goalie · Gibson −2.3 goals saved
3 goals on 0.73 xG, 9 shots on goal
2nd Period
17:12 DET Goalie change Goalie change · Talbot in for Gibson
17:12 of the 2nd; Gibson had allowed 5 goals on 13 shots (1.57 xG)

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ DET shoots
Moritz Seider: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:35) Andrew Copp: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:40) Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:56) Simon Edvinsson: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:00) Lucas Raymond: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:16) Nick Suzuki: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:37) Cole Caufield: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:28) Noah Dobson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:23) Noah Dobson: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:50) Travis Hamonic: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:10) Mike Matheson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:38) Ben Chiarot: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:25) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:24) Cole Caufield: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 11:34) Lucas Raymond: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:23) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 14:13) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 14:37) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:47) Michael Brandsegg-Nygård: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:35) Andrew Copp: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:52) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:28) Michael Rasmussen: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:43) Dylan Larkin: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:40) J.T. Compher: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:12) Emmitt Finnie: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:40) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:03) Mason Appleton: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:56) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:18) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:40) Simon Edvinsson: wrist, 159 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:06) Mike Matheson: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:34) Moritz Seider: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:01) Moritz Seider: poke, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:02) Kirby Dach: bat, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:26) Travis Hamonic: wrist, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:28) Mike Matheson: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:38) Lane Hutson: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:24) Alex DeBrincat: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 16:32) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:33) Cole Caufield: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:09) Zachary Bolduc: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:36) Dylan Larkin: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:42) Marco Kasper: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:26) Zachary Bolduc: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:50) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:50) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:00) Alex DeBrincat: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:34) Patrick Kane: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:35) Moritz Seider: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:47) Albert Johansson: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:55) Josh Anderson: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:39) Dylan Larkin: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 6:05) Alex DeBrincat: slap, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:19) Andrew Copp: slap, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:35) Axel Sandin-Pellikka: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:07) Simon Edvinsson: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:21) Elmer Soderblom: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:27) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:42) Marco Kasper: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:20) Moritz Seider: snap, 49 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:52) Lucas Raymond: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 18:11) Dylan Larkin: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 18:27) Patrik Laine: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:57) Dylan Larkin: GOAL, snap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:50) Zachary Bolduc: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 10:14) Oliver Kapanen: GOAL, snap, 17 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 12:43) Mike Matheson: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:53) Alexandre Carrier: GOAL, wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:19) Juraj Slafkovský: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.51 (P2 17:12)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 10.04 1116:15
15 Alex Newhook 011 +1 00.00 2015:50
14 Nick Suzuki 022 +1 30.13 0015:46
71 Jake Evans 000 0 00.00 1215:36
20 Juraj Slafkovský 101 +1 30.74 2015:26
76 Zachary Bolduc 101 +2 50.44 0014:52
91 Oliver Kapanen 101 +1 20.19 1114:40
13 Cole Caufield 011 +1 30.22 2014:30
77 Kirby Dach 000 +2 30.09 2014:10
7 Brendan Gallagher 022 +2 00.00 0014:03
92 Patrik Laine 000 0 20.00 0013:45
93 Ivan Demidov 011 +1 10.00 0012:04
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 000 +1 20.04 2122:41
21 Kaiden Guhle 000 +1 10.00 5220:46
8 Mike Matheson 112 +1 50.14 1220:22
53 Noah Dobson 011 +1 30.08 0119:50
45 Alexandre Carrier 101 +2 20.01 0217:10
72 Arber Xhekaj 011 +2 20.00 6215:37
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 31130 .968 2.89 +1.89

Detroit Red Wings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Alex DeBrincat 000 -1 90.87 0019:02
88 Patrick Kane 011 -1 20.03 0018:23
71 Dylan Larkin 101 0 60.41 2018:20
23 Lucas Raymond 000 0 30.41 0117:52
18 Andrew Copp 000 -1 30.16 1116:03
37 J.T. Compher 000 0 30.10 2214:47
92 Marco Kasper 000 -2 30.04 5114:41
22 Mason Appleton 000 -1 10.12 3013:53
58 Emmitt Finnie 000 0 10.16 1012:22
27 Michael Rasmussen 000 -2 20.15 1011:13
25 Elmer Soderblom 000 -2 30.03 4010:43
Defense
77 Simon Edvinsson 000 0 60.07 3323:14
53 Moritz Seider 011 -1 60.13 3022:51
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka 000 0 40.03 0122:34
8 Ben Chiarot 000 -1 20.01 2116:55
20 Albert Johansson 000 -3 10.00 2315:04
52 Travis Hamonic 000 -3 30.01 0013:33
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
John Gibson 1358 .615 1.57 -3.43
Cam Talbot 404 1.000 0.56 +0.56

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
75 Jakub Dobes G +1.89 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.89 60:00
76 Zachary Bolduc R +1.51 +0.75 +0.29 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 14:52
8 Mike Matheson D +1.49 +1.30 +0.09 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 20:22
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +1.46 +0.75 +0.48 +0.22 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:26
14 Nick Suzuki C +1.46 +1.25 +0.09 +0.20 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 15:46
11 Brendan Gallagher R +1.45 +1.25 0.00 +0.50 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 14:03
91 Oliver Kapanen C +1.01 +0.75 +0.12 +0.09 0.00 -0.02 +0.07 — 14:40
13 Cole Caufield R +1.01 +0.70 +0.14 +0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:30
15 Alex Newhook C +0.97 +0.70 0.00 +0.11 +0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 15:50
45 Alexandre Carrier D +0.79 +0.75 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:10
77 Kirby Dach C +0.72 0.00 +0.06 +0.51 +0.15 -0.02 +0.02 — 14:10
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.68 +0.70 0.00 +0.03 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 15:37
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.59 +0.55 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:04
53 Noah Dobson D +0.51 +0.55 +0.05 +0.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 19:50
48 Lane Hutson D +0.41 0.00 +0.03 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:41
21 Kaiden Guhle D +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:46
17 Josh Anderson R -0.24 0.00 +0.03 -0.46 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:15
92 Patrik Laine L -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:45
71 Jake Evans C -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 +0.03 +0.10 — 15:36

Detroit Red Wings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Dylan Larkin C +0.86 +0.75 +0.27 -0.20 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 18:20
37 J.T. Compher L +0.81 0.00 +0.07 +0.50 +0.15 +0.03 +0.06 — 14:47
77 Simon Edvinsson D +0.75 0.00 +0.05 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 23:14
88 Patrick Kane R +0.69 +0.70 +0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:23
53 Moritz Seider D +0.65 +0.55 +0.08 +0.19 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 22:51
18 Andrew Copp C +0.65 0.00 +0.11 +0.49 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:03
39 Cam Talbot G +0.56 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.56 22:37
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D +0.43 0.00 +0.02 +0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:34
93 Alex DeBrincat R +0.42 0.00 +0.57 -0.09 0.00 -0.02 -0.04 — 19:02
23 Lucas Raymond L +0.10 0.00 +0.27 -0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:52
22 Mason Appleton C +0.09 0.00 +0.07 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:53
28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R +0.07 0.00 +0.10 -0.14 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 14:34
58 Emmitt Finnie C -0.07 0.00 +0.10 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:22
85 Elmer Soderblom L -0.27 0.00 +0.02 -0.44 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:43
20 Albert Johansson D -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 15:04
27 Michael Rasmussen C -0.31 0.00 +0.10 -0.42 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 11:13
92 Marco Kasper C -0.38 0.00 +0.03 -0.33 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 14:41
8 Ben Chiarot D -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 16:55
52 Travis Hamonic D -0.89 0.00 +0.01 -0.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:33
36 John Gibson G -3.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.43 37:12

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.