Philadelphia FlyersPHI 1–2 Final Florida PanthersFLA

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 010 1 20
Florida PanthersFLA 011 2 34

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
5:29 FLA Anton Lundell (1)PP Evan Rodrigues (2), Jeff Petry (1) · wrist xG 0.11 0–1 ▶
17:48 PHI Noah Cates (1) Tyson Foerster (1) · wrist xG 0.47 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
2:19 FLA Brad Marchand (1) Luke Kunin (1), A.J. Greer (1) · wrist xG 0.02 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 37%Deserve to win63% FLA
PHIFLA
2.00Expected goals3.09
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.99Expected goals, 5 on 51.62
38Shot attempts63
32Unblocked attempts51
20Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
0:20 FLA No shift No shift · Kulikov, 28:18 on the bench
No shift after 10:19 of the 2nd; 11 shifts (7:47) before that
19:34 PHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 2–1
With 0:26 left

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ FLA shoots
Sam Bennett: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:35) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:54) Nick Seeler: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:02) Sam Reinhart: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:49) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:54) Anton Lundell: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:55) Sam Reinhart: slap, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 1:56) Nick Seeler: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:05) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:15) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:45) Sam Bennett: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:38) A.J. Greer: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:40) Nicolas Deslauriers: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:51) Rodrigo Abols: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 9:56) Jonah Gadjovich: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:10) Travis Sanheim: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:41) Matvei Michkov: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:47) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:50) Gustav Forsling: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:20) Tyson Foerster: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:25) Niko Mikkola: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:47) Anton Lundell: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:55) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:36) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 15:55) Seth Jones: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:40) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:39) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:15) Anton Lundell: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:40) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:41) Adam Ginning: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:58) Garnet Hathaway: bat, 131 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:48) Brad Marchand: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:16) Sam Reinhart: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:39) Seth Jones: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:51) Sam Bennett: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:04) Sam Bennett: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:06) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:39) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:23) Aaron Ekblad: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:54) Brad Marchand: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:13) Brad Marchand: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:43) Noah Cates: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 10:10) Seth Jones: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:32) Nicolas Deslauriers: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:22) Gustav Forsling: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:44) Evan Rodrigues: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:07) Brad Marchand: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:58) Niko Mikkola: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:01) Adam Ginning: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:24) Adam Ginning: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:46) Rodrigo Abols: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 14:54) Adam Ginning: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:01) Sam Reinhart: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:33) Eetu Luostarinen: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 16:37) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:45) Owen Tippett: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:28) Noah Juulsen: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:32) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:44) Anton Lundell: backhand, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:33) Sam Reinhart: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:38) Sean Couturier: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:18) Anton Lundell: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:31) Noah Cates: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:44) Brad Marchand: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:34) Sean Couturier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:31) Mackie Samoskevich: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 3:07) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:53) Noah Cates: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 3:55) Carter Verhaeghe: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:13) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:51) Egor Zamula: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:06) Travis Konecny: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:34) Gustav Forsling: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:44) Sam Reinhart: slap, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:46) Brad Marchand: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 13:25) Mackie Samoskevich: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:02) Brad Marchand: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:15) Noah Cates: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:33) Anton Lundell: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:18) Sam Bennett: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 19:45) Anton Lundell: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:29) Noah Cates: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.47 (P2 17:48) Brad Marchand: GOAL, wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:19)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 20.03 1120:34
71 Tyson Foerster 011 +1 40.11 0017:15
27 Noah Cates 101 +1 51.12 2016:41
11 Travis Konecny 000 0 10.05 1016:32
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 10.05 0016:20
10 Bobby Brink 000 +1 20.00 0115:59
46 Trevor Zegras 000 0 00.00 0015:57
39 Matvei Michkov 000 0 20.18 0014:54
74 Owen Tippett 000 0 10.01 0114:22
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 -1 10.00 4009:47
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 -1 30.21 1008:05
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 -1 20.06 2007:31
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 0 30.01 0227:15
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 0 20.04 1122:54
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 20.04 1121:21
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 10.01 2014:26
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 34232 .941 2.73 +0.73

Florida Panthers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Sam Reinhart 000 0 90.66 2022:01
63 Brad Marchand 101 0 90.56 0019:34
9 Sam Bennett 000 -1 50.56 1019:26
15 Anton Lundell 101 0 80.29 2017:26
27 Eetu Luostarinen 000 0 20.05 3016:26
17 Evan Rodrigues 011 0 20.07 2015:58
23 Carter Verhaeghe 000 0 50.19 0015:58
11 Mackie Samoskevich 000 -1 70.38 3015:35
70 Jesper Boqvist 000 0 00.00 1012:26
12 Jonah Gadjovich 000 0 10.01 2008:07
71 Luke Kunin 011 +1 10.00 1208:07
18 A.J. Greer 011 +1 10.04 1008:03
Defense
77 Niko Mikkola 000 -1 30.10 2123:43
42 Gustav Forsling 000 +1 40.07 2023:24
5 Aaron Ekblad 000 0 20.02 1023:20
3 Seth Jones 000 +1 40.07 1022:09
2 Jeff Petry 011 -1 00.00 2217:06
7 Dmitry Kulikov 000 0 00.00 1007:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Sergei Bobrovsky 20119 .950 2.00 +1.00

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Noah Cates L +2.81 +0.75 +0.73 +1.32 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 16:41
71 Tyson Foerster R +2.01 +0.70 +0.07 +1.40 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 17:15
10 Bobby Brink R +1.55 0.00 0.00 +1.50 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:59
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.73 0.00 +0.01 +0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 27:15
80 Dan Vladar G +0.73 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.73 58:46
24 Nick Seeler D +0.72 0.00 +0.02 +0.54 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:21
18 Rodrigo Abols C +0.26 0.00 +0.14 +0.10 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 8:05
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L +0.14 0.00 +0.04 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:31
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.09 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:54
5 Egor Zamula D +0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 14:52
11 Travis Konecny R -0.10 0.00 +0.03 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:32
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.30 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 9:47
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.16 0.00 +0.01 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:26
74 Owen Tippett R -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:22
13 Adam Ginning D -0.23 0.00 +0.03 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:21
46 Trevor Zegras C -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.15 -0.02 -0.04 — 15:57
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.50 0.00 +0.12 -0.45 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:54
14 Sean Couturier C -0.75 0.00 +0.02 -0.89 0.00 +0.10 +0.03 — 20:34
22 Christian Dvorak C -1.15 0.00 +0.04 -0.86 -0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 16:20

Florida Panthers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
15 Anton Lundell C +1.38 +0.75 +0.19 +0.40 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 17:26
63 Brad Marchand L +1.01 +0.75 +0.36 -0.23 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:34
72 Sergei Bobrovsky G +1.00 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.00 59:24
13 Sam Reinhart C +0.80 0.00 +0.43 +0.42 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 22:01
42 Gustav Forsling D +0.71 0.00 +0.05 +0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:24
3 Seth Jones D +0.60 0.00 +0.04 +0.41 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 22:09
71 Luke Kunin C +0.55 +0.70 0.00 -0.06 -0.15 -0.02 +0.08 — 8:07
10 A.J. Greer L +0.54 +0.55 +0.03 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:03
17 Evan Rodrigues C +0.49 +0.70 +0.05 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:58
27 Eetu Luostarinen C +0.40 0.00 +0.04 +0.39 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 16:26
23 Carter Verhaeghe C +0.21 0.00 +0.12 -0.08 +0.15 -0.01 +0.02 — 15:58
70 Jesper Boqvist C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.17 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 12:26
5 Aaron Ekblad D -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:20
12 Jonah Gadjovich L -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:07
7 Dmitry Kulikov D -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 7:47
9 Sam Bennett C -0.36 0.00 +0.36 -0.66 0.00 -0.07 0.00 — 19:26
2 Jeff Petry D -0.40 +0.55 0.00 -1.03 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 17:06
77 Niko Mikkola D -0.48 0.00 +0.07 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 23:43
11 Mackie Samoskevich R -0.56 0.00 +0.25 -0.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:35

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.