| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:29 | Anton Lundell (1)PP Evan Rodrigues (2), Jeff Petry (1) · wrist xG 0.11 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 17:48 | Noah Cates (1) Tyson Foerster (1) · wrist xG 0.47 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:19 | Brad Marchand (1) Luke Kunin (1), A.J. Greer (1) · wrist xG 0.02 | 1–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PHI | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.00 | Expected goals | 3.09 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.99 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.62 |
| 38 | Shot attempts | 63 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 51 |
| 20 | Shots on goal | 34 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:20 | FLA | No shift | No shift · Kulikov, 28:18 on the bench
No shift after 10:19 of the 2nd; 11 shifts (7:47) before that |
| 19:34 | PHI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Vladar, down 2–1
With 0:26 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 20:34 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 1.12 | 2 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 16:32 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:57 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 14:54 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 0 | 09:47 |
| 18 | Rodrigo Abols | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 08:05 |
| 44 | Nicolas Deslauriers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 07:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 27:15 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 22:54 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 21:21 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 14:26 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 34 | 2 | 32 | .941 | 2.73 | +0.73 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0.66 | 2 | 0 | 22:01 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 0.56 | 0 | 0 | 19:34 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.56 | 1 | 0 | 19:26 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.29 | 2 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 3 | 0 | 16:26 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 15:58 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 15:58 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.38 | 3 | 0 | 15:35 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 12 | Jonah Gadjovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 08:07 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 08:07 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 08:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 23:43 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 23:24 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 23:20 |
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 22:09 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 17:06 |
| 7 | Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 07:47 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 20 | 1 | 19 | .950 | 2.00 | +1.00 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Noah Cates L | +2.81 | +0.75 | +0.73 | +1.32 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 16:41 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +2.01 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +1.40 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:15 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:59 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +0.73 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 27:15 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.73 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.73 | 58:46 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.54 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:21 |
| 18 Rodrigo Abols C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 8:05 |
| 44 Nicolas Deslauriers L | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:31 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:54 |
| 5 Egor Zamula D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 14:52 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:32 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:47 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:26 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:22 |
| 13 Adam Ginning D | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:21 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | -0.15 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 15:57 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.45 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:54 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.03 | — | 20:34 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | -1.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.86 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:20 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +1.38 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:26 |
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.36 | -0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:34 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | +1.00 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.00 | 59:24 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.43 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 22:01 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:24 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.41 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:09 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | +0.55 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 8:07 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | +0.54 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:03 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.49 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:58 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.39 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:26 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.08 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:58 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:20 |
| 12 Jonah Gadjovich L | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:07 |
| 7 Dmitry Kulikov D | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 7:47 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.36 | -0.66 | 0.00 | -0.07 | 0.00 | — | 19:26 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | -0.40 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:06 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 23:43 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:35 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.