hockeystats.io

New York IslandersNYI 3–4 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 120 3 37
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 121 4 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:23 PIT Rickard Rakell (1)PP Evgeni Malkin (3), Sidney Crosby (1) · backhand xG 0.23 0–1 ▶
12:02 NYI Jonathan Drouin (1) Matthew Schaefer (1) · snap xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
4:04 NYI Kyle Palmieri (1) Mathew Barzal (1), Scott Mayfield (1) · wrist xG 0.09 2–1 ▶
5:41 PIT Harrison Brunicke (1) Filip Hallander (1), Tommy Novak (1) · snap xG 0.11 2–2 ▶
8:58 PIT Sidney Crosby (1)PP Evgeni Malkin (4), Rickard Rakell (1) · tip-in xG 0.28 2–3 ▶
19:19 NYI Max Shabanov (1) Simon Holmstrom (1) · snap xG 0.12 3–3 ▶
3rd Period
14:21 PIT Justin Brazeau (3) Evgeni Malkin (5), Anthony Mantha (2) · backhand xG 0.19 3–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 54%Deserve to win46% PIT
NYIPIT
3.67Expected goals3.44
3Goals (no shootout)4
2.28Expected goals, 5 on 52.11
69Shot attempts56
49Unblocked attempts41
37Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:49 NYI Deserve to win Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 62–38%
PIT had led since 3:23 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
3rd Period
17:23 NYI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–3
With 2:37 left

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Anders Lee: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 0:32) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:47) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:54) Alexander Romanov: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:26) Tommy Novak: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:03) Harrison Brunicke: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:13) Rickard Rakell: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:19) Sidney Crosby: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 3:21) Kris Letang: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:34) Adam Pelech: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 4:59) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:45) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:07) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:38) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 7:51) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:37) Bo Horvat: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:55) Emil Heineman: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:35) Bo Horvat: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:36) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:41) Connor Dewar: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:13) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:53) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:40) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:41) Adam Pelech: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:22) Blake Lizotte: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:43) Caleb Jones: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:48) Harrison Brunicke: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:17) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:42) Ville Koivunen: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:54) Bo Horvat: deflected, 19 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:09) Casey Cizikas: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:11) Parker Wotherspoon: backhand, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:18) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:36) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 4:48) Evgeni Malkin: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:16) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.25 (P2 5:18) Kris Letang: snap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:14) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:24) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:53) Anthony Duclair: backhand, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:04) Anders Lee: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:08) Anders Lee: backhand, 2 ft, xG 0.68 (P2 11:10) Bo Horvat: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:49) Bo Horvat: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:16) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:23) Bo Horvat: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:24) Anthony Mantha: bat, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:18) Ryan Shea: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:53) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:02) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:10) Tommy Novak: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:29) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:39) Ben Kindel: slap, 106 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:55) Alexander Romanov: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:49) Anders Lee: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:33) Erik Karlsson: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:13) Evgeni Malkin: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 3:35) Evgeni Malkin: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:36) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:12) Maxim Tsyplakov: wrist, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:33) Tommy Novak: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 7:10) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:38) Connor Dewar: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:43) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:46) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:59) Kris Letang: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:10) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:11) Bo Horvat: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:39) Parker Wotherspoon: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:15) Kyle Palmieri: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:13) Caleb Jones: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:51) Jonathan Drouin: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:40) Kris Letang: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 14:53) Adam Pelech: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 15:41) Emil Heineman: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 15:50) Kyle Palmieri: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:11) Mathew Barzal: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:26) Jonathan Drouin: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:35) Mathew Barzal: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:31) Bo Horvat: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 18:59) Anders Lee: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:43) Jonathan Drouin: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:44) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:57) Rickard Rakell: GOAL, backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 3:23) Jonathan Drouin: GOAL, snap, 38 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 12:02) Kyle Palmieri: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:04) Harrison Brunicke: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:41) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 8:58) Maxim Shabanov: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:19) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 14:21)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 000 +1 100.73 2021:16
13 Mathew Barzal 011 0 40.26 0121:01
21 Kyle Palmieri 101 0 80.49 0020:39
92 Jonathan Drouin 101 +1 40.28 0019:47
72 Anders Lee 000 0 71.05 3116:47
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 +1 30.21 3113:21
51 Emil Heineman 000 +1 30.15 2113:12
53 Casey Cizikas 000 -1 10.06 2212:33
92 Simon Holmstrom 011 +1 00.00 0011:50
11 Anthony Duclair 000 -1 40.07 0211:19
72 Maxim Tsyplakov 000 -1 10.00 2010:59
49 Maxim Shabanov 101 +1 10.12 0009:45
Defense
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 0 70.06 0223:35
28 Alexander Romanov 000 0 20.03 5220:24
3 Adam Pelech 000 0 50.08 1018:05
6 Ryan Pulock 000 0 20.00 0118:04
48 Matthew Schaefer 011 +1 60.03 1017:15
24 Scott Mayfield 011 +1 10.04 1015:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 28424 .857 3.44 -0.56

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
67 Rickard Rakell 112 0 70.49 2220:01
87 Sidney Crosby 112 -1 40.74 2219:30
71 Evgeni Malkin 033 0 50.71 0018:11
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 10.01 0216:12
39 Anthony Mantha 011 0 20.03 2013:30
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 20.14 2113:27
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 00.00 2013:10
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 20.04 1013:06
19 Filip Hallander 011 -1 10.00 1012:36
41 Ville Koivunen 000 0 10.02 0012:21
16 Justin Brazeau 101 0 10.19 2111:22
18 Tommy Novak 011 -1 30.37 2110:04
Defense
58 Kris Letang 000 0 70.15 4026:50
6 Ryan Shea 000 -1 10.05 0122:45
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 -2 40.03 0120:53
65 Erik Karlsson 000 -1 80.17 0020:34
82 Caleb Jones 000 +1 30.14 2115:21
45 Harrison Brunicke 101 +1 40.17 1012:43
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 37334 .919 3.67 +0.67

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Anders Lee L +2.10 0.00 +0.68 +1.23 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:47
21 Kyle Palmieri C +2.10 +0.75 +0.32 +1.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:39
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.97 +0.70 +0.17 +1.16 -0.15 +0.04 +0.05 — 21:01
48 Matthew Schaefer D +1.76 +0.70 +0.02 +1.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:15
24 Scott Mayfield D +1.47 +0.55 +0.03 +0.95 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 15:30
29 Jonathan Drouin L +0.74 +0.75 +0.18 +0.18 -0.38 0.00 0.00 — 19:47
14 Bo Horvat C +0.68 0.00 +0.47 +0.33 -0.15 +0.07 -0.04 — 21:16
49 Max Shabanov R +0.60 +0.75 +0.08 -0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 9:45
51 Emil Heineman L +0.44 0.00 +0.10 +0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 13:12
3 Adam Pelech D +0.25 0.00 +0.05 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:05
6 Ryan Pulock D +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:04
10 Simon Holmstrom R +0.11 +0.70 0.00 -0.43 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 11:50
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C -0.17 0.00 +0.14 -0.40 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 13:21
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.44 0.00 +0.05 -0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 11:19
30 Ilya Sorokin G -0.56 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.56 57:45
77 Tony DeAngelo D -0.58 0.00 +0.04 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:35
53 Casey Cizikas C -0.66 0.00 +0.04 -0.75 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 12:33
28 Alexander Romanov D -0.74 0.00 +0.02 -0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:24
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R -0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.88 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:59

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Evgeni Malkin C +2.56 +2.10 +0.46 +0.05 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 18:11
67 Rickard Rakell R +1.91 +1.30 +0.32 +0.21 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 20:01
87 Sidney Crosby C +1.68 +1.30 +0.48 -0.18 0.00 -0.02 +0.10 — 19:30
45 Harrison Brunicke D +1.51 +0.75 +0.11 +0.54 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 12:43
82 Caleb Jones D +1.00 0.00 +0.09 +0.88 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:21
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.95 +0.55 +0.02 +0.26 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:30
18 Tommy Novak C +0.91 +0.55 +0.24 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:04
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.81 +0.75 +0.12 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:22
35 Tristan Jarry G +0.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.67 59:24
41 Ville Koivunen R +0.58 0.00 +0.01 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:21
58 Kris Letang D +0.40 0.00 +0.09 +0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 26:50
11 Filip Hallander C +0.39 +0.70 0.00 -0.42 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 12:36
81 Ben Kindel C +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.24 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:06
5 Ryan Shea D +0.05 0.00 +0.03 -0.17 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 22:45
19 Connor Dewar C -0.07 0.00 +0.09 -0.60 +0.38 +0.01 +0.05 — 13:27
55 Noel Acciari C -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.46 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 13:10
46 Blake Lizotte C -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.66 0.00 -0.05 +0.08 — 16:12
65 Erik Karlsson D -1.08 0.00 +0.11 -0.99 -0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:34
28 Parker Wotherspoon D -1.21 0.00 +0.02 -1.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:53

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.