New Jersey DevilsNJD 3–6 Final Carolina HurricanesCAR

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New Jersey DevilsNJD	0	2	1	3	22
Carolina HurricanesCAR	1	1	4	6	33

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:06	CAR	Taylor Hall (1) Shayne Gostisbehere (1), Alexander Nikishin (1) · deflected xG 0.08	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
8:15	NJD	Dougie Hamilton (1) Jesper Bratt (1), Jack Hughes (1) · backhand xG 0.08	1–1 ▶
9:23	CAR	K'Andre Miller (1) William Carrier (1), Jordan Martinook (1) · snap xG 0.05	1–2 ▶
13:54	NJD	Cody Glass (1) Luke Hughes (1) · snap xG 0.12	2–2 ▶
3rd Period
10:21	CAR	K'Andre Miller (2)PP Sebastian Aho (1), Jackson Blake (1) · slap xG 0.09	2–3 ▶
11:38	NJD	Jesper Bratt (1) Brett Pesce (1), Luke Hughes (2) · snap xG 0.14	3–3 ▶
17:17	CAR	Seth Jarvis (1) Sebastian Aho (2), Shayne Gostisbehere (2) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–4 ▶
19:05	CAR	Seth Jarvis (2)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.71	3–5 ▶
19:47	CAR	Eric Robinson (1) Taylor Hall (1), Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1) · tip-in xG 0.07	3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NJD 21%Deserve to win79% CAR

NJD		CAR
1.95	Expected goals	4.52
3	Goals (no shootout)	6
1.62	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.52
45	Shot attempts	73
32	Unblocked attempts	54
22	Shots on goal	33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:30	CAR	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.32–0.30 In xG over 10 minutes, 2:30 to 12:30 of the 2nd; goals 1–1
3rd Period
18:03	NJD	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Markstrom, down 4–3 With 1:57 left
18:10	NJD	No shift	No shift · Dadonov, 11:09 on the bench No shift after 4:52 of the 3rd; 14 shifts (9:32) before that

Shot map

NJD shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CAR shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
86	Jack Hughes	0	1	1	0	5	0.41	0	0	21:54
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	-1	11	0.37	6	0	19:37
13	Nico Hischier	0	0	0	-2	2	0.15	0	5	18:42
63	Jesper Bratt	1	1	2	0	2	0.14	3	0	18:15
91	Dawson Mercer	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	1	0	17:35
16	Connor Brown	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	2	0	14:10
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	12:16
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	-1	4	0.29	3	1	11:54
12	Cody Glass	1	0	1	0	2	0.15	2	1	11:53
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	2	10:22
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	0	09:52
33	Evgenii Dadonov	0	0	0	0	3	0.08	0	2	09:32
Defense
22	Brett Pesce	0	1	1	0	1	0.02	0	3	21:42
43	Luke Hughes	0	2	2	0	3	0.13	2	1	20:46
7	Dougie Hamilton	1	0	1	0	2	0.11	3	0	20:44
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	1	19:00
71	Simon Nemec	0	0	0	-2	4	0.01	0	0	18:35
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	2	16:50

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jacob Markstrom	32	5	27	.844	3.81	-1.19

Carolina Hurricanes

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
20	Sebastian Aho	0	2	2	0	9	1.01	2	0	21:39
24	Seth Jarvis	2	0	2	+1	6	1.00	2	0	21:12
27	Nikolaj Ehlers	0	0	0	0	3	0.15	2	0	19:35
37	Andrei Svechnikov	0	0	0	-1	6	0.35	2	0	17:02
53	Jackson Blake	0	1	1	-2	6	0.28	0	0	15:40
22	Logan Stankoven	0	0	0	-2	3	0.12	0	0	15:03
11	Jordan Staal	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	0	13:35
48	Jordan Martinook	0	1	1	+2	3	0.31	1	0	13:12
71	Taylor Hall	1	1	2	+1	5	0.35	0	1	12:16
28	William Carrier	0	1	1	+1	2	0.01	2	0	11:07
50	Eric Robinson	1	0	1	+2	3	0.16	2	0	10:08
82	Jesperi Kotkaniemi	0	1	1	+2	2	0.21	1	1	09:46
Defense
26	Sean Walker	0	0	0	-2	3	0.11	3	3	21:14
74	Jaccob Slavin	0	0	0	-1	2	0.07	0	3	20:16
4	Shayne Gostisbehere	0	2	2	+3	6	0.01	1	1	20:08
5	Jalen Chatfield	0	0	0	0	4	0.03	2	1	19:25
19	K'Andre Miller	2	0	2	+1	6	0.27	2	1	19:09
21	Alexander Nikishin	0	1	1	+3	4	0.09	3	2	15:34

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Frederik Andersen	22	3	19	.864	1.95	-1.05

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
63 Jesper Bratt L	+1.62	+1.45	+0.09	+0.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:15
43 Luke Hughes D	+0.98	+1.25	+0.09	-0.21	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	20:46
86 Jack Hughes C	+0.94	+0.55	+0.27	+0.20	0.00	-0.04	-0.04	—	21:54
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+0.85	+0.75	+0.07	-0.04	+0.15	0.00	-0.08	—	20:44
22 Brett Pesce D	+0.48	+0.70	+0.01	-0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	21:42
13 Nico Hischier C	+0.20	0.00	+0.10	-0.25	+0.15	-0.03	+0.23	—	18:42
33 Evgenii Dadonov L	+0.19	0.00	+0.05	+0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	9:32
12 Cody Glass C	+0.15	+0.75	+0.10	-0.76	0.00	+0.02	+0.03	—	11:53
28 Timo Meier R	+0.08	0.00	+0.24	-0.16	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:37
91 Dawson Mercer C	+0.01	0.00	+0.04	+0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:35
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:00
14 Luke Glendening C	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	+0.10	—	10:22
16 Connor Brown R	-0.34	0.00	0.00	-0.32	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	14:10
5 Brenden Dillon D	-0.37	0.00	0.00	-0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	16:50
18 Ondrej Palat L	-0.42	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	12:16
47 Paul Cotter L	-0.71	0.00	+0.19	-0.65	-0.30	0.00	+0.05	—	11:54
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	-0.88	0.00	0.00	-0.84	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	9:52
17 Simon Nemec D	-0.98	0.00	0.00	-0.95	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:35
25 Jacob Markstrom G	-1.19	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.19	59:05

Carolina Hurricanes

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D	+3.05	+1.25	+0.01	+1.72	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	20:08
24 Seth Jarvis C	+2.55	+1.50	+0.65	+0.39	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	21:12
71 Taylor Hall L	+2.47	+1.45	+0.23	+0.61	+0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	12:16
20 Sebastian Aho C	+2.19	+1.40	+0.65	+0.08	0.00	+0.08	-0.02	—	21:39
21 Alexander Nikishin D	+2.11	+0.55	+0.06	+1.40	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	15:34
19 K'Andre Miller D	+1.87	+1.50	+0.18	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:09
50 Eric Robinson L	+1.67	+0.75	+0.10	+0.81	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	10:08
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C	+1.40	+0.55	+0.14	+0.71	0.00	-0.05	+0.05	—	9:46
53 Jackson Blake R	+0.83	+0.55	+0.18	+0.12	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:40
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L	+0.55	0.00	+0.09	+0.47	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:35
22 Logan Stankoven C	+0.54	0.00	+0.08	+0.32	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	15:03
48 Jordan Martinook L	+0.53	+0.55	+0.20	-0.18	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	13:12
28 William Carrier L	+0.45	+0.70	+0.01	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:07
37 Andrei Svechnikov R	+0.32	0.00	+0.23	+0.11	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:02
5 Jalen Chatfield D	+0.12	0.00	+0.02	+0.07	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	19:25
74 Jaccob Slavin D	-0.11	0.00	+0.05	-0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	20:16
11 Jordan Staal C	-0.21	0.00	0.00	-0.03	-0.15	+0.01	-0.04	—	13:35
26 Sean Walker D	-0.36	0.00	+0.07	-0.58	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	21:14
31 Frederik Andersen G	-1.05	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.05	59:59

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.