Minnesota WildMIN 5–0 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 221 5 21
St. Louis BluesSTL 000 0 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
15:54 MIN Ryan Hartman (1) Marcus Johansson (1) · wrist xG 0.17 1–0 ▶
17:30 MIN Matt Boldy (1) Kirill Kaprizov (1), Marco Rossi (1) · tip-in xG 0.08 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
12:27 MIN Joel Eriksson Ek (1)PP Kirill Kaprizov (2), Matt Boldy (1) · wrist xG 0.29 3–0 ▶
17:36 MIN Ryan Hartman (2) Yakov Trenin (1) · snap xG 0.10 4–0 ▶
3rd Period
7:27 MIN Marco Rossi (1) Kirill Kaprizov (3), Matt Boldy (2) · wrist xG 0.30 5–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 39%Deserve to win61% STL
MINSTL
2.12Expected goals2.72
5Goals (no shootout)0
1.72Expected goals, 5 on 52.36
49Shot attempts61
32Unblocked attempts43
21Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:00 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.34–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 1st to 8:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored
11:28 MIN Goalie Goalie · Gustavsson +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 21 shots on goal
17:36 STL Goalie Goalie · Binnington −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.45 xG, 11 shots on goal

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Brock Faber: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:18) Marco Rossi: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:35) Vinnie Hinostroza: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:36) Brayden Schenn: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:04) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:47) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:59) Brock Faber: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:08) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:35) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:45) Justin Faulk: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:55) Dylan Holloway: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 7:09) David Jiricek: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:24) Philip Broberg: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:41) Justin Faulk: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:51) Dylan Holloway: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:42) Pius Suter: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:38) Marcus Foligno: backhand, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:43) Matt Boldy: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:34) Dylan Holloway: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:24) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:25) Pavel Buchnevich: deflected, 4 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 19:44) Nathan Walker: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:30) Tyler Tucker: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 1:22) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:31) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:38) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:40) Colton Parayko: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:48) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:47) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:57) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:14) Justin Faulk: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:48) Philip Broberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:52) Nick Bjugstad: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.31 (P2 5:55) Alexey Toropchenko: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:56) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:11) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:08) Jordan Kyrou: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:45) Cam Fowler: wrist, 114 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:14) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 10:53) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:28) Kirill Kaprizov: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:25) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:49) Philip Broberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:02) Matt Boldy: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:11) Joel Eriksson Ek: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:23) Marcus Johansson: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 17:25) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:20) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:07) Jake Neighbours: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 0:47) Pius Suter: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:42) Nathan Walker: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:49) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 2:00) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:42) Nick Bjugstad: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:04) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:13) Robert Thomas: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:43) Matt Boldy: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:13) Marco Rossi: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:20) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:32) Tyler Tucker: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:59) Brock Faber: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:27) Marcus Foligno: wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:46) Justin Faulk: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:00) Mathieu Joseph: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:18) Nick Bjugstad: poke, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:19) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:55) Brock Faber: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:35) Jake Middleton: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:44) Zeev Buium: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:25) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:48) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 15:54) Matt Boldy: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:30) Joel Eriksson Ek: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.29 (P2 12:27) Ryan Hartman: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 17:36) Marco Rossi: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.30 (P3 7:27)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
38 Ryan Hartman 202 +2 70.29 0017:52
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 101 0 40.32 2017:40
13 Yakov Trenin 011 +2 20.23 4017:19
12 Matt Boldy 123 +2 50.16 0116:54
23 Marco Rossi 112 +2 30.45 0116:28
97 Kirill Kaprizov 033 +2 40.24 1116:23
90 Marcus Johansson 011 +2 20.25 1015:54
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 0 40.01 0015:42
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 30.00 1414:44
92 Liam Ohgren 000 0 10.00 1110:31
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 10.04 1010:26
Defense
7 Brock Faber 000 +1 50.05 1223:10
55 Jake Middleton 000 +1 30.01 2221:46
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 20.00 1220:22
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 20.03 1120:10
24 Zach Bogosian 000 +3 00.00 1116:11
5 David Jiricek 000 +3 10.03 0014:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 26026 1.000 2.72 +2.72

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Pius Suter 000 0 30.12 1018:11
81 Dylan Holloway 000 -1 80.34 4017:58
18 Robert Thomas 000 -2 10.08 0217:15
25 Jordan Kyrou 000 -1 60.34 0016:27
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 40.16 4016:20
89 Pavel Buchnevich 000 -2 40.47 3016:09
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 40.09 2216:05
63 Jake Neighbours 000 -1 10.13 3014:14
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 20.05 7013:34
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 -1 10.03 3212:19
13 Alexey Toropchenko 000 -1 10.04 1110:43
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 -1 40.41 2210:23
Defense
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 60.14 3322:43
17 Cam Fowler 000 -2 50.00 0121:36
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 30.06 1121:18
55 Colton Parayko 000 -2 20.03 2120:59
75 Tyler Tucker 000 -2 50.21 1215:26
23 Logan Mailloux 000 -2 10.00 3014:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 21516 .762 2.12 -2.88

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
12 Matt Boldy L +2.86 +1.85 +0.10 +0.72 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:54
32 Filip Gustavsson G +2.72 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.72 60:00
23 Marco Rossi C +2.60 +1.30 +0.29 +0.81 +0.15 +0.02 +0.03 — 16:28
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +2.58 +2.10 +0.16 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:23
38 Ryan Hartman R +1.91 +1.50 +0.19 +0.16 0.00 +0.06 0.00 — 17:52
13 Yakov Trenin C +1.54 +0.70 +0.15 +0.73 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 17:19
24 Zach Bogosian D +1.29 0.00 0.00 +1.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:11
90 Marcus Johansson L +1.23 +0.70 +0.16 +0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:54
55 David Jiricek D +1.23 0.00 +0.02 +1.36 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:01
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.85 +0.75 +0.21 -0.22 +0.15 -0.04 0.00 — 17:40
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R -0.39 0.00 +0.01 -0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:42
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 14:44
5 Jake Middleton D -0.55 0.00 +0.01 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:46
7 Brock Faber D -0.56 0.00 +0.04 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 23:10
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.60 0.00 +0.02 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:26
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:22
8 Zeev Buium D -0.73 0.00 +0.02 -0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:10
43 Hunter Haight C -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.81 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 10:27
28 Liam Ohgren L -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:31

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
6 Philip Broberg D +1.03 0.00 +0.04 +0.96 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:18
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.75 0.00 +0.22 +0.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:27
81 Dylan Holloway L +0.57 0.00 +0.22 +0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:58
26 Nathan Walker L +0.53 0.00 +0.03 +0.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:34
72 Justin Faulk D +0.47 0.00 +0.09 +0.38 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 22:43
10 Brayden Schenn C +0.44 0.00 +0.11 +0.52 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 16:20
55 Colton Parayko D +0.42 0.00 +0.02 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 20:59
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.21 0.00 +0.27 -0.14 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 10:23
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +0.20 0.00 +0.31 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:09
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +0.19 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:05
22 Pius Suter C +0.10 0.00 +0.08 +0.02 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 18:11
75 Tyler Tucker D -0.04 0.00 +0.13 -0.43 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 15:26
18 Robert Thomas C -0.05 0.00 +0.05 -0.32 +0.15 -0.01 +0.08 — 17:15
13 Alexey Toropchenko R -0.08 0.00 +0.03 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 10:43
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.21 0.00 +0.08 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:14
17 Cam Fowler D -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:36
23 Logan Mailloux D -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:12
71 Mathieu Joseph R -0.67 0.00 +0.02 -0.66 -0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 12:19
50 Jordan Binnington G -2.88 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.88 60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.