| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:54 | Ryan Hartman (1) Marcus Johansson (1) · wrist xG 0.17 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 17:30 | Matt Boldy (1) Kirill Kaprizov (1), Marco Rossi (1) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:27 | Joel Eriksson Ek (1)PP Kirill Kaprizov (2), Matt Boldy (1) · wrist xG 0.29 | 3–0 ▶ | |
| 17:36 | Ryan Hartman (2) Yakov Trenin (1) · snap xG 0.10 | 4–0 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:27 | Marco Rossi (1) Kirill Kaprizov (3), Matt Boldy (2) · wrist xG 0.30 | 5–0 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MIN | STL | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.12 | Expected goals | 2.72 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 0 |
| 1.72 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.36 |
| 49 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 26 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:00 | STL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MIN 1.34–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 1st to 8:50 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 11:28 | MIN | Goalie | Goalie · Gustavsson +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.00 xG, 21 shots on goal |
| 17:36 | STL | Goalie | Goalie · Binnington −2.6 goals saved
4 goals on 1.45 xG, 11 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 38 | Ryan Hartman | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 |
| 14 | Joel Eriksson Ek | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 17:40 |
| 13 | Yakov Trenin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.23 | 4 | 0 | 17:19 |
| 12 | Matt Boldy | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 16:54 |
| 23 | Marco Rossi | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 |
| 97 | Kirill Kaprizov | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 16:23 |
| 90 | Marcus Johansson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 91 | Vladimir Tarasenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 15:42 |
| 17 | Marcus Foligno | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 14:44 |
| 92 | Liam Ohgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:31 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 10:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 7 | Brock Faber | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 |
| 55 | Jake Middleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 21:46 |
| 46 | Jared Spurgeon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 20:22 |
| 8 | Zeev Buium | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 20:10 |
| 24 | Zach Bogosian | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:11 |
| 5 | David Jiricek | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Gustavsson | 26 | 0 | 26 | 1.000 | 2.72 | +2.72 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 22 | Pius Suter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 18:11 |
| 81 | Dylan Holloway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.34 | 4 | 0 | 17:58 |
| 18 | Robert Thomas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 17:15 |
| 25 | Jordan Kyrou | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.34 | 0 | 0 | 16:27 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 4 | 0 | 16:20 |
| 89 | Pavel Buchnevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.47 | 3 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 21 | Jimmy Snuggerud | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 2 | 16:05 |
| 63 | Jake Neighbours | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.13 | 3 | 0 | 14:14 |
| 26 | Nathan Walker | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 7 | 0 | 13:34 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 2 | 12:19 |
| 13 | Alexey Toropchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 10:43 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.41 | 2 | 2 | 10:23 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Justin Faulk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.14 | 3 | 3 | 22:43 |
| 17 | Cam Fowler | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 21:36 |
| 6 | Philip Broberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 21:18 |
| 55 | Colton Parayko | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 20:59 |
| 75 | Tyler Tucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.21 | 1 | 2 | 15:26 |
| 23 | Logan Mailloux | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 14:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Binnington | 21 | 5 | 16 | .762 | 2.12 | -2.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Matt Boldy L | +2.86 | +1.85 | +0.10 | +0.72 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:54 |
| 32 Filip Gustavsson G | +2.72 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.72 | 60:00 |
| 23 Marco Rossi C | +2.60 | +1.30 | +0.29 | +0.81 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 16:28 |
| 97 Kirill Kaprizov L | +2.58 | +2.10 | +0.16 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:23 |
| 38 Ryan Hartman R | +1.91 | +1.50 | +0.19 | +0.16 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 17:52 |
| 13 Yakov Trenin C | +1.54 | +0.70 | +0.15 | +0.73 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 17:19 |
| 24 Zach Bogosian D | +1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:11 |
| 90 Marcus Johansson L | +1.23 | +0.70 | +0.16 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:54 |
| 55 David Jiricek D | +1.23 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +1.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:01 |
| 14 Joel Eriksson Ek C | +0.85 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.22 | +0.15 | -0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:40 |
| 91 Vladimir Tarasenko R | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:42 |
| 17 Marcus Foligno L | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 14:44 |
| 5 Jake Middleton D | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:46 |
| 7 Brock Faber D | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 23:10 |
| 18 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.48 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:26 |
| 46 Jared Spurgeon D | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:22 |
| 8 Zeev Buium D | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:10 |
| 43 Hunter Haight C | -0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 10:27 |
| 28 Liam Ohgren L | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:31 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Philip Broberg D | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:18 |
| 25 Jordan Kyrou R | +0.75 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:27 |
| 81 Dylan Holloway L | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.22 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:58 |
| 26 Nathan Walker L | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:34 |
| 72 Justin Faulk D | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:43 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.52 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:20 |
| 55 Colton Parayko D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:59 |
| 77 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 10:23 |
| 89 Pavel Buchnevich L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.31 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:09 |
| 21 Jimmy Snuggerud R | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:05 |
| 22 Pius Suter C | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.02 | — | 18:11 |
| 75 Tyler Tucker D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:26 |
| 18 Robert Thomas C | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.32 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 17:15 |
| 13 Alexey Toropchenko R | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 10:43 |
| 63 Jake Neighbours L | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:14 |
| 17 Cam Fowler D | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:36 |
| 23 Logan Mailloux D | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:12 |
| 71 Mathieu Joseph R | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.66 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 12:19 |
| 50 Jordan Binnington G | -2.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.88 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.