| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
 |
1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:45 | |
Michael Bunting (1) Erik Haula (1) · slap xG 0.06 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 16:01 | |
Dmitri Voronkov (1) Damon Severson (1), Denton Mateychuk (1) · tip-in xG 0.10 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:41 | |
Ryan O'Reilly (1)PP Filip Forsberg (1), Roman Josi (1) · backhand xG 0.08 | 1–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| CBJ | NSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | Expected goals | 2.94 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 2.28 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.75 |
| 72 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 51 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 39 | Shots on goal | 32 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:41 | CBJ | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
NSH had led since 1:58 of the 1st, by as much as 60% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:48 | CBJ | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Greaves, down 2–1
With 1:12 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 10 | 0.79 | 0 | 2 | 17:10 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 1 | 17:03 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 16:58 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 4 | 0 | 16:53 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.28 | 2 | 1 | 15:31 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 14:29 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 14:01 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:53 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 11:25 |
| 21 | Zachary Aston-Reese | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 10:02 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.15 | 1 | 2 | 27:16 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 24:27 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 19:57 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.14 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 14:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 32 | 2 | 30 | .938 | 2.94 | +0.94 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Filip Forsberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.63 | 1 | 2 | 19:27 |
| 90 | Ryan O'Reilly | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.23 | 1 | 0 | 19:16 |
| 81 | Jonathan Marchessault | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.23 | 2 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 91 | Steven Stamkos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.33 | 1 | 0 | 17:25 |
| 58 | Michael Bunting | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.55 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 |
| 22 | Cole Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 14:21 |
| 56 | Erik Haula | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 9 | Fedor Svechkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 2 | 0 | 14:05 |
| 47 | Michael McCarron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 1 | 13:16 |
| 17 | Tyson Jost | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.07 | 2 | 2 | 11:35 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 76 | Brady Skjei | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.12 | 3 | 1 | 23:05 |
| 59 | Roman Josi | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.12 | 0 | 5 | 22:51 |
| 48 | Nick Perbix | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 4 | 19:58 |
| 2 | Adam Wilsby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 18:28 |
| 72 | Justin Barron | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 14:49 |
| 24 | Spencer Stastney | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juuse Saros | 39 | 1 | 38 | .974 | 2.82 | +1.82 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78 Damon Severson D | +1.87 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:57 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +1.16 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:30 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.18 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:21 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | +0.94 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.94 | 58:48 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.91 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.69 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 15:31 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.86 | 0.00 | +0.52 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:10 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 24:27 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.72 | 0.00 | +0.28 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:01 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:29 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:11 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:18 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.34 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 17:03 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:58 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.02 | — | 16:53 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:25 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.15 | +0.02 | +0.03 | — | 11:53 |
| 27 Zachary Aston-Reese C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.37 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 10:02 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | -0.50 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 27:16 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 15:13 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Juuse Saros G | +1.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.82 | 60:00 |
| 58 Michael Bunting L | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.36 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:38 |
| 90 Ryan O'Reilly C | +0.96 | +0.75 | +0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:16 |
| 59 Roman Josi D | +0.96 | +0.55 | +0.08 | -0.09 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.27 | — | 22:51 |
| 9 Filip Forsberg L | +0.95 | +0.70 | +0.41 | -0.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.06 | — | 19:27 |
| 17 Tyson Jost C | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:35 |
| 56 Erik Haula L | +0.29 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 36 Cole Smith R | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:21 |
| 48 Nick Perbix D | +0.23 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 19:58 |
| 81 Jonathan Marchessault R | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.19 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 17:53 |
| 47 Michael McCarron C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.07 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:16 |
| 40 Fedor Svechkov C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 14:05 |
| 24 Spencer Stastney D | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:36 |
| 91 Steven Stamkos C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.31 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:25 |
| 20 Justin Barron D | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.30 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 14:49 |
| 83 Adam Wilsby D | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:28 |
| 76 Brady Skjei D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 23:05 |
| 44 Brady Martin C | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 12:44 |
| 25 Joakim Kemell R | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:22 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.