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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 4–3 Final/OT San Jose SharksSJS

Thursday, October 9, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1111 4 31
San Jose SharksSJS 1110 3 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:31 SJS Jeff Skinner (1) Ty Dellandrea (1), Shakir Mukhamadullin (1) · bat xG 0.09 0–1 ▶
8:09 VGK Brett Howden (1) Keegan Kolesar (1), Ben Hutton (1) · wrist xG 0.21 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:59 SJS Alexander Wennberg (1)PP William Eklund (1), John Klingberg (1) · wrist xG 0.05 1–2 ▶
14:22 VGK Pavel Dorofeyev (4)PP Mark Stone (3), Jack Eichel (4) · snap xG 0.12 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
2:59 SJS Philipp Kurashev (1) Dmitry Orlov (1), Shakir Mukhamadullin (2) · tip-in xG 0.06 2–3 ▶
18:26 VGK Jack Eichel (2) Mark Stone (4), Tomas Hertl (1) · wrist xG 0.01 3–3 ▶
Overtime
1:24 VGK Reilly Smith (1) Shea Theodore (1) · wrist xG 0.21 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 62%Deserve to win38% SJS
VGKSJS
2.68Expected goals2.92
4Goals (no shootout)3
1.75Expected goals, 5 on 51.67
62Shot attempts53
47Unblocked attempts35
31Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:44 VGK Deserve to win Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 60–40%
SJS had led since 5:30 of the 1st, by as much as 74%
3rd Period
17:38 VGK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Schmid, down 3–2
With 2:22 left; VGK scored at 18:26 of the 3rd (3–3)

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:13) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:15) Colton Sissons: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:41) Ben Hutton: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:12) William Eklund: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:30) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:33) Ty Dellandrea: deflected, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:27) Jeff Skinner: bat, 4 ft, xG 0.40 (P1 5:30) Kaedan Korczak: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 6:59) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:16) John Klingberg: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:23) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:45) Jack Eichel: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:17) Brandon Saad: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:39) Shea Theodore: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 10:24) Timothy Liljegren: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:30) Tomas Hertl: deflected, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:38) William Karlsson: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:14) Will Smith: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:28) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:44) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:51) Brett Howden: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:25) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:50) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 16:46) Jack Eichel: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:18) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 18:32) Nick Leddy: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:42) Shea Theodore: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:37) Will Smith: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:58) Philipp Kurashev: deflected, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:09) Shea Theodore: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:05) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:05) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:13) Will Smith: wrist, 110 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:29) John Klingberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:40) John Klingberg: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:17) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:02) Timothy Liljegren: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:31) William Karlsson: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:33) Reilly Smith: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:52) Reilly Smith: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:02) Brayden McNabb: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:08) Jack Eichel: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:20) Brandon Saad: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:38) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:54) Kaedan Korczak: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:59) Mark Stone: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 16:27) Brett Howden: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:54) Mitch Marner: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:27) Mitch Marner: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:44) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:56) Mitch Marner: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:05) Brayden McNabb: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:08) Collin Graf: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:48) Shakir Mukhamadullin: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:55) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:24) Jeff Skinner: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:26) Ty Dellandrea: wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 3:28) Jack Eichel: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:29) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:18) Brett Howden: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:53) Jeremy Lauzon: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:08) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 11:54) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:57) Shea Theodore: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:36) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:43) John Klingberg: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:58) Mark Stone: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:33) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 17:01) William Karlsson: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:37) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:43) William Eklund: poke, 27 ft, xG 0.87 (P3 18:09) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:24) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 100 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:41) Shea Theodore: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (OT 1:02) Jeff Skinner: GOAL, bat, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:31) Brett Howden: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 8:09) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:59) Pavel Dorofeyev: GOAL, snap, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:22) Philipp Kurashev: GOAL, tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:59) Jack Eichel: GOAL, wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:26) Reilly Smith: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (OT 1:24)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 112 +1 70.20 2122:34
93 Mitch Marner 000 +2 60.10 2022:25
61 Mark Stone 022 +1 30.22 2219:22
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 101 0 70.53 0018:10
48 Tomas Hertl 011 0 30.07 1017:53
20 Brandon Saad 000 -1 30.04 0014:53
71 William Karlsson 000 0 40.14 0114:35
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 0 20.24 3014:13
19 Reilly Smith 101 +1 30.27 0013:21
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 10.02 0011:51
21 Brett Howden 101 0 40.30 2009:53
55 Keegan Kolesar 011 0 10.01 1109:44
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 011 +2 70.35 0424:52
3 Brayden McNabb 000 0 20.05 2621:15
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 -1 30.04 3118:18
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 -1 10.02 1115:13
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 30.09 2014:50
17 Ben Hutton 011 0 20.01 1014:28
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Akira Schmid 23320 .870 2.04 -0.96

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 000 -1 40.17 0022:15
2 Will Smith 000 -1 50.02 1120:34
96 Philipp Kurashev 101 +1 30.33 2119:38
21 Alexander Wennberg 101 -1 20.05 0217:58
27 William Eklund 011 -1 60.92 1017:27
51 Collin Graf 000 +2 20.13 0017:05
10 Ty Dellandrea 011 +2 20.15 4116:06
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 -1 60.22 1014:45
53 Jeff Skinner 101 +1 60.63 2010:40
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 -1 00.00 2210:27
81 Adam Gaudette 000 -1 10.00 1009:37
75 Ryan Reaves 000 -1 00.00 5006:31
Defense
3 John Klingberg 011 -1 40.13 0022:24
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 +1 30.07 2021:41
4 Nick Leddy 000 0 10.01 0221:01
38 Mario Ferraro 000 -1 30.02 0218:39
27 Timothy Liljegren 000 -1 40.05 1218:32
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 022 +1 10.02 0112:45
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 31427 .871 2.68 -1.32

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Jack Eichel C +1.89 +1.30 +0.13 +0.21 +0.15 +0.05 +0.05 — 22:34
61 Mark Stone R +1.56 +1.40 +0.14 -0.03 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 19:22
27 Shea Theodore D +1.35 +0.70 +0.23 +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 24:52
19 Reilly Smith R +1.25 +0.75 +0.18 +0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:21
21 Brett Howden C +0.91 +0.75 +0.19 -0.15 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 9:53
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.82 +0.75 +0.34 -0.42 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:10
55 Keegan Kolesar R +0.60 +0.70 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:44
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.42 0.00 +0.06 +0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:50
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.39 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.30 — 21:15
49 Ivan Barbashev L +0.38 0.00 +0.16 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:13
93 Mitch Marner R +0.34 0.00 +0.06 +0.43 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 22:25
17 Ben Hutton D +0.31 +0.55 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:28
71 William Karlsson C +0.25 0.00 +0.09 +0.31 -0.15 -0.01 +0.01 — 14:35
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.18 0.00 +0.02 +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:18
10 Colton Sissons C +0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.06 +0.15 +0.05 -0.02 — 11:51
48 Tomas Hertl C -0.24 +0.55 +0.04 -0.52 -0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 17:53
20 Brandon Saad L -0.37 0.00 +0.02 -0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:53
2 Zach Whitecloud D -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 15:13
40 Akira Schmid G -0.96 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.96 60:15

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Ty Dellandrea C +1.95 +0.70 +0.10 +0.96 +0.15 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:06
53 Jeff Skinner L +1.92 +0.75 +0.41 +0.63 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:40
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D +1.42 +1.10 +0.01 +0.58 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 12:45
9 Dmitry Orlov D +1.29 +0.70 +0.05 +0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:41
72 William Eklund L +1.14 +0.70 +0.60 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 17:27
96 Philipp Kurashev C +1.14 +0.75 +0.21 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:38
51 Collin Graf R +0.96 0.00 +0.09 +0.89 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:05
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.80 +0.75 +0.03 -0.07 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 17:58
37 Timothy Liljegren D +0.23 0.00 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:32
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.12 0.00 +0.14 +0.01 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:45
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:39
3 John Klingberg D -0.01 +0.55 +0.08 -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 22:24
71 Macklin Celebrini C -0.06 0.00 +0.11 -0.36 +0.30 -0.01 -0.10 — 22:15
2 Will Smith C -0.28 0.00 +0.01 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 -0.05 — 20:34
4 Nick Leddy D -0.40 0.00 +0.01 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.14 — 21:01
75 Ryan Reaves R -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 6:31
23 Barclay Goodrow C -0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 10:27
81 Adam Gaudette R -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.57 -0.15 -0.05 -0.02 — 9:37
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G -1.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.32 61:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.