Thursday, October 9, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
ANA 51%Deserve to win 49% SEA
ANA SEA
2.56 Expected goals 2.74
1 Goals (no shootout) 3
2.14 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.33
87 Shot attempts 53
58 Unblocked attempts 46
36 Shots on goal 31
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:01
ANA
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Dostal, down 3–1
With 2:59 left
Shot map
ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → SEA shoots
Matty Beniers: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:13)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:34)
Frank Vatrano: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:49)
Frank Vatrano: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:03)
Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:46)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 3:45)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:50)
Sam Colangelo: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:05)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:59)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:17)
Cutter Gauthier: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:30)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:31)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:50)
Drew Helleson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:01)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:42)
Brandon Montour: slap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:21)
Jackson LaCombe: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:37)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:56)
Drew Helleson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:11)
Jacob Trouba: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:28)
Mikael Granlund: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:51)
Alex Killorn: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:59)
Alex Killorn: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:01)
Troy Terry: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:07)
Jackson LaCombe: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:25)
Mason McTavish: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:28)
Brandon Montour: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:16)
Troy Terry: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:26)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:19)
Drew Helleson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:24)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:08)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:21)
Chris Kreider: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:33)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:12)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:32)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:37)
Ryan Poehling: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 5:39)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:23)
Ryan Winterton: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:31)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:07)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:33)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:38)
Ryan Poehling: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:24)
Jared McCann: wrist, 85 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:37)
Alex Killorn: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:45)
Pavel Mintyukov: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:07)
Jackson LaCombe: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:36)
Radko Gudas: slap, 152 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:49)
Vince Dunn: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:10)
Tye Kartye: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:57)
Jani Nyman: slap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:08)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:22)
Josh Mahura: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:40)
Jared McCann: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:02)
Leo Carlsson: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:48)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:00)
Alex Killorn: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:37)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:44)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:01)
Radko Gudas: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:24)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:56)
Jared McCann: slap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:48)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 0:32)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:51)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:02)
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 157 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:23)
Olen Zellweger: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:03)
Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:49)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:46)
Josh Mahura: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:03)
Radko Gudas: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:39)
Ross Johnston: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:15)
Eeli Tolvanen: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:39)
Jared McCann: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:45)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:57)
Brandon Montour: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:31)
Tye Kartye: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:00)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:52)
Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:27)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:32)
Radko Gudas: slap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:45)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 11:44)
Frank Vatrano: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:23)
Cutter Gauthier: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:33)
Josh Mahura: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:50)
Ryan Winterton: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:53)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 14:16)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:17)
Jared McCann: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:19)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:22)
Ryan Winterton: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 14:55)
Troy Terry: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:40)
Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:59)
Jackson LaCombe: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:25)
Olen Zellweger: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:40)
Jared McCann: wrist, 144 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 18:20)
Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:27)
Mason McTavish: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:14)
Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:16)
Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:43)
Vince Dunn: GOAL, wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:21)
Beckett Sennecke: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (P1 4:11)
Mason Marchment: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 3:50)
Jared McCann: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 4:25)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Anaheim Ducks
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Lukas Dostal
31 3 28
.903
2.52
-0.48
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joey Daccord
36 1 35
.972
2.56
+1.56
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Anaheim Ducks
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
45 Beckett Sennecke R
+1.18
+0.75
+0.27
+0.13
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:24
7 Radko Gudas D
+0.85
0.00
+0.02
+0.81
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:00
23 Mason McTavish C
+0.64
+0.70
+0.13
-0.14
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
20:24
25 Ryan Poehling C
+0.44
0.00
+0.13
+0.21
0.00
+0.05
+0.05
—
9:58
65 Jacob Trouba D
+0.41
0.00
+0.01
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
18:23
51 Olen Zellweger D
+0.28
0.00
+0.10
+0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:06
2 Jackson LaCombe D
+0.28
0.00
+0.09
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.06
—
25:07
44 Ross Johnston L
+0.21
0.00
+0.06
+0.20
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
8:28
12 Sam Colangelo R
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.15
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
10:16
19 Troy Terry R
-0.05
0.00
+0.03
-0.23
+0.15
0.00
0.00
—
16:29
20 Chris Kreider L
-0.07
0.00
+0.09
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
16:49
61 Cutter Gauthier L
-0.14
0.00
+0.28
-0.28
-0.15
+0.01
0.00
—
19:17
17 Alex Killorn L
-0.25
0.00
+0.18
-0.46
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
15:00
64 Mikael Granlund C
-0.25
0.00
+0.01
-0.21
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
17:42
77 Frank Vatrano R
-0.32
0.00
+0.05
-0.31
-0.15
0.00
+0.10
—
12:26
91 Leo Carlsson C
-0.48
0.00
+0.17
-0.62
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
18:29
1 Lukas Dostal G
-0.48
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.48
57:01
98 Pavel Mintyukov D
-0.88
0.00
0.00
-0.93
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:42
14 Drew Helleson D
-1.44
0.00
+0.06
-1.49
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:59
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
35 Joey Daccord G
+1.56
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.56
60:00
19 Jared McCann L
+1.49
+0.75
+0.46
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
18:24
10 Matty Beniers C
+1.36
+0.70
+0.16
+0.31
+0.15
+0.02
+0.02
—
19:09
6 Adam Larsson D
+1.29
+0.70
0.00
+0.46
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
21:51
7 Jordan Eberle R
+1.08
+0.55
+0.16
+0.29
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:41
62 Brandon Montour D
+1.05
+0.70
+0.08
+0.12
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
21:18
27 Mason Marchment L
+0.96
+0.75
+0.21
+0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
16:26
28 Josh Mahura D
+0.71
0.00
+0.05
+0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
16:12
29 Vince Dunn D
+0.69
+0.75
+0.08
-0.12
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
19:54
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+0.62
+0.55
0.00
+0.11
0.00
+0.02
-0.06
—
17:32
26 Ryan Winterton C
+0.39
0.00
+0.16
+0.07
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
12:02
55 Ryan Lindgren D
+0.33
0.00
+0.09
-0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.28
—
21:07
38 Jani Nyman R
+0.31
0.00
+0.08
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
7:52
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.20
0.00
+0.05
+0.22
-0.15
0.00
+0.08
—
16:00
51 Shane Wright C
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.17
0.00
-0.01
-0.02
—
15:45
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
+0.12
0.00
+0.12
-0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
14:52
12 Tye Kartye L
+0.11
0.00
+0.05
+0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:04
9 Chandler Stephenson C
+0.08
0.00
0.00
-0.09
0.00
+0.06
+0.10
—
18:02
89 Frederick Gaudreau C
+0.04
0.00
+0.01
+0.06
0.00
-0.03
0.00
—
12:49
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.