Seattle Kraken
Pacific Division, Western Conference
Current Standings
| GP | W | L | OTL | PTS | GF | GA | DIFF | PTS % | Last 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 56 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 63 | 162 | 165 | -3 | 56.2% |
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Playoff Probabilities
Based on 100,000 simulations run on Feb 20, 2026
Analysis
Summary
The Seattle Kraken are in a solid but not secure playoff position, sitting at 76.5% to make the postseason with a projected finish of 92.9 points. That puts them a couple of points above the expected cutoff of 90.6, but with several tightly packed teams around them, there is little margin for error.
Record and Recent Performance
Seattle is 27-20-9 through 56 games, good for 63 points and a 56.3% points percentage, which aligns closely with their overall team strength rating of 53.4%. Their goal differential is slightly negative at minus-3, suggesting many close games, but a 60.0% recent form indicates they have been trending in the right direction. The Kraken have been notably stronger at home with a 57.3% strength rating, while their 50.9% away rating underscores the importance of protecting home ice down the stretch.
The Competition
In the Western Conference race, Seattle sits seventh, wedged between Anaheim at the cutline and Edmonton just behind in projected points. Anaheim and Utah both project into the mid-90s in points and carry playoff probabilities above 85%, making them difficult to chase down, while Vegas remains comfortably ahead at a projected 96.3 points. The bigger danger is below, where Los Angeles, San Jose, and Nashville all trail but remain close enough that a short slump by Seattle could erase their current cushion.
Remaining Schedule
The Kraken have 26 games left with a perfectly even 13 home and 13 road split, and their remaining opponents average a 52.7% strength rating, essentially league average difficulty. With an expected 29.9 points still to be gained, Seattle is projected to finish just over the playoff threshold. This means their fate is largely in their own hands, but they cannot afford to underperform against mid-tier opponents or drop too many road games.
Outlook
Seattle’s playoff path is favorable but narrow, relying on steady, unspectacular results rather than a big surge. If they continue playing at their recent 60% pace and capitalize on home games, the Kraken should edge into the postseason. However, the congestion around the cutline means any extended cold stretch could quickly turn a 76.5% probability into a much more stressful finish.
Required Win Percentage for Playoffs
Win percentage needed in remaining games to achieve each playoff probability threshold. A checkmark (✓) means the team has already reached that threshold. A dash (—) means the threshold is impossible to reach.
Playoff Probability Breakdown
Understanding the factors that drive the 76.5% playoff probability
📊 Schedule Context
🎯 Key Factors
🏒 Playoff Picture
Playoff probabilities are calculated through Monte Carlo simulation, running 10,000+ scenarios of the remaining season. Each game is simulated based on team strength ratings, home ice advantage (~55% win rate), and opponent matchups.
Points Distribution vs. Cutline
Projected to finish with 90–96 points (middle 50%). The playoff cutline is typically 89–92 points. Finishes above the cutline in 78.2% of simulations.
Team Projection
Playoff Cutline
Playoff Race — Western Conference
| # | Team | PTS | GP | Left | STR | L10 | SOS | Proj PTS | Playoff % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 68 | 57 | 25 | 52.5% | 40.0% | 53.2% | 96.3 | 91.1% | |
| 5 | 64 | 57 | 25 | 59.6% | 70.0% | 52.3% | 94.4 | 86.1% | |
| 6 | 64 | 58 | 24 | 52.1% | 50.0% | 53.3% | 90.6 | 58.5% | |
| 7 | 63 | 56 | 26 | 53.4% | 60.0% | 52.7% | 92.9 | 76.5% | |
| 8 | 63 | 56 | 26 | 56.6% | 80.0% | 49.1% | 94.9 | 86.2% | |
| 9 | 60 | 56 | 26 | 49.6% | 55.0% | 49.4% | 89.5 | 43.6% | |
| 10 | 59 | 57 | 25 | 45.6% | 45.0% | 53.0% | 85.7 | 19.3% | |
| 11 | 58 | 55 | 27 | 46.8% | 45.0% | 49.3% | 88.1 | 33.9% | |
| 12 | 53 | 57 | 25 | 42.4% | 40.0% | 52.9% | 78.7 | 1.0% | |
Team Strength Metrics
| Overall Strength | Home Strength | Away Strength | Pythagorean Win % | Recent Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53.4% | 57.3% | 50.9% | 49.1% | 60.0% |
Player Statistics
| # | Player | Pos | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | SOG | HIT | BLK | TOI | Performance |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | R | 53 | 20 | 18 | 38 | +7 | 0 | 37 | 27 | 18:44 | |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | C | 53 | 13 | 23 | 36 | -14 | 0 | 16 | 40 | 19:47 | |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | C | 55 | 13 | 23 | 36 | -3 | 0 | 21 | 48 | 19:35 | |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | D | 54 | 7 | 25 | 32 | -18 | 0 | 17 | 57 | 22:12 | |
| 20 | Eeli Tolvanen | R | 54 | 11 | 20 | 31 | -8 | 0 | 139 | 58 | 16:21 | |
| 19 | Jared McCann | L | 31 | 15 | 14 | 29 | +2 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 16:36 | |
| 51 | Shane Wright | C | 55 | 11 | 11 | 22 | +4 | 0 | 41 | 41 | 13:55 | |
| 62 | Brandon Montour | D | 37 | 7 | 14 | 21 | -3 | 0 | 45 | 49 | 22:20 | |
| 84 | Kaapo Kakko | R | 39 | 5 | 15 | 20 | +5 | 0 | 22 | 6 | 14:17 | |
| 17 | Jaden Schwartz | L | 35 | 9 | 9 | 18 | +6 | 0 | 28 | 33 | 16:37 | |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | C | 42 | 4 | 13 | 17 | +8 | 0 | 16 | 33 | 16:15 | |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | D | 55 | 5 | 10 | 15 | +2 | 0 | 73 | 122 | 21:38 | |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | C | 53 | 3 | 11 | 14 | +2 | 0 | 45 | 25 | 11:42 | |
| 17 | Mason Marchment → CBJ | L | 29 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 0 | 38 | 10 | 16:57 | |
| 41 | Ryker Evans | D | 40 | 5 | 7 | 12 | +5 | 0 | 25 | 42 | 17:22 | |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | C | 39 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 12:29 | |
| 59 | Ben Meyers | C | 30 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -1 | 0 | 36 | 5 | 11:31 | |
| 24 | Jamie Oleksiak | D | 53 | 3 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 0 | 67 | 79 | 16:53 | |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | D | 55 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +16 | 0 | 33 | 95 | 18:49 | |
| 12 | Tye Kartye | L | 40 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -6 | 0 | 98 | 23 | 10:42 | |
| 63 | Jacob Melanson | R | 22 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 115 | 6 | 9:30 | |
| 28 | Joshua Mahura | D | 20 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +9 | 0 | 22 | 32 | 15:24 | |
| 8 | Cale Fleury | D | 16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 31 | 19 | 17:35 | |
| 78 | Oscar Fisker Molgaard | C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:42 |
Recent Games (Last 10)
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 04 | @ LAK | 2 - 4 | W |
| Feb 03 | @ ANA | 4 - 2 | L |
| Jan 31 | @ VGK | 2 - 3 | W |
| Jan 29 | vs TOR | 5 - 2 | W |
| Jan 27 | vs WSH | 5 - 1 | W |
| Jan 25 | vs NJD | 4 - 2 | W |
| Jan 23 | vs ANA | 2 - 4 | L |
| Jan 21 | vs NYI | 4 - 1 | W |
| Jan 19 | vs PIT | 3 - 6 | L |
| Jan 17 | @ UTA | 6 - 3 | L |
Upcoming Games
| Date | Opponent | Location | Opp Strength | Exp Pts | Predicted Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 20:00 | @ Dallas Stars | Away | 63.9% | 1.02 | DAL (56%) |
| Feb 26, 20:00 | @ St. Louis Blues | Away | 35.1% | 1.18 | SEA (53%) |
| Feb 28, 22:00 | vs Vancouver Canucks | Home | 32.8% | 1.28 | SEA (59%) |
| Mar 02, 22:00 | vs Carolina Hurricanes | Home | 68.2% | 1.07 | CAR (53%) |
| Mar 04, 22:00 | vs St. Louis Blues | Home | 35.1% | 1.43 | SEA (67%) |
| Mar 07, 22:00 | vs Ottawa Senators | Home | 55.5% | 1.16 | SEA (52%) |
| Mar 10, 22:00 | vs Nashville Predators | Home | 45.6% | 1.26 | SEA (57%) |
| Mar 12, 22:00 | vs Colorado Avalanche | Home | 66.8% | 1.13 | SEA (50%) |
| Mar 14, 22:00 | @ Vancouver Canucks | Away | 32.8% | 1.37 | SEA (64%) |
| Mar 15, 20:00 | vs Florida Panthers | Home | 46.7% | 1.23 | SEA (56%) |
| Total Expected (Next 10 games): | 12.1 pts | ||||
Expected points are calculated based on win probabilities: (2 × win%) + (0.25 × loss%) for overtime losses. Opponent strength ratings help identify which games are easier or harder opportunities to earn points.