| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 31 |
 |
0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:30 | |
Timo Meier (1) Nico Hischier (1), Dawson Mercer (1) · poke xG 0.23 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 10:17 | |
Connor Brown (1) Arseny Gritsyuk (1), Luke Hughes (3) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 13:48 | |
Nico Hischier (1) Timo Meier (1), Luke Hughes (4) · wrist xG 0.21 | 3–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 7:31 | |
Yanni Gourde (1) Brayden Point (3), Max Crozier (1) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 17:23 | |
Ryan McDonagh (1) Brandon Hagel (1), Max Crozier (2) · slap xG 0.05 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:48 | |
Jesper Bratt (2)SH Unassisted · wrist xG 0.21 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 6:29 | |
Connor Brown (2) Arseny Gritsyuk (2), Simon Nemec (1) · wrist xG 0.04 | 5–2 ▶ |
| 16:17 | |
Darren Raddysh (1) Oliver Bjorkstrand (1), Gage Goncalves (1) · wrist xG 0.05 | 5–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NJD | TBL | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.28 | Expected goals | 1.79 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 2.32 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.31 |
| 64 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 45 | Unblocked attempts | 27 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 17 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:50 | NJD | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced TBL 1.12–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:50 to 13:50 of the 1st; goals 3–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:50 | NJD | No shift | No shift · MacEwen, 10:43 on the bench
No shift from 7:21 of the 2nd to 2:33 of the 3rd; 5 shifts (4:16) before that |
| 6:29 | TBL | Goalie | Goalie · Vasilevskiy −2.4 goals saved
5 goals on 2.61 xG, 26 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.60 | 0 | 2 | 19:59 |
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0.84 | 1 | 0 | 19:19 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 19:08 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.55 | 1 | 1 | 18:06 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 2 | 17:14 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 14:45 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 3 | 3 | 14:29 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 13:14 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 41 | Luke Glendening | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 12:52 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 11:57 |
| 19 | Zack MacEwen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 1 | 07:12 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 22 | Brett Pesce | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 3 | 21:30 |
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 20:32 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.02 | 4 | 3 | 20:14 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:01 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 15:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Markstrom | 17 | 3 | 14 | .824 | 1.79 | -1.21 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 59 | Jake Guentzel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.30 | 1 | 1 | 24:31 |
| 71 | Anthony Cirelli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 3 | 2 | 21:45 |
| 86 | Nikita Kucherov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 6 | 0.26 | 1 | 1 | 20:32 |
| 21 | Brayden Point | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 20:07 |
| 38 | Brandon Hagel | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 37 | Yanni Gourde | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 15:33 |
| 28 | Oliver Bjorkstrand | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 |
| 93 | Gage Goncalves | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:21 |
| 29 | Pontus Holmberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 09:54 |
| 37 | Jack Finley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Victor Hedman | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 27:17 |
| 27 | Ryan McDonagh | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 20:22 |
| 43 | Darren Raddysh | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 8 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 17:38 |
| 81 | Erik Cernak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 |
| 78 | Emil Lilleberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:10 |
| 24 | Max Crozier | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 15:57 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Vasilevskiy | 31 | 5 | 26 | .839 | 3.18 | -1.82 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +2.95 | +1.45 | +0.39 | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.08 | — | 19:59 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +2.47 | +1.45 | +0.20 | +0.59 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:14 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | +1.87 | +0.75 | +0.36 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 18:06 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +1.86 | +1.40 | +0.25 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:14 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +1.81 | +1.50 | +0.10 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:45 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | +1.80 | +1.10 | +0.02 | +0.82 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:32 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | +1.69 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.77 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.20 | — | 19:08 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +1.47 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:01 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +1.29 | 0.00 | +0.55 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.04 | — | 19:19 |
| 18 Ondrej Palat L | +0.99 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.47 | +0.30 | -0.02 | +0.15 | — | 14:29 |
| 22 Brett Pesce D | +0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:30 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | +0.67 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 20:14 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:57 |
| 15 Zack MacEwen R | +0.07 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 7:12 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:01 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:51 |
| 14 Luke Glendening C | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 12:52 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:59 |
| 25 Jacob Markstrom G | -1.36 | 0.00 | — | — | -0.15 | — | — | -1.21 | 59:48 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Max Crozier D | +1.18 | +1.10 | +0.05 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:57 |
| 27 Ryan McDonagh D | +1.11 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 20:22 |
| 38 Brandon Hagel L | +0.67 | +0.70 | +0.16 | -0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:10 |
| 22 Oliver Bjorkstrand R | +0.44 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:16 |
| 93 Gage Goncalves C | +0.37 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:21 |
| 43 Darren Raddysh D | +0.28 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:38 |
| 14 Conor Geekie C | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:58 |
| 21 Brayden Point C | +0.25 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.34 | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.02 | — | 20:07 |
| 29 Pontus Holmberg R | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:54 |
| 81 Erik Cernak D | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:13 |
| 59 Jake Guentzel C | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | — | 24:31 |
| 37 Yanni Gourde C | -0.17 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -1.03 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:33 |
| 41 Mitchell Chaffee R | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:28 |
| 62 Jack Finley C | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 9:05 |
| 77 Victor Hedman D | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 27:17 |
| 86 Nikita Kucherov R | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:32 |
| 71 Anthony Cirelli C | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.08 | — | 21:45 |
| 78 Emil Lilleberg D | -1.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:10 |
| 88 Andrei Vasilevskiy G | -1.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.82 | 56:43 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.