| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 30 | |
| 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:40 | Mika Zibanejad (1)SH Sam Carrick (2), Adam Fox (1) · wrist xG 0.13 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:04 | Ben Kindel (1) Caleb Jones (1) · wrist xG 0.04 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 6:06 | Adam Fox (2) Adam Edstrom (1) · wrist xG 0.03 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 9:25 | Will Cuylle (1)PP Conor Sheary (1), Noah Laba (1) · deflected xG 0.16 | 3–1 ▶ | |
| 16:38 | Adam Fox (3)PP Artemi Panarin (2), J.T. Miller (2) · wrist xG 0.05 | 4–1 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 5:40 | Matt Rempe (1) Adam Edstrom (2), Sam Carrick (3) · deflected xG 0.06 | 5–1 ▶ | |
| 14:12 | Taylor Raddysh (1) Noah Laba (2), Juuso Parssinen (1) · wrist xG 0.20 | 6–1 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYR | PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.21 | Expected goals | 2.55 |
| 6 | Goals (no shootout) | 1 |
| 2.28 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.92 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 46 |
| 38 | Unblocked attempts | 34 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 19 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:38 | PIT | Goalie | Goalie · Silovs −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.68 xG, 17 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:03 | NYR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 63–37%
PIT had led since 5:49 of the 1st, by as much as 74% |
| 2:10 | NYR | No shift | No shift · Soucy, 25:24 on the bench
No shift after 3:38 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (6:35) before that |
| 5:40 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.12–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 15:40 of the 2nd to 5:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 14:00 | PIT | No shift | No shift · Acciari, 10:57 on the bench
No shift from 1:49 to 14:57 of the 3rd; 16 shifts (9:50) before that |
| 14:20 | PIT | No shift | No shift · Letang, 15:22 on the bench
No shift after 2:08 of the 3rd; 16 shifts (15:29) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.49 | 2 | 1 | 20:12 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 3 | 1 | 19:02 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.58 | 5 | 0 | 16:19 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 0.34 | 3 | 1 | 15:36 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 14:41 |
| 14 | Taylor Raddysh | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 84 | Adam Edstrom | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 11:18 |
| 73 | Matt Rempe | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 10:33 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 25:34 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 8 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 23:41 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 5 | 3 | 20:08 |
| 18 | Urho Vaakanainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 19:31 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 18:54 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:35 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 19 | 1 | 18 | .947 | 2.55 | +1.55 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 3 | 18:44 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 1 | 18:39 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.24 | 3 | 1 | 17:57 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 17:46 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 14:49 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.36 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:20 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.32 | 1 | 1 | 12:48 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 12:21 |
| 19 | Filip Hallander | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 12:05 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 21:28 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 20:28 |
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 |
| 82 | Caleb Jones | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 18:10 |
| 45 | Harrison Brunicke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 2 | 15:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arturs Silovs | 30 | 6 | 24 | .800 | 3.21 | -2.79 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Adam Fox D | +2.81 | +2.05 | +0.10 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:41 |
| 84 Adam Edstrom C | +2.15 | +1.40 | +0.14 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:18 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +2.00 | +1.25 | +0.04 | +0.55 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:43 |
| 39 Sam Carrick C | +1.96 | +1.25 | +0.22 | +0.48 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 15:36 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +1.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.55 | 59:40 |
| 73 Matt Rempe C | +1.37 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:33 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +1.34 | +0.75 | +0.32 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.01 | — | 20:12 |
| 14 Taylor Raddysh R | +1.23 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 12:46 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.03 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:24 |
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +0.86 | +0.75 | +0.38 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:19 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 20:08 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +0.51 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:41 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.21 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:59 |
| 18 Urho Vaakanainen D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:31 |
| 71 Juuso Parssinen C | +0.40 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.15 | -0.03 | +0.01 | — | 9:24 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +0.24 | +0.55 | +0.13 | -0.66 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 19:02 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.17 | — | 25:34 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 18:54 |
| 24 Carson Soucy D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:35 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +1.41 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 14:49 |
| 11 Filip Hallander C | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.48 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:05 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.62 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:59 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:28 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 12:48 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.12 | — | 12:21 |
| 82 Caleb Jones D | -0.03 | +0.70 | +0.03 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 18:10 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:20 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:28 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:30 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 15:29 |
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:16 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.69 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:39 |
| 45 Harrison Brunicke D | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:43 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | -0.36 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:44 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:57 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:03 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:46 |
| 37 Arturs Silovs G | -2.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.79 | 59:37 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.