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Montréal CanadiensMTL 3–2 Final Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 021 3 28
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 020 2 22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
2:45 MTL Cole Caufield (1)PP Zachary Bolduc (1), Nick Suzuki (3) · bat xG 0.35 1–0 ▶
4:34 CHI Sam Rinzel (1) Teuvo Teravainen (2), Frank Nazar (3) · wrist xG 0.04 1–1 ▶
5:45 MTL Zachary Bolduc (3)PP Cole Caufield (2), Nick Suzuki (4) · wrist xG 0.09 2–1 ▶
9:15 CHI Connor Bedard (2)PP Frank Nazar (4), Teuvo Teravainen (3) · tip-in xG 0.11 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:45 MTL Kaiden Guhle (1) Nick Suzuki (5), Lane Hutson (1) · wrist xG 0.03 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 77%Deserve to win23% CHI
MTLCHI
3.62Expected goals1.96
3Goals (no shootout)2
1.25Expected goals, 5 on 51.28
61Shot attempts44
43Unblocked attempts34
28Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
17:57 MTL Deserve to win Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 63–37%
CHI had led since 1:15 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
2nd Period
2:50 MTL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.15–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 12:50 of the 1st to 2:50 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
18:40 CHI No shift No shift · Lafferty, 11:11 on the bench
No shift after 1:47 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (4:43) before that
19:45 CHI Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Knight, down 3–2
With 0:15 left; MTL scored at 19:45 of the 3rd (3–2)

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:36) Ilya Mikheyev: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 1:12) Ryan Donato: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.30 (P1 1:15) Ryan Donato: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:16) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:20) Patrik Laine: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:05) Frank Nazar: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:56) Louis Crevier: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:48) Ryan Donato: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:40) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:10) Nick Suzuki: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 11:11) Patrik Laine: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:49) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 12:48) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:49) Kaiden Guhle: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 13:56) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:16) Cole Caufield: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:59) Patrik Laine: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:14) Patrik Laine: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:28) Josh Anderson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:53) Jake Evans: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 17:57) Jake Evans: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:28) Frank Nazar: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:03) Louis Crevier: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:09) Oliver Kapanen: deflected, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:19) Cole Caufield: backhand, 3 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:33) Connor Bedard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:51) Ilya Mikheyev: backhand, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:17) Cole Caufield: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 5:44) Ryan Donato: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:20) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:48) Connor Murphy: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:30) Jake Evans: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 8:38) Connor Bedard: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:05) Cole Caufield: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:39) Andre Burakovsky: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:55) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:38) Kaiden Guhle: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:45) Kirby Dach: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:21) Frank Nazar: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:56) Patrik Laine: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:22) Noah Dobson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:01) Noah Dobson: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:16) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:57) Connor Murphy: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:01) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:05) Ilya Mikheyev: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:21) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:08) Lane Hutson: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 2:13) Cole Caufield: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 2:41) Cole Caufield: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:42) Connor Bedard: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:55) Tyler Bertuzzi: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 6:02) Nick Foligno: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:33) Ryan Donato: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 7:34) Ryan Donato: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:50) Ryan Donato: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 8:08) Nick Suzuki: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:53) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:08) Alexandre Carrier: backhand, 174 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:12) Alexandre Carrier: backhand, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:30) Ryan Donato: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:02) Kaiden Guhle: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:37) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:47) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:49) Noah Dobson: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:15) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:33) Louis Crevier: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:53) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:22) Teuvo Teravainen: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:25) Alex Newhook: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:04) Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:58) Cole Caufield: GOAL, bat, 10 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 2:45) Sam Rinzel: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:34) Zachary Bolduc: GOAL, wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 5:45) Connor Bedard: GOAL, tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:15) Kaiden Guhle: GOAL, wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:45)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 033 +1 50.36 1021:56
20 Juraj Slafkovský 000 +1 50.17 1120:37
13 Cole Caufield 112 +1 101.12 1019:58
76 Zachary Bolduc 112 0 50.32 2016:42
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 20.01 2214:37
71 Jake Evans 000 -1 40.38 0014:33
93 Ivan Demidov 000 -1 20.15 0014:22
77 Kirby Dach 000 0 10.04 1014:12
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 0 30.09 0013:52
92 Patrik Laine 000 -1 60.34 1013:33
15 Alex Newhook 000 0 10.03 1013:15
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 0 10.06 0010:40
Defense
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 50.15 0223:34
8 Mike Matheson 000 0 00.00 1223:08
48 Lane Hutson 011 +1 40.24 0021:26
21 Kaiden Guhle 101 0 40.15 3116:32
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 -1 20.00 0013:43
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 10.00 2006:48
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Montembeault 22220 .909 1.96 -0.04

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Teuvo Teravainen 022 +1 10.01 0120:34
91 Frank Nazar 022 +1 30.16 1118:28
98 Connor Bedard 101 -1 40.29 0118:23
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 -1 40.25 2016:41
34 Colton Dach 000 0 10.00 6016:02
71 Nick Foligno 000 -1 10.03 4315:31
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 +1 30.19 1014:33
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 0 40.26 2013:46
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 100.62 0113:19
20 Ryan Greene 000 0 00.00 2009:54
18 Sam Lafferty 000 0 00.00 1004:43
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 10.00 1224:15
5 Connor Murphy 000 0 30.03 0220:21
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 +1 30.00 1118:48
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 0 00.00 0014:57
46 Louis Crevier 000 0 30.06 0109:35
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 28325 .893 3.62 +0.62

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Cole Caufield R +2.75 +1.45 +0.72 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:58
14 Nick Suzuki C +2.46 +1.80 +0.23 +0.52 -0.15 +0.07 -0.02 — 21:56
76 Zachary Bolduc R +2.00 +1.45 +0.21 +0.04 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 16:42
48 Lane Hutson D +1.07 +0.55 +0.15 +0.28 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 21:26
21 Kaiden Guhle D +0.83 +0.75 +0.09 -0.05 -0.03 0.00 +0.07 — 16:32
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +0.72 0.00 +0.11 +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:37
17 Josh Anderson R +0.56 0.00 +0.01 +0.17 +0.30 0.00 +0.08 — 14:37
71 Jake Evans C +0.38 0.00 +0.25 -0.04 +0.15 +0.06 -0.04 — 14:33
8 Mike Matheson D +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:08
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.26 0.00 +0.06 +0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:52
53 Noah Dobson D +0.23 0.00 +0.10 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 23:34
77 Kirby Dach C +0.20 0.00 +0.03 +0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:12
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.17 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:43
35 Samuel Montembeault G -0.04 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.04 59:46
92 Patrik Laine L -0.23 0.00 +0.22 -0.43 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:33
15 Alex Newhook C -0.31 0.00 +0.02 -0.37 +0.03 +0.01 0.00 — 13:15
93 Ivan Demidov R -0.62 0.00 +0.09 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:22
72 Arber Xhekaj D -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.47 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 6:48
91 Oliver Kapanen C -0.68 0.00 +0.04 -0.70 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 10:40

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Frank Nazar C +1.86 +1.25 +0.11 +0.15 +0.30 -0.02 +0.07 — 18:28
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +1.46 +1.25 0.00 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:34
44 Wyatt Kaiser D +0.89 0.00 0.00 +1.00 -0.18 0.00 +0.07 — 18:48
8 Ryan Donato C +0.81 0.00 +0.40 +0.55 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 13:19
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +0.68 0.00 +0.17 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:46
30 Spencer Knight G +0.62 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.62 59:45
20 Ryan Greene C +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:54
46 Louis Crevier D +0.50 0.00 +0.04 +0.52 -0.12 0.00 +0.05 — 9:35
6 Sam Rinzel D +0.32 +0.75 +0.03 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 25:58
98 Connor Bedard C +0.30 +0.75 +0.19 -0.49 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 18:23
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.16 0.00 +0.13 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:33
17 Nick Foligno L +0.13 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.04 +0.15 — 15:31
5 Connor Murphy D -0.10 0.00 +0.02 -0.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:21
28 Andre Burakovsky L -0.23 0.00 +0.16 -0.38 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:41
73 Lukas Reichel L -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 6:41
24 Sam Lafferty C -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.05 -0.30 -0.02 -0.02 — 4:43
48 Matt Grzelcyk D -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.26 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
34 Colton Dach C -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.49 0.00 -0.03 +0.02 — 16:02
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 24:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.