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Anaheim DucksANA 7–6 Final/OT San Jose SharksSJS

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Anaheim DucksANA 2221 7 44
San Jose SharksSJS 2310 6 23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:40 SJS Tyler Toffoli (1) Will Smith (1), Macklin Celebrini (1) · slap xG 0.14 0–1 ▶
11:12 SJS Ryan Reaves (1) Adam Gaudette (1), Nick Leddy (1) · wrist xG 0.25 0–2 ▶
11:53 ANA Cutter Gauthier (1) Mason McTavish (2), Radko Gudas (1) · wrist xG 0.12 1–2 ▶
15:14 ANA Beckett Sennecke (2)PP Mason McTavish (3), Olen Zellweger (1) · wrist xG 0.47 2–2 ▶
2nd Period
5:21 SJS Mario Ferraro (1) Will Smith (2), Macklin Celebrini (2) · wrist xG 0.18 2–3 ▶
6:19 ANA Alex Killorn (1) Mikael Granlund (1) · wrist xG 0.18 3–3 ▶
10:34 SJS John Klingberg (1)PP Macklin Celebrini (3), Will Smith (3) · slap xG 0.11 3–4 ▶
17:14 SJS Adam Gaudette (1)PP Alexander Wennberg (1), Dmitry Orlov (2) · slap xG 0.14 3–5 ▶
19:29 ANA Chris Kreider (1)PP Leo Carlsson (1), Troy Terry (1) · wrist xG 0.56 4–5 ▶
3rd Period
5:34 SJS Jeff Skinner (2) Ty Dellandrea (2), Dmitry Orlov (3) · wrist xG 0.08 4–6 ▶
10:29 ANA Cutter Gauthier (2) Mason McTavish (4), Beckett Sennecke (1) · tip-in xG 0.09 5–6 ▶
19:09 ANA Chris Kreider (2) Leo Carlsson (2), Troy Terry (2) · wrist xG 0.06 6–6 ▶
Overtime
0:46 ANA Leo Carlsson (1) Mikael Granlund (2) · wrist xG 0.08 7–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

ANA 88%Deserve to win12% SJS
ANASJS
5.29Expected goals2.33
7Goals (no shootout)6
3.31Expected goals, 5 on 51.46
85Shot attempts43
66Unblocked attempts30
44Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:40 ANA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.40–0.35
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:40 to 15:40 of the 1st; goals 2–1
2nd Period
10:34 ANA Goalie Goalie · Mrazek −2.7 goals saved
4 goals on 1.30 xG, 14 shots on goal
3rd Period
4:20 ANA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.26–0.16
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:20 of the 2nd to 4:20 of the 3rd; goals 1–1
18:19 ANA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Mrazek, down 6–5
With 1:41 left; ANA scored at 19:09 of the 3rd (6–6)

Shot map

ANA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Cutter Gauthier: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 0:17) William Eklund: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:39) Troy Terry: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:58) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 144 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 5:54) Radko Gudas: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 7:38) Olen Zellweger: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:08) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:24) Mason McTavish: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:26) Timothy Liljegren: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:22) Mario Ferraro: slap, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:30) William Eklund: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:55) Alex Killorn: slap, 4 ft, xG 0.29 (P1 10:36) Jacob Trouba: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:40) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:22) Chris Kreider: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:31) Leo Carlsson: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:35) Chris Kreider: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 14:09) Mason McTavish: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:11) Alex Killorn: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:25) Radko Gudas: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:34) Frank Vatrano: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:02) Troy Terry: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:34) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:40) Will Smith: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:36) Nikita Nesterenko: slap, 17 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:11) Beckett Sennecke: poke, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:44) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:57) Chris Kreider: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 1:07) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:15) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:18) Jackson LaCombe: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:03) Collin Graf: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:42) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:00) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:19) William Eklund: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:11) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:31) Alex Killorn: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:49) Chris Kreider: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:32) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 8:08) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.46 (P2 8:11) Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:58) Will Smith: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:09) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 11:18) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 11:21) Troy Terry: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:34) Philipp Kurashev: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:17) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 16:18) Alex Killorn: wrist, 162 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:52) Jacob Trouba: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:30) Mason McTavish: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:31) Pavel Mintyukov: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:51) Chris Kreider: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:06) Troy Terry: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:26) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:46) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:15) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:19) Cutter Gauthier: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:31) Jacob Trouba: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:37) Troy Terry: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 0:54) Jacob Trouba: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:19) Olen Zellweger: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:12) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 4:37) Tyler Toffoli: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:41) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:16) Chris Kreider: tip-in, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:05) Alex Killorn: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 11:13) Jackson LaCombe: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:53) Pavel Mintyukov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:44) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:48) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:15) Alex Killorn: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:43) Will Smith: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:53) Mason McTavish: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:29) Mason McTavish: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:30) Mason McTavish: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:30) Beckett Sennecke: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:30) Troy Terry: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:01) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 186 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:03) Cutter Gauthier: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:18) Chris Kreider: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:07) Leo Carlsson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:08) Mason McTavish: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:33) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 0:16) Tyler Toffoli: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:40) Ryan Reaves: GOAL, wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 11:12) Cutter Gauthier: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 11:53) Beckett Sennecke: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.47 (P1 15:14) Mario Ferraro: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 5:21) Alex Killorn: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 6:19) John Klingberg: GOAL, slap, 39 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 10:34) Adam Gaudette: GOAL, slap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 17:14) Chris Kreider: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.56 (P2 19:29) Jeff Skinner: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 5:34) Cutter Gauthier: GOAL, tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:29) Chris Kreider: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:09) Leo Carlsson: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:46)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Anaheim Ducks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
83 Mason McTavish 033 0 100.46 2020:50
64 Mikael Granlund 022 +2 00.00 0120:41
91 Leo Carlsson 123 +2 40.17 0019:42
61 Cutter Gauthier 202 0 130.46 2119:28
45 Beckett Sennecke 112 -1 81.26 2019:14
17 Alex Killorn 101 0 70.76 3018:24
19 Troy Terry 022 +2 60.45 0017:28
22 Chris Kreider 202 +1 91.16 2017:08
77 Frank Vatrano 000 0 20.01 3112:02
25 Ryan Poehling 000 -1 00.00 0007:41
13 Nikita Nesterenko 000 -1 10.15 2005:57
49 Ross Johnston 000 -1 00.00 1005:36
Defense
2 Jackson LaCombe 000 +1 60.08 1127:32
6 Radko Gudas 011 -2 30.02 2319:59
8 Olen Zellweger 011 +1 40.18 1119:56
65 Jacob Trouba 000 +3 60.09 3218:15
14 Drew Helleson 000 -1 20.00 0215:14
98 Pavel Mintyukov 000 -1 40.03 0011:49
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Petr Mrazek 23617 .739 2.33 -3.67

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 033 0 40.09 0020:23
96 Philipp Kurashev 000 +1 50.25 1019:55
21 Alexander Wennberg 011 -2 00.00 0119:39
2 Will Smith 033 +1 60.29 0018:14
27 William Eklund 000 -3 40.13 0017:32
10 Ty Dellandrea 011 0 10.00 6116:35
73 Tyler Toffoli 101 -1 50.51 0015:08
51 Collin Graf 000 0 10.05 0114:01
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 +1 00.00 3213:47
53 Jeff Skinner 101 0 50.23 1010:10
81 Adam Gaudette 112 +1 10.14 1008:41
75 Ryan Reaves 101 +1 10.25 1006:05
Defense
38 Mario Ferraro 101 0 40.20 0522:21
9 Dmitry Orlov 022 +1 30.05 5121:57
27 Timothy Liljegren 000 0 10.02 2421:21
3 John Klingberg 101 -1 20.11 0119:11
4 Nick Leddy 011 -2 00.00 0218:20
6 Sam Dickinson 000 +1 00.00 0011:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 44737 .841 5.29 -1.71

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Anaheim Ducks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Mason McTavish C +4.08 +2.10 +0.30 +1.85 -0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 20:50
45 Beckett Sennecke R +3.68 +1.30 +0.82 +1.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:14
61 Cutter Gauthier L +3.66 +1.50 +0.30 +1.85 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 19:28
51 Olen Zellweger D +3.20 +0.55 +0.12 +2.48 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:56
65 Jacob Trouba D +2.67 0.00 +0.06 +2.51 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:15
91 Leo Carlsson C +2.34 +2.15 +0.11 +0.06 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 19:42
20 Chris Kreider L +2.30 +1.50 +0.75 +0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:08
64 Mikael Granlund C +1.73 +1.40 0.00 +0.20 +0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 20:41
17 Alex Killorn L +1.66 +0.75 +0.49 +0.31 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:24
19 Troy Terry R +1.61 +1.10 +0.29 +0.23 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 17:28
7 Radko Gudas D +0.75 +0.55 +0.01 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 19:59
77 Frank Vatrano R +0.59 0.00 +0.01 +0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:02
2 Jackson LaCombe D +0.37 0.00 +0.05 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 27:32
14 Drew Helleson D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 15:14
13 Nikita Nesterenko C -0.15 0.00 +0.10 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:57
44 Ross Johnston L -0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:36
25 Ryan Poehling C -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.25 -0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 7:41
98 Pavel Mintyukov D -0.69 0.00 +0.02 -0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:49
34 Petr Mrazek G -3.67 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.67 59:49

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
81 Adam Gaudette R +1.72 +1.45 +0.09 +0.32 -0.15 +0.01 0.00 — 8:41
38 Mario Ferraro D +1.59 +0.75 +0.13 +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 22:21
75 Ryan Reaves R +1.30 +0.75 +0.16 +0.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:05
2 Will Smith C +0.80 +1.95 +0.19 -1.32 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:14
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.67 +0.75 +0.15 -0.36 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:10
10 Ty Dellandrea C +0.60 +0.70 0.00 -0.34 +0.15 +0.06 +0.03 — 16:35
71 Macklin Celebrini C +0.55 +1.80 +0.06 -1.34 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 — 20:23
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.39 +0.75 +0.33 -0.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:08
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.22 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 13:47
6 Sam Dickinson D -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:59
21 Alexander Wennberg C -0.07 +0.70 0.00 -0.79 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 19:39
51 Collin Graf R -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 14:01
37 Timothy Liljegren D -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 +0.20 — 21:21
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.45 +1.10 +0.03 -1.45 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 21:57
4 Nick Leddy D -0.52 +0.55 0.00 -1.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 18:20
72 William Eklund L -0.74 0.00 +0.08 -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.08 — 17:32
3 John Klingberg D -0.78 +0.75 +0.07 -1.48 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:11
96 Philipp Kurashev C -1.09 0.00 +0.16 -1.20 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 19:55
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -1.71 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.71 60:37

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.