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Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 1–2 Final/OT Seattle KrakenSEA

Saturday, October 11, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 0010 1 27
Seattle KrakenSEA 0101 2 22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
7:58 SEA Matty Beniers (1)PP Jordan Eberle (2), Vince Dunn (1) · backhand xG 0.19 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
4:11 VGK Pavel Dorofeyev (5)PP Mark Stone (5), Jack Eichel (5) · slap xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
Overtime
4:56 SEA Jared McCann (2) Matty Beniers (2), Vince Dunn (2) · wrist xG 0.34 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VGK 37%Deserve to win63% SEA
VGKSEA
2.70Expected goals3.49
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.49Expected goals, 5 on 51.41
67Shot attempts59
46Unblocked attempts44
27Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
1:39 SEA Deserve to win Deserve to win · SEA takes the lead, 62–38%
VGK had led since 16:18 of the 1st, by as much as 62%
Overtime
4:13 VGK Goalie Goalie · Hill +2.0 goals saved
1 goal on 3.03 xG, 19 shots on goal

Shot map

VGK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SEA shoots
Brandon Montour: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:12) Mason Marchment: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:13) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 1:37) Jamie Oleksiak: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 2:17) Frederick Gaudreau: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:14) Tye Kartye: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:29) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:03) Brandon Montour: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:46) Jaden Schwartz: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:53) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:14) Ben Hutton: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:51) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 9:44) Frederick Gaudreau: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:16) Shea Theodore: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:59) William Karlsson: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:36) Brandon Montour: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:07) Colton Sissons: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 16:18) Keegan Kolesar: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:39) Reilly Smith: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:08) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:37) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:21) Josh Mahura: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:43) Vince Dunn: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:56) Matty Beniers: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:02) Matty Beniers: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 19:17) Jordan Eberle: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:32) Jared McCann: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:35) Jared McCann: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:42) Vince Dunn: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:50) Colton Sissons: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:26) Jordan Eberle: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 1:39) Mason Marchment: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:45) Shane Wright: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:08) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:59) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:22) Jack Eichel: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:45) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:36) Jack Eichel: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:53) Pavel Dorofeyev: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 6:12) Mitch Marner: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:44) Matty Beniers: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:21) Shane Wright: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:39) Adam Larsson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:26) William Karlsson: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:46) Ben Hutton: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:29) Zach Whitecloud: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:53) Mitch Marner: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:06) Shea Theodore: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:01) William Karlsson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:49) Matty Beniers: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:53) Jack Eichel: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:15) Eeli Tolvanen: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 16:43) Mason Marchment: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:51) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:07) Mark Stone: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:01) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:28) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:33) Tomas Hertl: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:56) Jack Eichel: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 19:58) Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:41) Pavel Dorofeyev: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 3:38) Jack Eichel: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:55) Matty Beniers: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 4:39) Keegan Kolesar: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:15) Ben Hutton: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:18) Josh Mahura: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:48) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:46) Mitch Marner: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:47) Zach Whitecloud: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:54) Jaden Schwartz: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 16:09) Tomas Hertl: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:47) Kaedan Korczak: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:10) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 102 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:21) Brandon Montour: slap, 143 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:48) Matty Beniers: deflected, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:26) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 131 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:32) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:10) Shea Theodore: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 0:25) Vince Dunn: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 1:52) Matty Beniers: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:57) Jared McCann: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 3:12) Shane Wright: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 3:48) William Karlsson: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:01) Brandon Montour: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 4:13) Shea Theodore: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 4:33) Jordan Eberle: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:41) Matty Beniers: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 4:54) Matty Beniers: GOAL, backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 7:58) Pavel Dorofeyev: GOAL, slap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:11) Jared McCann: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.34 (OT 4:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mitch Marner 000 -1 80.18 0022:47
9 Jack Eichel 011 -1 60.47 1021:28
61 Mark Stone 011 0 20.01 0119:57
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 101 0 70.43 0018:25
48 Tomas Hertl 000 -1 50.28 0018:06
71 William Karlsson 000 0 50.25 0317:12
49 Ivan Barbashev 000 0 40.21 2016:16
19 Reilly Smith 000 0 10.01 1014:31
21 Brett Howden 000 0 00.00 1012:51
20 Brandon Saad 000 0 20.00 0112:16
15 Colton Sissons 000 0 30.13 1011:42
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 0 30.09 6011:20
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 000 0 50.40 0122:33
3 Brayden McNabb 000 0 10.00 1220:35
28 Zach Whitecloud 000 0 50.06 4119:29
17 Ben Hutton 000 0 40.03 1018:13
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 40.02 1216:21
5 Jeremy Lauzon 000 0 20.13 3316:05
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 22220 .909 3.49 +1.49

Seattle Kraken

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Chandler Stephenson 000 0 20.12 0222:37
7 Jordan Eberle 011 0 50.52 2019:28
10 Matty Beniers 112 +1 101.13 0017:54
71 Jaden Schwartz 000 0 30.28 3116:32
19 Jared McCann 101 +1 60.55 2016:25
89 Frederick Gaudreau 000 0 40.05 0316:02
26 Ryan Winterton 000 0 00.00 0015:49
24 Tye Kartye 000 0 40.01 6014:57
27 Mason Marchment 000 0 30.11 0214:10
51 Shane Wright 000 0 30.26 1013:33
17 Eeli Tolvanen 000 0 30.09 5113:21
Defense
29 Vince Dunn 022 +1 40.13 0124:02
6 Adam Larsson 000 0 30.02 2323:36
62 Brandon Montour 000 0 60.17 1323:11
55 Ryan Lindgren 000 0 00.00 1219:02
28 Josh Mahura 000 0 20.01 2015:48
4 Jamie Oleksiak 000 0 10.04 2214:59
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joey Daccord 27126 .963 2.70 +1.70

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 Adin Hill G +1.49 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.49 64:56
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +1.37 +0.75 +0.28 +0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:25
61 Mark Stone R +0.94 +0.70 +0.01 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 19:57
48 Tomas Hertl C +0.61 0.00 +0.18 +0.39 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 18:06
9 Jack Eichel C +0.55 +0.55 +0.31 -0.23 0.00 +0.01 -0.08 — 21:28
27 Shea Theodore D +0.39 0.00 +0.26 +0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.03 — 22:33
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +0.30 0.00 +0.08 +0.24 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 16:05
71 William Karlsson C +0.28 0.00 +0.16 -0.03 0.00 +0.02 +0.13 — 17:12
20 Brandon Saad L +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.22 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:16
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.20 0.00 +0.01 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:21
93 Mitch Marner R +0.13 0.00 +0.12 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 22:47
3 Brayden McNabb D +0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:35
2 Zach Whitecloud D +0.04 0.00 +0.04 -0.18 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 19:29
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.01 0.00 +0.06 -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:20
19 Reilly Smith R -0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:31
21 Brett Howden C -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 12:51
49 Ivan Barbashev L -0.13 0.00 +0.14 -0.21 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 16:16
10 Colton Sissons C -0.15 0.00 +0.09 -0.13 -0.15 +0.04 0.00 — 11:42
17 Ben Hutton D -0.16 0.00 +0.02 -0.33 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:13

Seattle Kraken

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
10 Matty Beniers C +2.68 +1.45 +0.73 +0.49 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 17:54
29 Vince Dunn D +1.96 +1.10 +0.08 +0.73 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:02
19 Jared McCann L +1.77 +0.75 +0.36 +0.51 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:25
35 Joey Daccord G +1.70 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.70 64:56
7 Jordan Eberle R +1.27 +0.70 +0.34 +0.40 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:28
6 Adam Larsson D +0.74 0.00 +0.01 +0.60 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:36
17 Jaden Schwartz L +0.44 0.00 +0.19 +0.23 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 16:32
20 Eeli Tolvanen R +0.33 0.00 +0.06 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:21
51 Shane Wright C +0.18 0.00 +0.17 +0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 13:33
38 Jani Nyman R +0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.11 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 8:37
9 Chandler Stephenson C -0.07 0.00 +0.08 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:37
62 Brandon Montour D -0.08 0.00 +0.11 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:11
28 Josh Mahura D -0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:48
89 Frederick Gaudreau C -0.21 0.00 +0.03 -0.41 +0.15 -0.11 +0.13 — 16:02
27 Mason Marchment L -0.26 0.00 +0.07 -0.38 0.00 -0.01 +0.06 — 14:10
24 Jamie Oleksiak D -0.43 0.00 +0.02 -0.38 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 14:59
12 Tye Kartye L -0.45 0.00 +0.01 -0.39 0.00 -0.01 -0.06 — 14:57
55 Ryan Lindgren D -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:02
26 Ryan Winterton C -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.63 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:49

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.