Winnipeg JetsWPG 5–2 Final New York IslandersNYI

Monday, October 13, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG	2	2	1	5	26
New York IslandersNYI	0	2	0	2	35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
7:35	WPG	Morgan Barron (2) Cole Koepke (1), Logan Stanley (1) · backhand xG 0.18	1–0 ▶
11:48	WPG	Nino Niederreiter (1)PP Gustav Nyquist (1), Jonathan Toews (1) · wrist xG 0.15	2–0 ▶
2nd Period
2:05	NYI	Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1) Tony DeAngelo (1) · tip-in xG 0.10	2–1 ▶
2:19	WPG	Logan Stanley (1) Tanner Pearson (1), Morgan Barron (2) · wrist xG 0.04	3–1 ▶
12:39	WPG	Tanner Pearson (1) Nino Niederreiter (1) · wrist xG 0.27	4–1 ▶
14:45	NYI	Emil Heineman (1) Jonathan Drouin (1), Matthew Schaefer (2) · snap xG 0.05	4–2 ▶
3rd Period
17:35	WPG	Mark Scheifele (3)EN Kyle Connor (2) · backhand xG 0.91	5–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 33%Deserve to win67% NYI

WPG		NYI
3.16	Expected goals	3.25
5	Goals (no shootout)	2
1.32	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.16
47	Shot attempts	82
33	Unblocked attempts	58
26	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
11:40	WPG	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 61–39% NYI had led since 0:16 of the 1st, by as much as 68%
2nd Period
6:54	NYI	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 60–40% WPG had led since 11:40 of the 1st, by as much as 67%
10:10	WPG	No shift	No shift · Koepke, 31:43 on the bench No shift after 16:48 of the 1st; 5 shifts (2:50) before that
12:39	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Sorokin −2.4 goals saved 4 goals on 1.64 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
13:30	NYI	No shift	No shift · Tsyplakov, 14:25 on the bench No shift after 3:30 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (6:43) before that
15:53	NYI	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–2 With 4:07 left; WPG scored at 17:35 of the 3rd (5–2)

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
81	Kyle Connor	0	1	1	+1	4	0.03	0	0	20:28
19	Jonathan Toews	0	1	1	0	4	0.24	0	2	19:51
55	Mark Scheifele	1	0	1	0	4	1.12	0	0	17:30
9	Alex Iafallo	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	2	16:53
13	Gabriel Vilardi	0	0	0	+1	6	0.22	0	1	16:52
7	Vladislav Namestnikov	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	0	16:24
36	Morgan Barron	1	1	2	+2	2	0.23	2	0	15:42
62	Nino Niederreiter	1	1	2	0	4	0.38	0	1	13:41
14	Gustav Nyquist	0	1	1	-1	5	0.23	1	3	12:52
70	Tanner Pearson	1	1	2	+3	3	0.28	0	1	11:39
45	Cole Koepke	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	1	02:50
Defense
4	Neal Pionk	0	0	0	+3	4	0.10	1	3	24:18
2	Dylan DeMelo	0	0	0	+2	0	0.00	2	2	22:01
44	Josh Morrissey	0	0	0	0	1	0.04	0	3	22:00
8	Logan Stanley	1	1	2	+1	2	0.06	3	1	18:22
2	Luke Schenn	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	2	1	17:23
6	Colin Miller	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	0	1	10:57

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Eric Comrie	35	2	33	.943	3.25	+1.25

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Bo Horvat	0	0	0	0	7	0.53	0	1	24:24
13	Mathew Barzal	0	0	0	-1	7	0.40	0	1	24:15
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	1	1	0	6	0.48	0	0	20:04
21	Kyle Palmieri	0	0	0	-1	7	0.56	1	0	19:32
72	Anders Lee	0	0	0	-2	1	0.04	1	1	15:53
11	Anthony Duclair	0	0	0	-1	1	0.06	0	0	15:09
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	1	0	1	0	3	0.17	1	1	13:38
49	Maxim Shabanov	0	0	0	-1	5	0.23	1	0	12:47
51	Emil Heineman	1	0	1	+1	6	0.26	4	1	12:11
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	3	0	10:50
92	Simon Holmstrom	0	0	0	-1	1	0.12	0	1	10:50
72	Maxim Tsyplakov	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	1	0	06:43
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	1	1	-1	12	0.15	1	1	26:35
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	1	1	-1	2	0.08	0	1	17:46
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	-1	7	0.05	1	2	16:41
6	Ryan Pulock	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	0	1	16:17
28	Alexander Romanov	0	0	0	0	5	0.02	0	2	16:05
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	0	6	0.05	0	0	16:04

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	25	4	21	.840	2.25	-1.75

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
70 Tanner Pearson L	+2.16	+1.45	+0.18	+0.52	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	11:39
36 Morgan Barron C	+1.73	+1.30	+0.15	+0.33	0.00	-0.05	0.00	—	15:42
62 Nino Niederreiter R	+1.54	+1.45	+0.25	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	13:41
1 Eric Comrie G	+1.25	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.25	59:56
45 Cole Koepke L	+0.92	+0.70	0.00	+0.32	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	2:50
19 Jonathan Toews C	+0.73	+0.55	+0.15	-0.17	0.00	+0.10	+0.10	—	19:51
55 Mark Scheifele C	+0.69	+0.75	+0.73	-0.63	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	17:30
64 Logan Stanley D	+0.67	+1.30	+0.04	-0.59	-0.15	0.00	+0.07	—	18:22
14 Gustav Nyquist R	+0.50	+0.70	+0.15	-0.67	+0.15	0.00	+0.17	—	12:52
81 Kyle Connor L	+0.45	+0.70	+0.02	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:28
4 Neal Pionk D	+0.34	0.00	+0.06	-0.02	+0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	24:18
90 Nikita Chibrikov R	+0.24	0.00	+0.14	+0.03	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	10:21
2 Dylan DeMelo D	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.22	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	22:01
13 Gabriel Vilardi C	-0.12	0.00	+0.14	-0.46	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:52
9 Alex Iafallo L	-0.22	0.00	0.00	-0.31	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	—	16:53
44 Josh Morrissey D	-0.26	0.00	+0.02	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	22:00
6 Colin Miller D	-0.43	0.00	+0.01	-0.34	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	10:57
5 Luke Schenn D	-0.45	0.00	+0.02	-0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:23
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C	-0.76	0.00	0.00	-0.77	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	16:24

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
51 Emil Heineman L	+1.81	+0.75	+0.17	+0.84	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:11
29 Jonathan Drouin L	+1.71	+0.70	+0.31	+0.72	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	20:04
48 Matthew Schaefer D	+1.34	+0.55	+0.10	+0.53	+0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	26:35
14 Bo Horvat C	+1.23	0.00	+0.35	+0.65	+0.15	+0.03	+0.05	—	24:24
13 Mathew Barzal C	+1.06	0.00	+0.26	+0.81	0.00	-0.06	+0.05	—	24:15
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	+1.03	+0.75	+0.11	+0.15	0.00	-0.01	+0.03	—	13:38
21 Kyle Palmieri C	+0.93	0.00	+0.36	+0.56	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:32
3 Adam Pelech D	+0.57	0.00	+0.03	+0.54	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:04
77 Tony DeAngelo D	+0.55	+0.70	+0.05	-0.25	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:46
6 Ryan Pulock D	+0.36	0.00	+0.01	+0.36	0.00	0.00	-0.01	—	16:17
28 Alexander Romanov D	+0.30	0.00	+0.01	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:05
24 Scott Mayfield D	+0.17	0.00	+0.03	+0.17	-0.15	0.00	+0.12	—	16:41
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.16	0.00	+0.04	+0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:09
49 Max Shabanov R	-0.03	0.00	+0.15	-0.31	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	12:47
10 Simon Holmstrom R	-0.07	0.00	+0.08	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	10:50
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R	-0.13	0.00	+0.02	-0.27	+0.15	-0.01	-0.02	—	6:43
27 Anders Lee L	-0.38	0.00	+0.02	-0.30	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	15:53
53 Casey Cizikas C	-0.59	0.00	+0.01	-0.43	-0.15	-0.02	0.00	—	10:50
30 Ilya Sorokin G	-1.75	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.75	58:18

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.