| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 26 | |
| 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:54 | Tyson Foerster (1) Sean Couturier (1) · wrist xG 0.17 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:47 | Sean Couturier (1) Travis Konecny (2), Travis Sanheim (1) · wrist xG 0.15 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 19:22 | Sam Reinhart (2)SH Anton Lundell (2) · backhand xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:15 | Sam Bennett (1)PP Sam Reinhart (1), Brad Marchand (2) · wrist xG 0.06 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 15:50 | Sean Couturier (2) Trevor Zegras (2), Jamie Drysdale (1) · snap xG 0.12 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 17:43 | Bobby Brink (2)EN Noah Cates (2), Nick Seeler (1) · wrist xG 0.91 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 18:33 | Christian Dvorak (1)EN Travis Sanheim (2), Sean Couturier (2) · tip-in xG 0.86 | 2–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.57 | Expected goals | 5.62 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.35 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.70 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 41 |
| 26 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:56 | FLA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 3–2
With 3:04 left; PHI scored at 17:43 of the 3rd (2–4) |
| 18:05 | FLA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Tarasov, down 4–2
With 1:55 left; PHI scored at 18:33 of the 3rd (2–5) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 5 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 20:27 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 8 | 1.11 | 7 | 0 | 18:37 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 17:55 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.29 | 1 | 1 | 15:27 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 14:14 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 13:15 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 09:18 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 1 | 08:06 |
| 12 | Jonah Gadjovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 06:53 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 23:58 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.11 | 1 | 4 | 23:35 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 23:19 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 20:51 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 16:06 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 09:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | 20 | 3 | 17 | .850 | 3.22 | +0.22 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 1.11 | 1 | 2 | 17:25 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 | 16:56 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.69 | 0 | 1 | 16:53 |
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 2 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 7 | 0.66 | 1 | 1 | 16:41 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.02 | 0 | 1 | 16:23 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 14:56 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.58 | 3 | 0 | 14:52 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 10:34 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 6 | 0.28 | 0 | 1 | 24:56 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 22:39 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.16 | 0 | 2 | 22:39 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:33 |
| 36 | Emil Andrae | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 10:22 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 26 | 2 | 24 | .923 | 2.57 | +0.57 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +1.19 | +1.45 | +0.31 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:27 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +1.16 | +0.70 | +0.19 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.03 | — | 15:27 |
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +1.12 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.42 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:55 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | +0.98 | +0.75 | +0.72 | -0.18 | -0.30 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 18:37 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:19 |
| 40 Daniil Tarasov G | +0.37 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | +0.22 | 57:58 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 23:35 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:29 |
| 12 Jonah Gadjovich L | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:53 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 8:06 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:08 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:51 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 13:15 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.19 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:18 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 14:14 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:58 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.83 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 9:51 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.64 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | — | 16:33 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 16:06 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +4.07 | +2.75 | +0.43 | +1.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:41 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | +2.27 | +1.25 | +0.18 | +0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 24:56 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +2.05 | +0.75 | +0.72 | +0.34 | +0.15 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 17:25 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +1.57 | +0.70 | +0.29 | +0.60 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:55 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +1.27 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.37 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:39 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +1.13 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.42 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:02 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +0.94 | +0.75 | +0.17 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:56 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.88 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:56 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +0.68 | +0.75 | +0.66 | -0.77 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:23 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +0.60 | +0.70 | +0.45 | -0.62 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 16:53 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.57 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.57 | 60:00 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:33 |
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.38 | +0.40 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:52 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.45 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:39 |
| 17 Jett Luchanko C | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.14 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 8:49 |
| 36 Emil Andrae D | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:22 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:37 |
| 13 Adam Ginning D | +0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:33 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:34 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.