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Utah MammothUTA 1–3 Final Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Monday, October 13, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 001 1 22
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 012 3 14

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
9:21 CHI Ilya Mikheyev (1) Jason Dickinson (1), Ryan Donato (1) · wrist xG 0.41 0–1 ▶
3rd Period
1:02 UTA JJ Peterka (1) Dylan Guenther (2), John Marino (1) · wrist xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
8:55 CHI Andre Burakovsky (2)PP Nick Foligno (2), Colton Dach (2) · wrist xG 0.13 1–2 ▶
19:54 CHI Ilya Mikheyev (2)EN Teuvo Teravainen (4) · wrist xG 0.93 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 58%Deserve to win42% CHI
UTACHI
2.39Expected goals2.90
1Goals (no shootout)3
1.76Expected goals, 5 on 51.57
57Shot attempts29
42Unblocked attempts26
22Shots on goal14

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:38 UTA Deserve to win Deserve to win · UTA takes the lead, 60–40%
CHI had led since 1:53 of the 1st, by as much as 72%
18:52 CHI Goalie Goalie · Knight +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.02 xG, 17 shots on goal
19:30 UTA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.41–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:10 of the 2nd to 1:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
19:34 UTA Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Vanecek, down 2–1
With 0:26 left; CHI scored at 19:54 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Tyler Bertuzzi: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:32) Ryan Donato: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 1:53) Connor Murphy: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:59) Matt Grzelcyk: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:05) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:21) Dmitri Simashev: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:44) Nick Foligno: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:43) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:51) Ryan Donato: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:59) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:38) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:46) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:28) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:46) Olli Maatta: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:03) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:48) Barrett Hayton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 12:00) John Marino: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:52) John Marino: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:57) Teuvo Teravainen: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 16:39) Wyatt Kaiser: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 17:47) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:50) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:51) Louis Crevier: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:53) Dylan Guenther: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:19) Olli Maatta: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:24) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:29) Brandon Tanev: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:39) Clayton Keller: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:59) Michael Carcone: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:22) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:28) Ilya Mikheyev: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:08) Ryan Donato: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:11) Connor Murphy: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:02) Nick Schmaltz: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 11:16) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 11:36) Mikhail Sergachev: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:52) Jack McBain: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 12:15) Olli Maatta: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:42) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 14:12) Nick Schmaltz: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:21) Barrett Hayton: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 14:24) Jack McBain: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:47) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 15:49) Dmitri Simashev: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:10) Barrett Hayton: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 18:31) Dmitri Simashev: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:38) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 18:52) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 154 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:12) Frank Nazar: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:50) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:53) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:17) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:18) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:34) Nate Schmidt: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:41) Lawson Crouse: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:29) Wyatt Kaiser: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:48) Nate Schmidt: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:03) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:24) Mikhail Sergachev: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:59) Dylan Guenther: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 12:36) Jason Dickinson: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:25) Clayton Keller: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:47) Logan Cooley: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 16:36) Connor Bedard: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 17:43) Ilya Mikheyev: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.41 (P2 9:21) JJ Peterka: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:02) Andre Burakovsky: GOAL, wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:55) Ilya Mikheyev: GOAL, wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.93 (P3 19:54)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Dylan Guenther 011 0 70.67 1019:15
9 Clayton Keller 000 -1 20.09 0018:45
92 Logan Cooley 000 0 10.10 2118:25
8 Nick Schmaltz 000 -1 50.32 0017:43
10 JJ Peterka 101 +1 30.05 0117:27
27 Barrett Hayton 000 0 50.54 0015:58
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -1 10.00 0015:37
56 Kailer Yamamoto 000 0 00.00 0014:02
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 30.24 2012:45
67 Lawson Crouse 000 -1 40.06 1012:01
13 Brandon Tanev 000 0 20.03 6011:55
53 Michael Carcone 000 -1 30.01 2007:39
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 000 -1 40.13 0024:49
88 Nate Schmidt 000 0 40.04 1019:45
6 John Marino 011 0 40.04 0018:55
3 Olli Maatta 000 0 40.05 0117:40
28 Ian Cole 000 0 10.00 1015:18
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Vitek Vanecek 13211 .846 1.97 -0.03

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 000 0 10.06 1020:49
95 Ilya Mikheyev 202 +2 51.39 1118:41
86 Teuvo Teravainen 011 +1 10.17 1017:50
91 Frank Nazar 000 0 10.02 0117:06
95 Andre Burakovsky 101 0 20.20 1016:38
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 000 -1 20.10 2016:01
34 Colton Dach 011 -1 00.00 7115:47
16 Jason Dickinson 011 +1 40.29 1015:23
71 Nick Foligno 011 0 10.13 2213:44
8 Ryan Donato 011 +1 30.40 0013:05
20 Ryan Greene 000 0 00.00 1011:44
Defense
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 +1 20.06 3221:49
72 Alex Vlasic 000 -1 00.00 3218:56
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 +1 10.01 1216:26
5 Connor Murphy 000 +1 40.02 0216:16
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 +1 10.02 2015:54
46 Louis Crevier 000 0 10.02 3013:31
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 22121 .955 2.39 +1.39

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Dylan Guenther R +1.71 +0.70 +0.43 +0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:15
77 JJ Peterka R +1.50 +0.75 +0.03 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:27
27 Barrett Hayton C +1.17 0.00 +0.35 +0.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:58
8 Nick Schmaltz C +0.84 0.00 +0.21 +0.61 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 17:43
9 Clayton Keller R +0.82 0.00 +0.06 +0.61 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:45
6 John Marino D +0.54 +0.55 +0.03 +0.14 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:55
92 Logan Cooley C +0.23 0.00 +0.06 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:25
2 Olli Maatta D +0.16 0.00 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:40
88 Nate Schmidt D +0.14 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:45
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +0.10 0.00 +0.08 +0.18 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 24:49
41 Vitek Vanecek G -0.03 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.03 59:40
28 Ian Cole D -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:18
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:37
26 Dmitri Simashev D -0.29 0.00 +0.02 -0.12 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:28
22 Jack McBain C -0.31 0.00 +0.16 -0.44 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 12:45
56 Kailer Yamamoto R -0.32 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:02
13 Brandon Tanev L -0.33 0.00 +0.02 -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:55
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.56 0.00 +0.04 -0.71 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 12:01
53 Michael Carcone L -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:39

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +3.11 +1.50 +0.91 +0.67 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 18:41
8 Ryan Donato C +1.95 +0.55 +0.26 +1.13 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 13:05
16 Jason Dickinson C +1.68 +0.70 +0.19 +0.88 0.00 -0.01 -0.08 — 15:23
30 Spencer Knight G +1.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.39 59:50
28 Andre Burakovsky L +0.82 +0.75 +0.13 -0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:38
17 Nick Foligno L +0.82 +0.70 +0.08 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 13:44
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.78 0.00 +0.01 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:26
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.50 0.00 +0.01 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:54
34 Colton Dach C +0.38 +0.55 0.00 -0.33 +0.15 -0.02 +0.03 — 15:47
5 Connor Murphy D +0.35 0.00 +0.01 +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 16:16
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.33 +0.70 +0.11 -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:50
91 Frank Nazar C -0.15 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 +0.15 -0.03 +0.03 — 17:06
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -0.25 0.00 +0.04 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:49
72 Alex Vlasic D -0.51 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:56
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L -0.59 0.00 +0.07 -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:01
6 Sam Rinzel D -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 14:30
98 Connor Bedard C -0.62 0.00 +0.04 -0.68 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 20:49
20 Ryan Greene C -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:44
46 Louis Crevier D -0.72 0.00 +0.01 -0.57 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.