| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 22 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:37 | Alex Newhook (1) Ivan Demidov (2), Alexandre Carrier (1) · tip-in xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:33 | Jaden Schwartz (1)PP Shane Wright (1), Vince Dunn (3) · snap xG 0.21 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 7:12 | Cole Caufield (2) Unassisted · snap xG 0.11 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 17:52 | Jani Nyman (1) Tye Kartye (1), Frederick Gaudreau (1) · deflected xG 0.11 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:12 | Kirby Dach (1) Noah Dobson (2), Mike Matheson (2) · deflected xG 0.19 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 4:48 | Jamie Oleksiak (1) Jared McCann (1), Josh Mahura (1) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 7:56 | Jared McCann (3) Brandon Montour (2), Ryan Lindgren (1) · wrist xG 0.11 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 17:19 | Ivan Demidov (1) Patrik Laine (1), Brendan Gallagher (4) · backhand xG 0.12 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 3:25 | Cole Caufield (3) Lane Hutson (2), Nick Suzuki (6) · snap xG 0.13 | 4–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | MTL | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | Expected goals | 2.28 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.19 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.65 |
| 57 | Shot attempts | 54 |
| 33 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 22 | Shots on goal | 22 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:56 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.67 xG, 18 shots on goal |
| 17:19 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.98 xG, 21 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 19:15 |
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 18:18 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.12 | 2 | 1 | 17:25 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.23 | 5 | 0 | 16:17 |
| 19 | Jared McCann | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 0.32 | 1 | 0 | 15:50 |
| 89 | Frederick Gaudreau | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 14:35 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 6 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 13:45 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 13:15 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 2 | 1 | 11:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 62 | Brandon Montour | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.21 | 2 | 1 | 23:20 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 21:11 |
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 6 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 20:54 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 18:39 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.08 | 2 | 1 | 17:38 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 17:11 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 22 | 5 | 17 | .773 | 2.28 | -2.72 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 18:48 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 6 | 2 | 17:53 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 0.26 | 2 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 0 | 3 | 17:14 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 16:41 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 2 | 1 | 16:14 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.19 | 0 | 2 | 14:43 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 14:12 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.19 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.44 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 11:26 |
| 92 | Patrik Laine | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 10:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.05 | 2 | 2 | 25:19 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 23:45 |
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 23:08 |
| 21 | Kaiden Guhle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.11 | 5 | 0 | 22:04 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 15:16 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 10:00 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 22 | 4 | 18 | .818 | 1.87 | -2.13 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jared McCann L | +1.77 | +1.45 | +0.21 | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:50 |
| 62 Brandon Montour D | +1.40 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 23:20 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | +1.12 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.62 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:38 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | +1.01 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.20 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:11 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.99 | +0.75 | +0.10 | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.02 | — | 9:31 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | +0.92 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:47 |
| 89 Frederick Gaudreau C | +0.85 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.08 | — | 14:35 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | +0.47 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.16 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 13:15 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.35 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:39 |
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:25 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.07 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:17 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +0.19 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:15 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 18:18 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.19 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:54 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.68 | +0.15 | -0.05 | +0.06 | — | 21:26 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.44 | -0.15 | +0.01 | +0.01 | — | 11:58 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | -0.60 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:45 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 21:11 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -2.72 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.72 | 63:25 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +2.12 | +1.50 | +0.17 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:43 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +1.55 | +0.55 | +0.29 | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:45 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.49 | +1.45 | +0.12 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 14:43 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +1.47 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 23:08 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +1.39 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:45 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +1.24 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 18:48 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 16:14 |
| 92 Patrik Laine L | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.15 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:43 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +0.85 | +0.55 | +0.03 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 25:19 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 16:41 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +0.73 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 15:16 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:12 |
| 21 Kaiden Guhle D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:04 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.16 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 17:53 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.15 | — | 17:14 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 11:26 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:09 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:00 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | -2.13 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.13 | 63:13 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.