| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 |
 |
1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:23 | |
Mathew Barzal (1) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.26 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 17:40 | |
Leon Draisaitl (3)PP Connor McDavid (5), David Tomasek (2) · snap xG 0.18 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:53 | |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (2) Ty Emberson (1) · snap xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 17:56 | |
Bo Horvat (1)SH Jean-Gabriel Pageau (1), Ryan Pulock (1) · snap xG 0.25 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 15:14 | |
Bo Horvat (2)PP Mathew Barzal (2), Matthew Schaefer (3) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 19:51 | |
Bo Horvat (3)EN Jonathan Drouin (2), Emil Heineman (1) · wrist xG 0.92 | 2–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.55 | Expected goals | 4.24 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.01 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.01 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 33 | Shots on goal | 25 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:20 | EDM | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · EDM takes the lead, 60–40%
NYI had led since 5:38 of the 1st, by as much as 73% |
| 17:37 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Skinner, down 3–2
With 2:23 left; NYI scored at 19:51 of the 3rd (2–4) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 6 | 0.54 | 0 | 1 | 25:22 |
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 7 | 0.68 | 1 | 0 | 25:20 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 20:46 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.09 | 0 | 1 | 17:33 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 13:13 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 11:24 |
| 42 | Kasperi Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 11:17 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 11:06 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 10:36 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 10:09 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 08:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 24:19 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.14 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.04 | 0 | 6 | 21:29 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 28 | Troy Stecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 16:13 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 2.74 | -0.26 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 24:31 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 21:57 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 10 | 1.66 | 1 | 1 | 18:45 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.26 | 0 | 2 | 17:59 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 17:17 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 2 | 12:53 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.75 | 2 | 0 | 12:06 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 10:03 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 08:46 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 07:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 24:14 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 |
| 28 | Alexander Romanov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6 | 4 | 19:47 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 17:38 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 14:51 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Rittich | 33 | 2 | 31 | .939 | 3.55 | +1.55 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +1.98 | +0.75 | +0.35 | +0.80 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.01 | — | 25:22 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +1.64 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:46 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +1.27 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:08 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:13 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +0.79 | +0.70 | +0.44 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.06 | — | 25:20 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:53 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.09 | — | 10:09 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | +0.48 | +0.55 | +0.25 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:57 |
| 42 Kasperi Kapanen R | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:17 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.16 | -0.15 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 10:36 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.28 | — | 21:29 |
| 51 Troy Stecher D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:13 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.26 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.26 | 57:36 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.61 | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:06 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:13 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:33 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 24:19 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 11:24 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 8:19 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +4.09 | +2.25 | +1.08 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 18:45 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +2.22 | +1.45 | +0.23 | +0.61 | 0.00 | -0.09 | +0.02 | — | 24:31 |
| 33 David Rittich G | +1.55 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.55 | 59:58 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +1.46 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.54 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:17 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.86 | +0.55 | +0.48 | -0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:06 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.82 | +0.55 | +0.02 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 21:12 |
| 28 Alexander Romanov D | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | — | 19:47 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.32 | +0.55 | +0.05 | -0.40 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:38 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.32 | 0.00 | +0.17 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:59 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.08 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 21:57 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +0.21 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.29 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:50 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:14 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.10 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.59 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:15 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:03 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 7:43 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 12:53 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 8:46 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.27 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:51 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:55 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.