| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | |
| 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:05 | Tanner Jeannot (2) Charlie McAvoy (2), Michael Eyssimont (2) · wrist xG 0.22 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 3:35 | Pavel Dorofeyev (6) Mitch Marner (5), Zach Whitecloud (1) · snap xG 0.20 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 16:44 | Nikita Zadorov (1) Henri Jokiharju (2), Sean Kuraly (1) · wrist xG 0.01 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 18:33 | Cole Reinhardt (1) Ben Hutton (2), Colton Sissons (1) · wrist xG 0.32 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:14 | Jack Eichel (5) Mark Stone (7), Ivan Barbashev (3) · wrist xG 0.07 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 6:35 | Tomas Hertl (2)PP Pavel Dorofeyev (1), Mark Stone (8) · deflected xG 0.31 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 8:15 | David Pastrnak (2)PP Morgan Geekie (2), Elias Lindholm (3) · wrist xG 0.10 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 18:24 | William Karlsson (1)SH Mark Stone (9) · backhand xG 0.26 | 3–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:19 | William Karlsson (2)PP Mitch Marner (6), Jack Eichel (6) · wrist xG 0.23 | 3–6 ▶ | |
| 4:05 | Mark Kastelic (2) Sean Kuraly (2) · snap xG 0.06 | 4–6 ▶ | |
| 5:12 | Michael Eyssimont (1) Mason Lohrei (1) · wrist xG 0.03 | 5–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| BOS | VGK | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | Expected goals | 5.50 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.92 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.22 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 41 | Unblocked attempts | 52 |
| 24 | Shots on goal | 37 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:35 | VGK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 66–34%
BOS had led since 4:54 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 6:35 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Swayman −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.84 xG, 16 shots on goal |
| 7:30 | VGK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.29–0.27
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:30 of the 1st to 7:30 of the 2nd; goals 3–0 |
| 18:40 | VGK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 2.25–0.31
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:20 of the 2nd to 1:20 of the 3rd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 4:05 | VGK | Goalie | Goalie · Schmid −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.88 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 19:19 | BOS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Swayman, down 6–5
With 0:41 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 10 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 22:26 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 9 | 0.23 | 2 | 2 | 20:34 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 17:54 |
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 16:59 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.36 | 3 | 4 | 13:22 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 11:50 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 11:32 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 11:21 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.48 | 3 | 2 | 10:41 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 10:27 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 10:13 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 20:43 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 20:31 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 15:13 |
| 43 | Jordan Harris | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 13:31 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Swayman | 37 | 6 | 31 | .838 | 5.22 | -0.78 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 9 | Jack Eichel | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1.03 | 0 | 3 | 24:11 |
| 61 | Mark Stone | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 10 | 0.83 | 0 | 1 | 22:30 |
| 93 | Mitch Marner | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 21:07 |
| 16 | Pavel Dorofeyev | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 17:09 |
| 49 | Ivan Barbashev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 48 | Tomas Hertl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 0.94 | 1 | 0 | 16:08 |
| 71 | William Karlsson | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 0.56 | 0 | 2 | 15:17 |
| 19 | Reilly Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 12:22 |
| 20 | Brandon Saad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 1 | 11:15 |
| 15 | Colton Sissons | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 11:07 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 09:41 |
| 55 | Keegan Kolesar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 09:19 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Brayden McNabb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 3 | 23:25 |
| 27 | Shea Theodore | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 23:01 |
| 28 | Zach Whitecloud | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 17:59 |
| 5 | Jeremy Lauzon | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 3 | 3 | 16:29 |
| 6 | Kaedan Korczak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.18 | 5 | 2 | 15:28 |
| 17 | Ben Hutton | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akira Schmid | 24 | 5 | 19 | .792 | 2.19 | -2.81 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | +1.81 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.58 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:59 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | +1.75 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +0.40 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.20 | — | 13:22 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +1.52 | +0.75 | +0.31 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 10:41 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +1.39 | +1.30 | +0.04 | +0.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:13 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +1.32 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:31 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +1.10 | +0.70 | +0.27 | +0.27 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 17:47 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +0.74 | +0.75 | +0.23 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:26 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.71 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:43 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +0.62 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:06 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +0.58 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -0.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:34 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.57 | +0.70 | +0.02 | -0.11 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 27:20 |
| 48 Jeffrey Viel L | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.43 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 11:50 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.10 | — | 11:32 |
| 43 Jordan Harris D | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 13:31 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 15:13 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | -0.48 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.72 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:27 |
| 1 Jeremy Swayman G | -0.63 | 0.00 | — | — | +0.15 | — | — | -0.78 | 59:01 |
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | -0.67 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 11:21 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | -1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.07 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:54 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 61 Mark Stone R | +3.11 | +1.95 | +0.54 | +0.42 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:30 |
| 16 Pavel Dorofeyev R | +2.62 | +1.45 | +0.58 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:09 |
| 93 Mitch Marner R | +2.45 | +1.40 | +0.12 | +0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:07 |
| 48 Tomas Hertl C | +2.22 | +0.75 | +0.61 | +0.50 | +0.30 | +0.08 | -0.02 | — | 16:08 |
| 9 Jack Eichel C | +2.16 | +1.30 | +0.67 | +0.13 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.09 | — | 24:11 |
| 17 Ben Hutton D | +1.36 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 12:18 |
| 71 William Karlsson C | +1.21 | +1.50 | +0.37 | -0.71 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 15:17 |
| 2 Zach Whitecloud D | +1.14 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:59 |
| 23 Cole Reinhardt L | +1.10 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:41 |
| 10 Colton Sissons C | +0.93 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.32 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.08 | — | 11:07 |
| 49 Ivan Barbashev L | +0.70 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:15 |
| 3 Brayden McNabb D | +0.48 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.18 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:25 |
| 27 Shea Theodore D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 23:01 |
| 55 Keegan Kolesar R | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:19 |
| 6 Kaedan Korczak D | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.56 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 15:28 |
| 5 Jeremy Lauzon D | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:29 |
| 20 Brandon Saad L | -0.63 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:15 |
| 19 Reilly Smith R | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:22 |
| 40 Akira Schmid G | -2.81 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.81 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.