hockeystats.io

Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 4–2 Final Los Angeles KingsLAK

Thursday, October 16, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 022 4 26
Los Angeles KingsLAK 200 2 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
4:24 LAK Warren Foegele (1) Trevor Moore (1), Cody Ceci (1) · wrist xG 0.04 0–1 ▶
9:04 LAK Kevin Fiala (3) Quinton Byfield (3), Joel Armia (3) · tip-in xG 0.21 0–2 ▶
2nd Period
6:37 PIT Evgeni Malkin (1)PP Bryan Rust (2), Erik Karlsson (1) · snap xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
7:18 PIT Connor Dewar (1) Noel Acciari (1), Ryan Shea (4) · wrist xG 0.06 2–2 ▶
3rd Period
6:50 PIT Filip Hallander (1)SH Rickard Rakell (2), Parker Wotherspoon (1) · snap xG 0.11 3–2 ▶
19:29 PIT Sidney Crosby (2)EN Parker Wotherspoon (2), Erik Karlsson (2) · wrist xG 0.48 4–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 55%Deserve to win45% LAK
PITLAK
3.54Expected goals2.79
4Goals (no shootout)2
2.60Expected goals, 5 on 52.41
48Shot attempts61
38Unblocked attempts44
26Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:50 LAK Shortened bench Shortened bench · 2 forwards sat
Helenius and Malott: no shift after 3:00 of the 3rd
18:22 LAK Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Forsberg, down 3–2
With 1:38 left; PIT scored at 19:29 of the 3rd (4–2)

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots
Warren Foegele: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 1:31) Drew Doughty: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:47) Alex Turcotte: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:09) Warren Foegele: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:21) Joel Armia: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:56) Noel Acciari: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 7:44) Noel Acciari: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:46) Noel Acciari: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 7:56) Tommy Novak: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 9:33) Bryan Rust: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:09) Trevor Moore: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:14) Blake Lizotte: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 11:30) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:51) Joel Armia: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:06) Drew Doughty: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:36) Adrian Kempe: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:42) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:26) Joel Edmundson: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:10) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:20) Anthony Mantha: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:36) Anthony Mantha: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:52) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:34) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:56) Joel Edmundson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:27) Brandt Clarke: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:39) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:02) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:22) Philip Tomasino: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:05) Noel Acciari: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:00) Ryan Shea: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:11) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:01) Adrian Kempe: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:02) Evgeni Malkin: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:53) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:19) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 8:26) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:43) Kevin Fiala: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:48) Adrian Kempe: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 10:22) Blake Lizotte: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:59) Filip Hallander: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:03) Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:39) Warren Foegele: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:06) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:14) Bryan Rust: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:45) Quinton Byfield: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:36) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:55) Adrian Kempe: backhand, 46 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:15) Bryan Rust: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 0:38) Kris Letang: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 0:41) Drew Doughty: wrist, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 1:11) Warren Foegele: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 2:01) Warren Foegele: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:13) Drew Doughty: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:53) Quinton Byfield: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 4:55) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:24) Parker Wotherspoon: slap, 77 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 6:21) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:46) Filip Hallander: backhand, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:47) Rickard Rakell: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:48) Alex Turcotte: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 7:01) Bryan Rust: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 7:18) Bryan Rust: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.18 (P3 8:43) Bryan Rust: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:44) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:11) Quinton Byfield: deflected, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:10) Blake Lizotte: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:25) Bryan Rust: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.40 (P3 11:28) Connor Dewar: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:30) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:00) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:04) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:15) Justin Brazeau: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:50) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:30) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:39) Adrian Kempe: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:14) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:57) Warren Foegele: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:24) Kevin Fiala: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 9:04) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:37) Connor Dewar: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:18) Filip Hallander: GOAL, snap, 4 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:50) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 106 ft, xG 0.48 (P3 19:29)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 011 +1 71.22 0021:11
67 Rickard Rakell 011 +1 40.09 0118:37
87 Sidney Crosby 101 +1 20.48 0017:15
71 Evgeni Malkin 101 -1 30.16 1017:01
39 Anthony Mantha 000 -1 30.15 0215:50
46 Blake Lizotte 000 +1 50.31 2115:15
16 Justin Brazeau 000 0 30.16 1013:56
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 10.16 0012:38
52 Noel Acciari 011 0 50.16 2112:18
19 Connor Dewar 101 0 30.09 2012:09
19 Filip Hallander 101 +1 40.21 0011:01
Defense
58 Kris Letang 000 -1 20.25 0322:00
6 Ryan Shea 011 0 10.01 0221:25
29 Parker Wotherspoon 022 +2 20.00 1119:52
65 Erik Karlsson 022 +1 10.01 0018:45
45 Harrison Brunicke 000 0 00.00 0117:50
82 Caleb Jones 000 0 00.00 1217:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 32230 .938 2.79 +0.79

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Adrian Kempe 000 -1 100.48 0018:56
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 000 -1 10.00 1018:42
55 Quinton Byfield 011 0 90.67 0118:06
40 Joel Armia 011 0 30.11 2017:38
22 Kevin Fiala 101 0 80.49 0017:37
24 Phillip Danault 000 -1 00.00 2016:43
12 Trevor Moore 011 +1 10.06 0015:45
37 Warren Foegele 101 -1 70.44 3015:22
14 Alex Laferriere 000 -2 50.25 5014:30
15 Alex Turcotte 000 0 50.13 0014:16
79 Samuel Helenius 000 0 00.00 3108:13
39 Jeff Malott 000 0 00.00 2008:08
Defense
8 Drew Doughty 000 -1 50.06 1021:50
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 +1 20.01 0319:53
44 Mikey Anderson 000 +1 10.00 2119:11
5 Cody Ceci 011 +1 00.00 0018:38
92 Brandt Clarke 000 -2 20.04 2117:39
6 Joel Edmundson 000 -1 20.05 0317:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 25322 .880 3.06 +0.06

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +2.10 +1.25 0.00 +0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:52
17 Bryan Rust R +2.01 +0.70 +0.79 +0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:11
19 Connor Dewar C +1.98 +0.75 +0.06 +1.19 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:09
65 Erik Karlsson D +1.84 +1.10 +0.01 +0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:45
46 Blake Lizotte C +1.56 0.00 +0.20 +1.31 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:15
11 Filip Hallander C +0.97 +0.75 +0.13 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:01
55 Noel Acciari C +0.97 +0.70 +0.11 +0.16 0.00 -0.05 +0.05 — 12:18
37 Arturs Silovs G +0.79 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.79 60:00
5 Ryan Shea D +0.66 +0.55 +0.01 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:25
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.42 +0.70 +0.06 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:37
58 Kris Letang D +0.30 0.00 +0.16 +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 22:00
87 Sidney Crosby C +0.16 +0.75 +0.31 -0.57 -0.30 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:15
71 Evgeni Malkin C +0.06 +0.75 +0.10 -0.77 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:01
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.03 0.00 +0.11 -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:56
18 Tommy Novak C +0.01 0.00 +0.10 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:38
53 Philip Tomasino R -0.43 0.00 +0.05 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:21
82 Caleb Jones D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.75 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 17:36
39 Anthony Mantha R -0.51 0.00 +0.10 -0.70 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 15:50
45 Harrison Brunicke D -0.65 0.00 0.00 -0.79 +0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 17:50

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
55 Quinton Byfield R +1.55 +0.70 +0.44 +0.34 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 18:06
8 Drew Doughty D +1.39 0.00 +0.04 +1.20 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:50
22 Kevin Fiala L +1.19 +0.75 +0.32 +0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:37
12 Trevor Moore L +1.19 +0.70 +0.04 +0.48 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 15:45
2 Brian Dumoulin D +1.09 0.00 +0.01 +0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 19:53
37 Warren Foegele L +0.92 +0.75 +0.29 -0.07 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 15:22
5 Cody Ceci D +0.75 +0.55 0.00 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 18:38
40 Joel Armia R +0.45 +0.55 +0.07 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:38
44 Mikey Anderson D +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:11
39 Jeff Malott L +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:08
15 Alex Turcotte C +0.11 0.00 +0.09 -0.03 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 14:16
14 Alex Laferriere R +0.07 0.00 +0.16 -0.10 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:30
31 Anton Forsberg G +0.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.06 58:53
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.01 0.00 +0.31 -0.17 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 18:56
79 Samuel Helenius C -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 8:13
24 Phillip Danault C -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 16:43
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L -0.36 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:42
92 Brandt Clarke D -1.18 0.00 +0.02 -1.24 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:39
6 Joel Edmundson D -1.20 0.00 +0.03 -1.34 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 17:11

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.