| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 |
 |
2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 34 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 9:39 | |
Nick Schmaltz (1)PP Logan Cooley (1), Clayton Keller (2) · snap xG 0.24 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 13:31 | |
Nick Schmaltz (2) Clayton Keller (3) · snap xG 0.18 | 0–2 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:23 | |
Tyler Toffoli (2)PP Dmitry Orlov (4), Will Smith (4) · snap xG 0.04 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 7:13 | |
Jeff Skinner (3) Macklin Celebrini (4), Vincent Desharnais (1) · backhand xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 16:09 | |
Liam O'Brien (1) Brandon Tanev (1), Ian Cole (1) · backhand xG 0.37 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:54 | |
Nick Schmaltz (3) Clayton Keller (4) · snap xG 0.33 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 3:25 | |
Michael Carcone (1) Lawson Crouse (1) · snap xG 0.22 | 2–5 ▶ |
| 11:32 | |
Clayton Keller (1) Nick Schmaltz (4), Barrett Hayton (1) · snap xG 0.11 | 2–6 ▶ |
| 16:51 | |
Macklin Celebrini (1)PP Jeff Skinner (1), Alexander Wennberg (2) · snap xG 0.08 | 3–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | UTA | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.76 | Expected goals | 3.83 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 1.22 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.56 |
| 38 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 28 | Unblocked attempts | 49 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 34 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:20 | UTA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.02–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 0:20 to 10:20 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 1:00 | UTA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.27–0.04
In xG over 10 minutes, 11:30 of the 2nd to 1:30 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 11:32 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.3 goals saved
6 goals on 3.66 xG, 31 shots on goal |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.45 | 1 | 1 | 17:52 |
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 17:24 |
| 96 | Philipp Kurashev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 16:48 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 16:42 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 14:17 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 14:02 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 13:50 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 13:45 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12:19 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 7 | 0 | 09:57 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 09:21 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 0 | 22:49 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.03 | 3 | 3 | 22:34 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 22:32 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 19:21 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 15:14 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 14:04 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 34 | 6 | 28 | .824 | 3.83 | -2.17 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 8 | Nick Schmaltz | 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 9 | 1.05 | 0 | 0 | 18:40 |
| 9 | Clayton Keller | 1 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 17:42 |
| 11 | Dylan Guenther | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.30 | 1 | 0 | 17:34 |
| 10 | JJ Peterka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 17:15 |
| 92 | Logan Cooley | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 0 | 16:21 |
| 67 | Lawson Crouse | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.47 | 4 | 0 | 16:18 |
| 22 | Jack McBain | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 16:01 |
| 27 | Barrett Hayton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:54 |
| 82 | Kevin Stenlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 |
| 53 | Michael Carcone | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 |
| 38 | Liam O'Brien | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.50 | 0 | 2 | 10:09 |
| 13 | Brandon Tanev | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 2 | 1 | 09:11 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 98 | Mikhail Sergachev | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 23:58 |
| 88 | Nate Schmidt | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 21:17 |
| 6 | John Marino | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 20:29 |
| 28 | Ian Cole | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 3 | Olli Maatta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karel Vejmelka | 21 | 3 | 18 | .857 | 1.76 | -1.24 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +1.32 | +1.45 | +0.20 | -0.46 | +0.15 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:24 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +1.16 | +1.45 | +0.02 | -0.46 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:02 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +0.55 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.35 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:42 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.48 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:04 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.07 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.42 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 19:37 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.29 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:52 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.07 | — | 13:50 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | -0.16 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.58 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:49 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 9:21 |
| 96 Philipp Kurashev C | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:48 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:57 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | -0.46 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:14 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | -0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:32 |
| 2 Will Smith C | -0.61 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:19 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.97 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:45 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.89 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 14:17 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.05 | — | 19:21 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | -1.24 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 22:34 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -2.17 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.17 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nick Schmaltz C | +4.54 | +2.95 | +0.68 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 18:40 |
| 9 Clayton Keller R | +4.03 | +2.70 | +0.25 | +1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:42 |
| 67 Lawson Crouse L | +1.95 | +0.70 | +0.30 | +0.80 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:18 |
| 53 Michael Carcone L | +1.74 | +0.75 | +0.21 | +0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:19 |
| 28 Ian Cole D | +1.73 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:39 |
| 27 Barrett Hayton C | +1.50 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.90 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 15:54 |
| 6 John Marino D | +1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:29 |
| 38 Liam O'Brien C | +1.12 | +0.75 | +0.33 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 10:09 |
| 92 Logan Cooley C | +0.95 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.27 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.02 | — | 16:21 |
| 13 Brandon Tanev L | +0.77 | +0.70 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 9:11 |
| 77 JJ Peterka R | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.38 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:15 |
| 22 Jack McBain C | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +0.59 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 16:01 |
| 98 Mikhail Sergachev D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 23:58 |
| 88 Nate Schmidt D | +0.61 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 21:17 |
| 11 Dylan Guenther R | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:34 |
| 26 Dmitri Simashev D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:29 |
| 82 Kevin Stenlund C | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 15:02 |
| 2 Olli Maatta D | +0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 14:40 |
| 70 Karel Vejmelka G | -1.24 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.24 | 59:55 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.