| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 23 | |
| 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 32 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:01 | David Perron (2)PP Thomas Chabot (2), Arthur Kaliyev (1) · snap xG 0.08 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:32 | Shane Pinto (7) Drake Batherson (2), Thomas Chabot (3) · slap xG 0.05 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 6:50 | Emil Heineman (2) Jonathan Drouin (3), Scott Mayfield (2) · snap xG 0.19 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 9:57 | Bo Horvat (4) Ryan Pulock (2), Anders Lee (1) · snap xG 0.11 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 16:46 | Tim Stützle (2) Nick Jensen (1), Drake Batherson (3) · wrist xG 0.14 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 17:45 | Anders Lee (1) Max Shabanov (1), Matthew Schaefer (4) · deflected xG 0.26 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 18:47 | Dylan Cozens (3) Tim Stützle (2) · wrist xG 0.14 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:00 | Kyle Palmieri (2) Mathew Barzal (3), Adam Pelech (1) · snap xG 0.11 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| 18:57 | Anders Lee (2) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2) · wrist xG 0.14 | 5–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | OTT | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.19 | Expected goals | 3.40 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.50 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.51 |
| 50 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:30 | OTT | No shift | No shift · Kaliyev, 10:52 on the bench
No shift after 8:25 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (10:03) before that |
| 19:04 | OTT | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Ullmark, down 5–4
With 0:56 left |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.43 | 1 | 0 | 19:57 |
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.32 | 2 | 1 | 18:59 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 0 | 18:30 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 16:37 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 15:22 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 0.55 | 2 | 0 | 13:25 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.34 | 7 | 0 | 13:24 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 13:22 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 13:11 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 4 | 0 | 12:43 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 11:49 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 22:33 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 4 | 20:32 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 20:12 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 5 | 18:48 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 18:47 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 32 | 4 | 28 | .875 | 3.40 | -0.60 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 18 | Tim Stützle | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.48 | 1 | 0 | 19:20 |
| 12 | Shane Pinto | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 11 | 0.73 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 |
| 24 | Dylan Cozens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.31 | 7 | 1 | 18:08 |
| 71 | Ridly Greig | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| 19 | Drake Batherson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 17:11 |
| 28 | Claude Giroux | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 16:03 |
| 22 | Michael Amadio | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.41 | 2 | 0 | 14:34 |
| 20 | Fabian Zetterlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 20 | Lars Eller | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 12:35 |
| 16 | David Perron | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 0 | 12:27 |
| 21 | Nick Cousins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.05 | 4 | 1 | 10:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 85 | Jake Sanderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 24:15 |
| 72 | Thomas Chabot | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 19:47 |
| 2 | Artem Zub | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 10 | Jordan Spence | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 18:15 |
| 43 | Tyler Kleven | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 4 | Nick Jensen | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linus Ullmark | 23 | 5 | 18 | .783 | 3.07 | -1.93 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Anders Lee L | +3.28 | +2.05 | +0.35 | +0.88 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:25 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +2.22 | +0.75 | +0.28 | +1.20 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:57 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | +2.19 | +0.70 | +0.26 | +1.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:37 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +1.93 | +0.70 | +0.08 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.23 | — | 18:48 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +1.75 | +0.75 | +0.22 | +0.93 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:24 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +1.51 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:12 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +1.14 | +0.70 | +0.25 | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.04 | — | 13:22 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +1.05 | +0.55 | +0.06 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 20:32 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | +0.98 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:43 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.79 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 22:33 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +0.60 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:59 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.50 | +0.70 | +0.11 | -0.42 | +0.15 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 18:30 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.58 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:47 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.41 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 13:11 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.54 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 11:49 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:42 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | -0.60 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.60 | 60:00 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.70 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:22 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Tim Stützle C | +2.60 | +1.45 | +0.31 | +0.82 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 19:20 |
| 72 Thomas Chabot D | +1.97 | +1.25 | +0.01 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:47 |
| 12 Shane Pinto C | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.48 | +0.12 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 18:41 |
| 3 Nick Jensen D | +1.30 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 16:32 |
| 19 Drake Batherson R | +1.17 | +1.25 | +0.08 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 17:11 |
| 34 Arthur Kaliyev R | +0.95 | +0.55 | +0.15 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:03 |
| 71 Ridly Greig C | +0.93 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 17:24 |
| 24 Dylan Cozens C | +0.76 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -0.19 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.01 | — | 18:08 |
| 22 Michael Amadio R | +0.68 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:34 |
| 57 David Perron L | +0.02 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:27 |
| 28 Claude Giroux R | -0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | +0.15 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 16:03 |
| 43 Tyler Kleven D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:26 |
| 2 Artem Zub D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.24 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:57 |
| 10 Jordan Spence D | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 18:15 |
| 21 Nick Cousins C | -0.51 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.42 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:22 |
| 89 Lars Eller C | -0.69 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.83 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 12:35 |
| 85 Jake Sanderson D | -0.93 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 24:15 |
| 20 Fabian Zetterlund L | -1.21 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:10 |
| 35 Linus Ullmark G | -1.93 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.93 | 58:50 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.