New York IslandersNYI 5–4 Final Ottawa SenatorsOTT

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
New York IslandersNYI 032 5 23
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 130 4 32

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:01 OTT David Perron (2)PP Thomas Chabot (2), Arthur Kaliyev (1) · snap xG 0.08 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:32 OTT Shane Pinto (7) Drake Batherson (2), Thomas Chabot (3) · slap xG 0.05 0–2 ▶
6:50 NYI Emil Heineman (2) Jonathan Drouin (3), Scott Mayfield (2) · snap xG 0.19 1–2 ▶
9:57 NYI Bo Horvat (4) Ryan Pulock (2), Anders Lee (1) · snap xG 0.11 2–2 ▶
16:46 OTT Tim Stützle (2) Nick Jensen (1), Drake Batherson (3) · wrist xG 0.14 2–3 ▶
17:45 NYI Anders Lee (1) Max Shabanov (1), Matthew Schaefer (4) · deflected xG 0.26 3–3 ▶
18:47 OTT Dylan Cozens (3) Tim Stützle (2) · wrist xG 0.14 3–4 ▶
3rd Period
6:00 NYI Kyle Palmieri (2) Mathew Barzal (3), Adam Pelech (1) · snap xG 0.11 4–4 ▶
18:57 NYI Anders Lee (2) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2) · wrist xG 0.14 5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 45%Deserve to win55% OTT
NYIOTT
3.19Expected goals3.40
5Goals (no shootout)4
2.50Expected goals, 5 on 52.51
50Shot attempts61
37Unblocked attempts42
23Shots on goal32

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:30 OTT No shift No shift · Kaliyev, 10:52 on the bench
No shift after 8:25 of the 3rd; 12 shifts (10:03) before that
19:04 OTT Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Ullmark, down 5–4
With 0:56 left

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ OTT shoots
Tony DeAngelo: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:07) Anthony Duclair: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:13) Bo Horvat: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:26) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:51) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 1:53) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:06) Drake Batherson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:17) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 3:35) Arthur Kaliyev: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:24) Jordan Spence: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:26) Tim Stützle: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 5:28) Arthur Kaliyev: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:29) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:29) Jonathan Drouin: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:25) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:12) Anders Lee: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:22) Michael Amadio: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:22) Shane Pinto: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:28) Artem Zub: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:48) Tyler Kleven: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:23) Lars Eller: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:19) Shane Pinto: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:21) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 18:19) Kyle Palmieri: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 18:40) Mathew Barzal: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 19:03) Maxim Shabanov: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 0:33) Artem Zub: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:41) Ridly Greig: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 0:43) Thomas Chabot: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:01) Nick Jensen: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:49) Bo Horvat: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 2:56) Anders Lee: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 3:51) Anders Lee: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:52) Scott Mayfield: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:36) Shane Pinto: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:04) Nick Cousins: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 6:02) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:03) Tim Stützle: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 7:21) Shane Pinto: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:13) Emil Heineman: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:29) Emil Heineman: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:35) Lars Eller: wrist, 101 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 10:44) Kyle Palmieri: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:22) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:35) Jake Sanderson: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:43) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 13:42) Shane Pinto: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:51) Shane Pinto: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 13:57) Arthur Kaliyev: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:23) Lars Eller: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:33) Lars Eller: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:34) Michael Amadio: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:28) Drake Batherson: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:39) Shane Pinto: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 2:23) Kyle MacLean: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:46) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:19) Scott Mayfield: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:30) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:03) Michael Amadio: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:13) Michael Amadio: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:15) Artem Zub: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:38) Adam Pelech: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:08) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 9:33) Artem Zub: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:08) Ridly Greig: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:31) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:58) Jonathan Drouin: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 14:28) Emil Heineman: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:38) Ryan Pulock: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:40) Jonathan Drouin: wrist, 150 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 19:42) David Perron: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:01) Shane Pinto: GOAL, slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:32) Emil Heineman: GOAL, snap, 12 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 6:50) Bo Horvat: GOAL, snap, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:57) Tim Stützle: GOAL, wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 16:46) Anders Lee: GOAL, deflected, 5 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 17:45) Dylan Cozens: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 18:47) Kyle Palmieri: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:00) Anders Lee: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:57)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Bo Horvat 101 +2 40.43 1019:57
21 Kyle Palmieri 101 +1 60.32 2118:59
13 Mathew Barzal 011 +1 30.16 2018:30
92 Jonathan Drouin 011 +2 30.40 0016:37
11 Anthony Duclair 000 0 10.06 0015:22
72 Anders Lee 213 +2 50.55 2013:25
51 Emil Heineman 101 +1 40.34 7013:24
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 011 0 30.38 1013:22
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 -1 10.03 0313:11
49 Maxim Shabanov 011 0 10.20 4012:43
32 Kyle MacLean 000 -1 10.02 2012:42
53 Casey Cizikas 000 -1 10.00 4111:49
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 011 0 40.08 0222:33
24 Scott Mayfield 011 0 40.09 1420:32
3 Adam Pelech 011 +2 30.02 0120:12
6 Ryan Pulock 011 +1 30.12 0518:48
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 +1 20.00 2118:47
34 Adam Boqvist 000 0 10.00 0115:10
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 32428 .875 3.40 -0.60

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Tim Stützle 112 +2 30.48 1019:20
12 Shane Pinto 101 -1 110.73 0218:41
24 Dylan Cozens 101 0 40.31 7118:08
71 Ridly Greig 000 +1 30.38 0017:24
19 Drake Batherson 022 +1 30.12 1117:11
28 Claude Giroux 000 0 10.00 1016:03
22 Michael Amadio 000 -1 40.41 2014:34
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 -2 10.03 3013:10
20 Lars Eller 000 -1 50.25 0012:35
16 David Perron 101 -2 10.08 3012:27
21 Nick Cousins 000 -2 30.05 4110:22
Defense
85 Jake Sanderson 000 -3 40.03 1124:15
72 Thomas Chabot 022 +2 20.02 1119:47
2 Artem Zub 000 -1 40.12 1018:57
10 Jordan Spence 000 -2 30.11 2018:15
43 Tyler Kleven 000 -1 20.01 2017:26
4 Nick Jensen 011 +1 30.02 0216:32
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Linus Ullmark 23518 .783 3.07 -1.93

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
27 Anders Lee L +3.28 +2.05 +0.35 +0.88 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:25
14 Bo Horvat C +2.22 +0.75 +0.28 +1.20 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:57
29 Jonathan Drouin L +2.19 +0.70 +0.26 +1.22 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:37
6 Ryan Pulock D +1.93 +0.70 +0.08 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 18:48
51 Emil Heineman L +1.75 +0.75 +0.22 +0.93 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:24
3 Adam Pelech D +1.51 +0.55 +0.01 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:12
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +1.14 +0.70 +0.25 +0.19 0.00 +0.05 -0.04 — 13:22
24 Scott Mayfield D +1.05 +0.55 +0.06 +0.11 +0.15 0.00 +0.18 — 20:32
49 Max Shabanov R +0.98 +0.70 +0.13 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:43
48 Matthew Schaefer D +0.79 +0.55 +0.05 +0.24 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 22:33
21 Kyle Palmieri C +0.60 +0.75 +0.21 -0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:59
13 Mathew Barzal C +0.50 +0.70 +0.11 -0.42 +0.15 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:30
77 Tony DeAngelo D -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:47
10 Simon Holmstrom R -0.41 0.00 +0.02 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 13:11
53 Casey Cizikas C -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 11:49
32 Kyle MacLean C -0.56 0.00 +0.01 -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:42
30 Ilya Sorokin G -0.60 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.60 60:00
11 Anthony Duclair L -0.70 0.00 +0.04 -0.72 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:22
34 Adam Boqvist D -0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:10

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
18 Tim Stützle C +2.60 +1.45 +0.31 +0.82 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 19:20
72 Thomas Chabot D +1.97 +1.25 +0.01 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:47
12 Shane Pinto C +1.61 +0.75 +0.48 +0.12 +0.15 +0.02 +0.10 — 18:41
3 Nick Jensen D +1.30 +0.70 +0.01 +0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:32
19 Drake Batherson R +1.17 +1.25 +0.08 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:11
34 Arthur Kaliyev R +0.95 +0.55 +0.15 +0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:03
71 Ridly Greig C +0.93 0.00 +0.25 +0.70 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 17:24
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.76 +0.75 +0.20 -0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 18:08
22 Michael Amadio R +0.68 0.00 +0.27 +0.45 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 14:34
57 David Perron L +0.02 +0.75 +0.05 -0.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:27
28 Claude Giroux R -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.36 +0.15 +0.04 -0.02 — 16:03
43 Tyler Kleven D -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:26
2 Artem Zub D -0.31 0.00 +0.08 -0.24 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 18:57
10 Jordan Spence D -0.40 0.00 +0.07 -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 18:15
21 Nick Cousins C -0.51 0.00 +0.03 -0.42 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 10:22
89 Lars Eller C -0.69 0.00 +0.16 -0.83 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 12:35
85 Jake Sanderson D -0.93 0.00 +0.02 -0.96 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 24:15
20 Fabian Zetterlund L -1.21 0.00 +0.02 -1.05 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:10
35 Linus Ullmark G -1.93 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.93 58:50

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.