Edmonton OilersEDM 3–5 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Edmonton OilersEDM	0	1	2	3	30
New Jersey DevilsNJD	0	2	3	5	23

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
8:07	NJD	Jack Hughes (2) Brett Pesce (2) · wrist xG 0.10	0–1 ▶
16:02	NJD	Jesper Bratt (3)PP Jack Hughes (3), Nico Hischier (3) · backhand xG 0.07	0–2 ▶
18:16	EDM	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (3) Connor McDavid (6), Jack Roslovic (1) · wrist xG 0.12	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
10:37	NJD	Connor Brown (3)SH Luke Glendening (1) · wrist xG 0.17	1–3 ▶
12:33	NJD	Jack Hughes (3) Jesper Bratt (4) · wrist xG 0.23	1–4 ▶
16:30	EDM	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (4) Connor McDavid (7), Darnell Nurse (2) · wrist xG 0.19	2–4 ▶
18:53	NJD	Dawson Mercer (3)EN Nico Hischier (4) · wrist xG 0.54	2–5 ▶
19:57	EDM	Curtis Lazar (1) Adam Henrique (1), Ty Emberson (2) · wrist xG 0.06	3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

EDM 38%Deserve to win62% NJD

EDM		NJD
2.46	Expected goals	3.67
3	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.62	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.47
57	Shot attempts	51
40	Unblocked attempts	37
30	Shots on goal	23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:10	NJD	No shift	No shift · Halonen, 10:51 on the bench No shift from 16:33 of the 1st to 9:56 of the 2nd; 4 shifts (3:27) before that
3rd Period
12:33	NJD	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 63–37% EDM had led since 4:47 of the 1st, by as much as 79%
15:54	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 4–1 With 4:06 left; EDM scored at 16:30 of the 3rd (2–4)
17:32	EDM	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Pickard, down 4–2 With 2:28 left; NJD scored at 18:53 of the 3rd (2–5)

Shot map

EDM shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Edmonton Oilers

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
97	Connor McDavid	0	2	2	-1	3	0.12	0	0	22:25
29	Leon Draisaitl	0	0	0	-1	4	0.25	1	0	22:20
93	Ryan Nugent-Hopkins	2	0	2	-1	5	0.43	0	1	19:25
92	Vasily Podkolzin	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	4	2	17:29
22	Matt Savoie	0	0	0	0	4	0.19	2	1	14:34
42	Kasperi Kapanen	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	2	1	13:43
96	Jack Roslovic	0	1	1	+1	5	0.43	0	0	12:59
10	Trent Frederic	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	2	1	12:40
26	Andrew Mangiapane	0	0	0	-2	1	0.12	0	0	12:32
19	Adam Henrique	0	1	1	+1	3	0.18	1	2	12:27
20	Curtis Lazar	1	0	1	0	2	0.06	2	0	10:21
Defense
2	Evan Bouchard	0	0	0	-1	7	0.36	0	2	25:31
14	Mattias Ekholm	0	0	0	-1	5	0.17	1	1	22:00
25	Darnell Nurse	0	1	1	0	5	0.01	2	2	20:21
27	Brett Kulak	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	1	0	18:01
28	Troy Stecher	0	0	0	+1	1	0.01	0	0	14:07
49	Ty Emberson	0	1	1	0	3	0.02	2	0	14:02

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Calvin Pickard	22	4	18	.818	3.13	-0.87

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Nico Hischier	0	2	2	-1	8	0.81	0	3	21:03
86	Jack Hughes	2	1	3	+1	6	0.71	0	0	20:17
91	Dawson Mercer	1	0	1	+1	2	0.69	0	1	19:20
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	0	16:48
63	Jesper Bratt	1	1	2	+1	2	0.07	2	0	16:04
16	Connor Brown	1	0	1	+1	3	0.18	0	1	14:52
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	0	3	0.43	3	1	12:57
12	Cody Glass	0	0	0	0	3	0.14	0	0	12:26
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	0	3	0.05	0	1	12:24
41	Luke Glendening	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	4	0	11:10
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	-1	2	0.13	3	1	10:40
Defense
7	Dougie Hamilton	0	0	0	0	6	0.08	1	1	21:37
22	Brett Pesce	0	1	1	+3	2	0.00	0	3	21:17
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	4	1	20:24
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	2	1	19:04
43	Luke Hughes	0	0	0	0	3	0.13	0	0	17:34
71	Simon Nemec	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	1	16:51

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	30	3	27	.900	2.46	-0.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Edmonton Oilers

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C	+1.58	+1.50	+0.28	-0.11	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	19:25
97 Connor McDavid C	+1.57	+1.40	+0.07	+0.13	0.00	+0.01	-0.04	—	22:25
28 Jack Roslovic C	+1.31	+0.55	+0.28	+0.31	+0.15	+0.02	0.00	—	12:59
19 Adam Henrique C	+1.07	+0.70	+0.12	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	12:27
49 Ty Emberson D	+0.56	+0.55	+0.02	+0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	14:02
2 Evan Bouchard D	+0.51	0.00	+0.24	+0.08	+0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	25:31
86 David Tomasek R	+0.45	0.00	+0.03	+0.46	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	12:56
20 Curtis Lazar C	+0.39	+0.75	+0.04	-0.42	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	10:21
22 Matt Savoie C	+0.23	0.00	+0.13	+0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:34
10 Trent Frederic C	+0.02	0.00	+0.02	-0.19	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	12:40
27 Brett Kulak D	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	18:01
14 Mattias Ekholm D	-0.15	0.00	+0.11	-0.16	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	22:00
29 Leon Draisaitl C	-0.37	0.00	+0.17	-0.55	0.00	+0.06	-0.04	—	22:20
51 Troy Stecher D	-0.50	0.00	0.00	-0.34	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	14:07
42 Kasperi Kapanen R	-0.78	0.00	+0.01	-0.81	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	13:43
88 Andrew Mangiapane L	-0.83	0.00	+0.08	-0.90	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	12:32
30 Calvin Pickard G	-0.87	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.87	58:03
92 Vasily Podkolzin R	-0.87	0.00	+0.01	-0.96	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:29
25 Darnell Nurse D	-0.91	+0.55	+0.01	-1.52	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	20:21

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
86 Jack Hughes C	+3.64	+2.20	+0.46	+0.90	+0.15	-0.03	-0.04	—	20:17
22 Brett Pesce D	+2.22	+0.70	0.00	+1.37	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	21:17
13 Nico Hischier C	+2.03	+1.25	+0.53	-0.01	+0.15	-0.02	+0.13	—	21:03
63 Jesper Bratt L	+1.96	+1.45	+0.05	+0.57	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	16:04
91 Dawson Mercer C	+1.65	+0.75	+0.45	+0.54	-0.15	+0.01	+0.05	—	19:20
16 Connor Brown R	+1.21	+0.75	+0.12	+0.28	0.00	-0.01	+0.07	—	14:52
28 Timo Meier R	+0.72	0.00	+0.07	+0.67	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:48
43 Luke Hughes D	+0.68	0.00	+0.09	+0.62	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	17:34
18 Ondrej Palat L	+0.66	0.00	+0.28	+0.33	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:57
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	+0.40	0.00	+0.03	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	12:24
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	+0.38	0.00	+0.01	+0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:04
14 Luke Glendening C	+0.33	+0.70	0.00	-0.39	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	11:10
5 Brenden Dillon D	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:24
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+0.24	0.00	+0.05	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	21:37
47 Paul Cotter L	+0.15	0.00	+0.08	-0.14	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	10:40
12 Cody Glass C	-0.01	0.00	+0.09	+0.12	-0.15	-0.05	-0.02	—	12:26
48 Brian Halonen L	-0.31	0.00	+0.08	-0.39	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:12
34 Jake Allen G	-0.54	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.54	60:00
17 Simon Nemec D	-0.70	0.00	0.00	-0.77	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	16:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.