Saturday, October 18, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
NYR 54%Deserve to win 46% MTL
NYR MTL
3.11 Expected goals 2.38
4 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.78 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.52
51 Shot attempts 51
40 Unblocked attempts 37
22 Shots on goal 24
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
17:54
MTL
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 4–3
With 2:06 left
Shot map
NYR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → MTL shoots
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:24)
Nick Suzuki: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 2:17)
Noah Dobson: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:26)
Brendan Gallagher: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:44)
Arber Xhekaj: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 4:49)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:35)
Ivan Demidov: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:19)
Oliver Kapanen: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 8:31)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:42)
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 10:58)
Zachary Bolduc: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:10)
Joseph Veleno: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:26)
Owen Beck: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:40)
Joseph Veleno: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:10)
Alex Newhook: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:52)
Ivan Demidov: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:07)
Sam Carrick: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:06)
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 82 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:02)
Juuso Parssinen: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:42)
Noah Laba: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:55)
Conor Sheary: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:28)
Alex Newhook: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:00)
Alexandre Carrier: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:07)
Arber Xhekaj: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:14)
Ivan Demidov: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 2:40)
Conor Sheary: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:56)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:03)
Adam Fox: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:06)
J.T. Miller: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:16)
Jake Evans: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:48)
Joseph Veleno: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:16)
Cole Caufield: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:10)
Lane Hutson: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:38)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:51)
Sam Carrick: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:00)
Adam Fox: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:03)
Alexis Lafrenière: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 12:05)
Oliver Kapanen: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:59)
Will Cuylle: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 13:26)
J.T. Miller: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:53)
Brendan Gallagher: snap, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:05)
Noah Dobson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:13)
Noah Dobson: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:39)
Will Cuylle: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:27)
Artemi Panarin: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:12)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 19:42)
Mika Zibanejad: snap, 84 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:07)
Mike Matheson: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:08)
Nick Suzuki: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 1:10)
Matthew Robertson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 2:53)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 3:23)
Artemi Panarin: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 3:29)
Oliver Kapanen: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:44)
J.T. Miller: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 3:57)
Jayden Struble: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:03)
Conor Sheary: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:19)
Zachary Bolduc: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:41)
Urho Vaakanainen: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:49)
Adam Fox: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:17)
Adam Fox: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:25)
Matt Rempe: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:27)
Adam Edstrom: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:52)
Braden Schneider: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:58)
Zachary Bolduc: snap, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:49)
Cole Caufield: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 17:51)
Adam Fox: snap, 163 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 18:05)
Will Cuylle: snap, 81 ft, xG 0.31 (P3 18:42)
Lane Hutson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:01)
Nick Suzuki: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:04)
Alex Newhook: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:05)
Juraj Slafkovský: GOAL, snap, 24 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 1:33)
Nick Suzuki: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 3:42)
Mika Zibanejad: GOAL, slap, 35 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 11:56)
J.T. Miller: GOAL, deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:34)
Matthew Robertson: GOAL, slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:11)
Artemi Panarin: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:51)
Noah Dobson: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:26)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
New York Rangers
Montréal Canadiens
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
New York Rangers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
10 Artemi Panarin L
+3.89
+2.55
+0.49
+0.83
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
20:05
23 Adam Fox D
+2.50
+1.40
+0.20
+0.80
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
25:02
93 Mika Zibanejad C
+2.36
+1.45
+0.23
+0.51
+0.15
0.00
+0.02
—
22:16
8 J.T. Miller C
+1.93
+0.75
+0.24
+0.99
0.00
+0.01
-0.06
—
20:49
43 Conor Sheary L
+1.39
+0.55
+0.07
+0.90
-0.15
+0.01
+0.01
—
14:46
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D
+1.17
+0.55
0.00
+0.64
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
21:57
29 Matthew Robertson D
+0.67
+0.75
+0.15
-0.26
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
17:33
13 Alexis Lafrenière L
+0.63
0.00
+0.12
+0.52
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:27
50 Will Cuylle L
+0.55
0.00
+0.38
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
17:20
4 Braden Schneider D
+0.02
0.00
+0.01
-0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
19:05
71 Juuso Parssinen C
-0.01
0.00
+0.03
-0.10
0.00
+0.02
+0.03
—
9:05
17 Will Borgen D
-0.06
0.00
0.00
-0.26
+0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
20:45
42 Noah Laba C
-0.06
0.00
+0.03
-0.17
0.00
-0.02
+0.10
—
10:50
14 Taylor Raddysh R
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.18
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:25
18 Urho Vaakanainen D
-0.38
0.00
0.00
-0.26
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
12:22
84 Adam Edstrom C
-0.57
0.00
+0.01
-0.61
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
9:24
73 Matt Rempe C
-0.59
0.00
+0.02
-0.61
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:38
39 Sam Carrick C
-0.59
0.00
+0.05
-0.61
0.00
-0.04
0.00
—
12:48
32 Jonathan Quick G
-0.62
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.62
59:52
Montréal Canadiens
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
14 Nick Suzuki C
+1.10
+0.75
+0.19
+0.11
0.00
-0.02
+0.07
—
20:50
93 Ivan Demidov R
+1.01
+0.70
+0.18
-0.01
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
15:50
47 Jayden Struble D
+0.78
+0.70
+0.01
+0.04
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
16:22
11 Brendan Gallagher R
+0.72
+0.55
+0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:46
53 Noah Dobson D
+0.62
+0.75
+0.08
-0.27
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
22:46
20 Juraj Slafkovský L
+0.47
+0.75
+0.15
-0.41
0.00
-0.01
0.00
—
18:13
17 Josh Anderson R
+0.46
+0.55
0.00
+0.07
-0.15
+0.01
-0.02
—
13:25
13 Cole Caufield R
+0.42
+0.70
+0.16
-0.47
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
19:33
90 Joseph Veleno C
+0.40
0.00
+0.18
+0.24
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
9:44
72 Arber Xhekaj D
+0.34
0.00
+0.03
+0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:20
62 Owen Beck C
+0.32
0.00
+0.01
+0.27
0.00
+0.03
0.00
—
8:42
15 Alex Newhook C
+0.09
0.00
+0.07
-0.01
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
15:59
76 Zachary Bolduc R
-0.01
0.00
+0.05
-0.06
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
14:09
91 Oliver Kapanen C
-0.09
0.00
+0.19
-0.50
+0.15
0.00
+0.07
—
12:42
71 Jake Evans C
-0.16
0.00
+0.02
-0.25
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
15:39
8 Mike Matheson D
-0.27
0.00
+0.03
-0.31
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
24:21
45 Alexandre Carrier D
-0.42
0.00
+0.01
-0.33
-0.15
0.00
+0.05
—
17:54
48 Lane Hutson D
-0.56
0.00
+0.02
-0.62
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
23:40
35 Samuel Montembeault G
-1.39
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-1.39
57:33
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.