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Minnesota WildMIN 1–2 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 0100 1 16
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0011 2 21

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
1:55 MIN Vladimir Tarasenko (1) Marco Rossi (4), Jonas Brodin (1) · snap xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
7:10 PHI Owen Tippett (3) Trevor Zegras (4), Christian Dvorak (1) · backhand xG 0.08 1–1 ▶
Overtime
2:37 PHI Noah Cates (2) Tyson Foerster (3), Jamie Drysdale (2) · wrist xG 0.17 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 45%Deserve to win55% PHI
MINPHI
2.04Expected goals2.32
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.06Expected goals, 5 on 51.98
56Shot attempts51
38Unblocked attempts35
16Shots on goal21

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
19:10 PHI No shift No shift · Deslauriers, 11:20 on the bench
No shift after 6:30 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (4:54) before that

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Travis Konecny: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:44) Owen Tippett: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:30) Cam York: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:38) Noah Cates: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:15) Owen Tippett: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:19) Marcus Johansson: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 6:57) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:39) Cam York: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 8:10) Travis Sanheim: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:44) Jared Spurgeon: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:34) Zeev Buium: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:34) Jared Spurgeon: snap, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:07) Matvei Michkov: bat, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 12:49) Brock Faber: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:32) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:39) David Jiricek: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:29) Jared Spurgeon: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:23) Owen Tippett: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 17:50) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:04) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:21) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 19:30) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 2:54) Matt Boldy: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:54) Brock Faber: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:23) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:38) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 5:26) Ryan Hartman: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:34) Ryan Hartman: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:48) Yakov Trenin: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:04) Jared Spurgeon: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:57) Jonas Brodin: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:02) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:45) Yakov Trenin: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:16) Owen Tippett: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:48) Owen Tippett: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:56) Nick Seeler: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:33) Noah Cates: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:39) Matt Boldy: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:14) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:30) Trevor Zegras: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:57) Owen Tippett: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:07) Travis Konecny: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:25) Noah Cates: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:26) Bobby Brink: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:54) Travis Sanheim: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:00) Zeev Buium: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:52) Jake Middleton: slap, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:00) Ryan Hartman: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:25) Sean Couturier: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 4:40) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:41) Owen Tippett: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:05) Brock Faber: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:34) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:08) Bobby Brink: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 9:09) Kirill Kaprizov: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:56) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 11:05) Kirill Kaprizov: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:13) Vladimir Tarasenko: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 11:18) Matt Boldy: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:38) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:47) Brock Faber: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:10) Marco Rossi: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:20) Tyson Foerster: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 13:42) Noah Cates: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:47) Owen Tippett: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:54) Yakov Trenin: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:19) Travis Sanheim: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 17:45) Nick Seeler: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:46) Joel Eriksson Ek: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:30) Matt Boldy: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 2:21) Vladimir Tarasenko: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 1:55) Owen Tippett: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:10) Noah Cates: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 2:37)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
12 Matt Boldy 000 -1 70.26 2023:25
97 Kirill Kaprizov 000 -2 70.38 0123:05
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 000 0 40.29 1121:54
23 Marco Rossi 011 0 20.12 0118:01
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 101 +1 30.22 0016:38
90 Marcus Johansson 000 0 30.14 0016:21
38 Ryan Hartman 000 0 50.26 0115:35
17 Marcus Foligno 000 0 10.00 1111:54
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 30.10 2110:53
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 0 10.00 1110:41
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 00.00 1010:27
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 00.00 4007:29
Defense
7 Brock Faber 000 0 60.10 1323:41
25 Jonas Brodin 011 0 10.01 0022:09
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 0 50.07 4120:19
8 Zeev Buium 000 0 40.06 1020:04
55 Jake Middleton 000 0 20.00 1417:50
5 David Jiricek 000 -1 20.02 0013:25
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jesper Wallstedt 21219 .905 2.32 +0.32

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Sean Couturier 000 -1 20.14 2020:39
11 Travis Konecny 000 -1 20.13 4120:28
71 Tyson Foerster 011 +1 30.15 0020:14
27 Noah Cates 101 +1 50.46 1119:20
74 Owen Tippett 101 +1 100.60 3018:39
10 Bobby Brink 000 0 30.11 1017:58
46 Trevor Zegras 011 +1 50.15 2016:42
22 Christian Dvorak 011 +1 20.13 1015:16
39 Matvei Michkov 000 -1 40.13 2012:07
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 00.00 2109:30
18 Rodrigo Abols 000 0 00.00 0006:53
44 Nicolas Deslauriers 000 0 00.00 3004:54
Defense
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 50.15 3229:58
8 Cam York 000 0 60.13 0126:10
9 Jamie Drysdale 011 +1 10.00 0121:35
24 Nick Seeler 000 +1 20.03 4518:06
47 Noah Juulsen 000 0 00.00 4112:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dan Vladar 16115 .938 2.04 +1.04

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
23 Marco Rossi C +0.79 +0.70 +0.08 -0.05 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 18:01
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R +0.73 +0.75 +0.14 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:38
25 Jonas Brodin D +0.52 +0.55 +0.01 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:09
30 Jesper Wallstedt G +0.32 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.32 62:37
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.25 0.00 +0.09 +0.14 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 16:21
19 Tyler Pitlick C +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:29
13 Yakov Trenin C +0.08 0.00 +0.06 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:53
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.04 0.00 +0.17 +0.04 -0.15 -0.05 +0.03 — 15:35
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.01 0.00 +0.05 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:19
8 Zeev Buium D -0.13 0.00 +0.04 -0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:04
7 Brock Faber D -0.21 0.00 +0.06 -0.40 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 23:41
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C -0.22 0.00 +0.19 -0.49 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 21:54
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 11:54
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:41
22 Danila Yurov R -0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 10:27
5 Jake Middleton D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 17:50
97 Kirill Kaprizov L -0.51 0.00 +0.25 -0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 23:05
12 Matt Boldy L -0.59 0.00 +0.17 -0.86 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 23:25
55 David Jiricek D -0.78 0.00 +0.01 -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:25

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
74 Owen Tippett R +1.92 +0.75 +0.39 +0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:39
27 Noah Cates L +1.80 +0.75 +0.30 +0.71 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 19:20
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.75 +0.70 +0.10 +0.96 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 16:42
71 Tyson Foerster R +1.31 +0.70 +0.10 +0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:14
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.17 +0.55 +0.09 +0.41 +0.15 -0.02 0.00 — 15:16
9 Jamie Drysdale D +1.16 +0.55 0.00 +0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 21:35
80 Dan Vladar G +1.04 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.04 62:37
24 Nick Seeler D +1.00 0.00 +0.02 +0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.21 — 18:06
10 Bobby Brink R +0.78 0.00 +0.07 +0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:58
8 Cam York D +0.76 0.00 +0.08 +0.61 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 26:10
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.20 0.00 +0.10 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 29:58
5 Egor Zamula D +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 11:14
44 Nicolas Deslauriers L 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 4:54
14 Sean Couturier C -0.04 0.00 +0.09 -0.13 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 20:39
11 Travis Konecny R -0.08 0.00 +0.08 -0.13 0.00 -0.02 -0.01 — 20:28
18 Rodrigo Abols C -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.14 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 6:53
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 9:30
47 Noah Juulsen D -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:08
39 Matvei Michkov R -0.23 0.00 +0.08 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 12:07

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.