hockeystats.io

Dallas StarsDAL 1–3 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Dallas StarsDAL 001 1 19
St. Louis BluesSTL 021 3 22

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
2:27 STL Jordan Kyrou (1) Brayden Schenn (2) · wrist xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
13:52 STL Jimmy Snuggerud (3) Pavel Buchnevich (4), Tyler Tucker (2) · poke xG 0.23 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
17:42 DAL Mikko Rantanen (3) Wyatt Johnston (2), Lian Bichsel (1) · deflected xG 0.07 1–2 ▶
18:59 STL Pius Suter (2)EN Unassisted · backhand xG 0.47 1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 39%Deserve to win61% STL
DALSTL
1.86Expected goals2.87
1Goals (no shootout)3
1.69Expected goals, 5 on 51.99
38Shot attempts48
27Unblocked attempts33
19Shots on goal22

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:52 STL Deserve to win Deserve to win · STL takes the lead, 60–40%
DAL had led since 8:24 of the 1st, by as much as 61%
3rd Period
17:10 STL No shift No shift · Texier, 13:51 on the bench
No shift after 5:12 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:33) before that
18:43 DAL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Oettinger, down 2–1
With 1:17 left; STL scored at 18:59 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Cam Fowler: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:14) Jason Robertson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 4:32) Tyler Seguin: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 4:44) Ilya Lyubushkin: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:42) Esa Lindell: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:47) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:24) Robert Thomas: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 10:21) Justin Faulk: wrist, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:46) Radek Faksa: tip-in, 83 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 11:36) Nathan Bastian: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:13) Mikko Rantanen: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:17) Jason Robertson: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:22) Pius Suter: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 14:03) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:14) Mathieu Joseph: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 14:59) Tyler Tucker: wrist, 177 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:13) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 17:17) Jake Neighbours: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:40) Jason Robertson: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 1:02) Nick Bjugstad: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:22) Mikko Rantanen: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:04) Dylan Holloway: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:33) Wyatt Johnston: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:57) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:15) Jimmy Snuggerud: bat, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:17) Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:42) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:22) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:30) Pavel Buchnevich: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:50) Jake Neighbours: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 15:27) Colton Parayko: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:58) Pius Suter: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:22) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:28) Matthew Kessel: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:40) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:25) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:31) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:36) Roope Hintz: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:57) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:13) Matthew Kessel: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:20) Roope Hintz: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P3 4:47) Mavrik Bourque: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:31) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 5:35) Esa Lindell: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:38) Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:13) Ilya Lyubushkin: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:18) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:16) Cam Fowler: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 8:37) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:14) Mavrik Bourque: deflected, 152 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:18) Lian Bichsel: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:30) Jimmy Snuggerud: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:46) Roope Hintz: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:05) Colton Parayko: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 15:24) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:12) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:55) Jordan Kyrou: GOAL, wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 2:27) Jimmy Snuggerud: GOAL, poke, 7 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 13:52) Mikko Rantanen: GOAL, deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:42) Pius Suter: GOAL, backhand, 106 ft, xG 0.47 (P3 18:59)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
96 Mikko Rantanen 101 0 50.29 1024:09
53 Wyatt Johnston 011 0 70.46 1220:23
18 Sam Steel 000 -1 00.00 2018:48
21 Jason Robertson 000 0 30.42 1018:41
24 Roope Hintz 000 -1 30.32 1018:00
95 Matt Duchene 000 -2 10.00 1115:51
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 0 30.07 0015:21
91 Tyler Seguin 000 -1 10.04 1014:17
12 Radek Faksa 000 0 10.00 1210:41
73 Adam Erne 000 -1 10.00 8109:44
15 Colin Blackwell 000 -2 00.00 1008:51
11 Nathan Bastian 000 0 20.20 2006:54
Defense
4 Miro Heiskanen 000 0 20.00 0124:54
55 Thomas Harley 000 0 20.00 1223:54
23 Esa Lindell 000 0 20.01 1020:27
46 Ilya Lyubushkin 000 0 20.03 3017:08
6 Lian Bichsel 011 -1 20.01 3016:45
36 Alexander Petrovic 000 -2 10.00 3412:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jake Oettinger 21219 .905 2.40 +0.40

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 000 0 10.28 1120:29
81 Dylan Holloway 000 -1 50.16 3020:14
25 Jordan Kyrou 101 +1 70.23 0117:42
10 Brayden Schenn 011 +1 20.01 6117:32
89 Pavel Buchnevich 011 +2 40.19 1117:04
22 Pius Suter 101 +2 30.81 0016:35
63 Jake Neighbours 000 -1 20.27 1116:25
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 101 +1 50.41 1015:34
21 Mathieu Joseph 000 +1 20.16 1012:32
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 0 10.02 2210:05
26 Nathan Walker 000 0 00.00 4109:51
85 Alexandre Texier 000 0 10.00 0005:33
Defense
17 Cam Fowler 000 +1 30.15 0026:40
55 Colton Parayko 000 +1 20.13 3026:28
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 30.00 0122:57
6 Philip Broberg 000 0 20.00 0221:22
75 Tyler Tucker 011 +1 20.00 1009:46
4 Matthew Kessel 000 +1 30.04 0009:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jordan Binnington 19118 .947 1.86 +0.86

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
53 Wyatt Johnston C +1.21 +0.70 +0.30 +0.16 0.00 +0.01 +0.04 — 20:23
21 Jason Robertson L +0.94 0.00 +0.27 +0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:41
22 Mavrik Bourque C +0.58 0.00 +0.04 +0.55 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:21
96 Mikko Rantanen R +0.57 +0.75 +0.19 -0.06 -0.30 +0.01 -0.02 — 24:09
29 Jake Oettinger G +0.40 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.40 58:50
11 Nathan Bastian R +0.36 0.00 +0.13 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 6:54
12 Radek Faksa C +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.19 0.00 -0.01 +0.12 — 10:41
23 Esa Lindell D +0.29 0.00 +0.01 +0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 20:27
6 Lian Bichsel D +0.20 +0.55 +0.01 -0.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:45
24 Roope Hintz C +0.16 0.00 +0.21 -0.04 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 18:00
4 Miro Heiskanen D +0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 24:54
46 Ilya Lyubushkin D -0.08 0.00 +0.02 -0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:08
28 Alexander Petrovic D -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 12:22
73 Adam Erne L -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.32 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 9:44
18 Sam Steel C -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.43 +0.15 -0.01 -0.02 — 18:48
55 Thomas Harley D -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.43 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 23:54
95 Matt Duchene C -0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.66 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:51
91 Tyler Seguin C -0.62 0.00 +0.03 -0.75 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 14:17
15 Colin Blackwell C -1.02 0.00 0.00 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:51

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Pius Suter C +1.83 +0.75 +0.53 +0.55 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 16:35
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +1.52 +0.70 +0.13 +0.53 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 17:04
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R +1.52 +0.75 +0.27 +0.65 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:34
75 Tyler Tucker D +1.32 +0.55 0.00 +0.94 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 9:46
25 Jordan Kyrou R +1.21 +0.75 +0.15 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:42
10 Brayden Schenn C +1.08 +0.70 +0.01 +0.32 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 — 17:32
50 Jordan Binnington G +0.86 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.86 60:00
55 Colton Parayko D +0.79 0.00 +0.08 +0.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 26:28
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.67 0.00 +0.10 +0.55 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 12:32
17 Cam Fowler D +0.26 0.00 +0.10 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 26:40
18 Robert Thomas C +0.16 0.00 +0.18 -0.14 0.00 +0.05 +0.07 — 20:29
51 Matthew Kessel D +0.09 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:11
63 Jake Neighbours L +0.04 0.00 +0.18 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 16:25
9 Alexandre Texier L -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.23 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 5:33
26 Nathan Walker L -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.03 +0.05 — 9:51
77 Nick Bjugstad C -0.22 0.00 +0.01 -0.30 0.00 -0.03 +0.10 — 10:05
81 Dylan Holloway L -0.26 0.00 +0.10 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:14
72 Justin Faulk D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:57
6 Philip Broberg D -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:22

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.