hockeystats.io

Boston BruinsBOS 1–4 Final Colorado AvalancheCOL

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Boston BruinsBOS 100 1 14
Colorado AvalancheCOL 202 4 38

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:11 BOS John Beecher (1) Charlie McAvoy (3), Mason Lohrei (2) · tip-in xG 0.06 1–0 ▶
7:08 COL Nathan MacKinnon (5) Artturi Lehkonen (3) · backhand xG 0.21 1–1 ▶
10:22 COL Josh Manson (1) Brent Burns (4), Gabriel Landeskog (2) · slap xG 0.04 1–2 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
4:14 COL Nathan MacKinnon (6) Artturi Lehkonen (4) · slap xG 0.17 1–3 ▶
17:23 COL Martin Necas (4)EN Artturi Lehkonen (5) · wrist xG 0.43 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BOS 11%Deserve to win89% COL
BOSCOL
1.06Expected goals3.92
1Goals (no shootout)4
0.64Expected goals, 5 on 52.59
39Shot attempts88
21Unblocked attempts59
14Shots on goal38

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
17:07 BOS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Swayman, down 3–1
With 2:53 left; COL scored at 17:23 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

BOS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ COL shoots
Nathan MacKinnon: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:02) Pavel Zacha: backhand, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:26) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:38) Mason Lohrei: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 10:45) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:48) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:16) Andrew Peeke: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:21) Gavin Brindley: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:02) Brent Burns: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:13) Jack Drury: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:03) Mason Lohrei: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 15:25) Michael Eyssimont: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 15:33) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 15:38) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:55) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 16:56) Jack Drury: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:27) Victor Olofsson: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:42) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:28) Nathan MacKinnon: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:26) Martin Necas: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 1:03) Nathan MacKinnon: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:07) Jack Drury: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:35) Jack Drury: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:45) Josh Manson: bat, 10 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:46) Brent Burns: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:02) Brent Burns: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:11) Parker Kelly: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:29) Devon Toews: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:29) Fraser Minten: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 4:48) Zakhar Bardakov: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:19) Gabriel Landeskog: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:29) Gabriel Landeskog: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:31) Martin Necas: snap, 7 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 7:27) Martin Necas: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 8:04) Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:53) Parker Kelly: slap, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 9:34) Cale Makar: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 9:54) Devon Toews: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:18) Charlie McAvoy: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:59) Hampus Lindholm: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:13) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:13) Cale Makar: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:08) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:36) Devon Toews: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:04) Gavin Brindley: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:46) Martin Necas: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:47) Jack Drury: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:05) Cale Makar: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:06) Nathan MacKinnon: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:50) Valeri Nichushkin: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:55) Ilya Solovyov: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:28) Sam Malinski: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:32) Brent Burns: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:32) Gavin Brindley: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:22) Parker Kelly: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:37) John Beecher: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:52) John Beecher: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:09) Pavel Zacha: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 7:27) Hampus Lindholm: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:14) Valeri Nichushkin: poke, 130 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:25) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:04) Josh Manson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:12) Josh Manson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:29) Sam Malinski: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:59) Cale Makar: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:01) Artturi Lehkonen: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:40) Jack Drury: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:10) Valeri Nichushkin: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:26) Martin Necas: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:37) Artturi Lehkonen: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 16:49) Martin Necas: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 16:52) Artturi Lehkonen: bat, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:58) Parker Kelly: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 17:56) Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:26) Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:35) John Beecher: GOAL, tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:11) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 7:08) Josh Manson: GOAL, slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:22) Nathan MacKinnon: GOAL, slap, 26 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 4:14) Martin Necas: GOAL, wrist, 148 ft, xG 0.43 (P3 17:23)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Pavel Zacha 000 -2 20.09 0216:25
47 Mark Kastelic 000 +1 00.00 3115:44
52 Sean Kuraly 000 +1 00.00 0215:32
28 Elias Lindholm 000 -2 00.00 0114:27
39 Morgan Geekie 000 -1 00.00 2014:25
33 Viktor Arvidsson 000 -1 40.10 0114:18
84 Tanner Jeannot 000 0 30.05 0014:14
88 David Pastrnak 000 -2 50.00 2013:53
17 John Beecher 101 0 40.34 1213:28
93 Fraser Minten 000 0 20.12 3313:21
11 Casey Mittelstadt 000 -2 00.00 0113:13
81 Michael Eyssimont 000 -2 20.11 0212:36
Defense
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 -1 20.00 5321:40
73 Charlie McAvoy 011 -1 30.06 2220:45
27 Hampus Lindholm 000 -2 30.13 0320:44
20 Henri Jokiharju 000 -1 40.00 2119:52
20 Andrew Peeke 000 -1 10.01 4519:43
6 Mason Lohrei 011 0 40.05 0015:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 37334 .919 3.49 +0.49

Colorado Avalanche

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
29 Nathan MacKinnon 202 +3 140.83 0023:17
88 Martin Necas 101 +3 91.46 1021:24
11 Brock Nelson 000 +1 20.00 1119:00
62 Artturi Lehkonen 033 +3 50.27 0117:58
95 Victor Olofsson 000 0 20.01 0015:51
43 Valeri Nichushkin 000 +1 60.09 2215:41
92 Gabriel Landeskog 011 +1 30.05 0014:33
18 Jack Drury 000 0 60.36 0014:16
17 Parker Kelly 000 -1 50.18 3113:14
79 Ross Colton 000 0 10.00 3212:26
54 Gavin Brindley 000 -1 30.17 1010:37
93 Zakhar Bardakov 000 -1 10.01 0008:11
Defense
8 Cale Makar 000 +2 90.21 0223:30
84 Brent Burns 011 +1 70.07 0219:32
7 Devon Toews 000 +2 40.04 0218:14
70 Sam Malinski 000 0 30.03 0117:11
42 Josh Manson 101 +2 50.12 0116:04
7 Ilya Solovyov 000 -1 30.01 1215:28
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Scott Wedgewood 14113 .929 1.06 +0.06

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
19 John Beecher C +1.17 +0.75 +0.22 +0.14 0.00 -0.02 +0.08 — 13:28
1 Jeremy Swayman G +0.49 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.49 59:44
52 Sean Kuraly C +0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 -0.07 +0.12 — 15:32
47 Mark Kastelic C +0.25 0.00 0.00 +0.15 0.00 +0.07 +0.03 — 15:44
20 Henri Jokiharju D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:52
91 Nikita Zadorov D -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 21:40
6 Mason Lohrei D -0.26 +0.55 +0.03 -0.82 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:56
73 Charlie McAvoy D -0.27 +0.70 +0.04 -0.96 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 20:45
84 Tanner Jeannot L -0.38 0.00 +0.03 -0.54 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:14
93 Fraser Minten C -0.48 0.00 +0.08 -0.53 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 13:21
11 Casey Mittelstadt C -0.60 0.00 0.00 -0.61 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 13:13
81 Michael Eyssimont C -0.63 0.00 +0.07 -0.78 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 12:36
39 Morgan Geekie C -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.58 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 14:25
71 Viktor Arvidsson L -0.71 0.00 +0.07 -0.83 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 14:18
18 Pavel Zacha C -1.06 0.00 +0.06 -1.21 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 — 16:25
26 Andrew Peeke D -1.18 0.00 +0.01 -1.42 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 19:43
88 David Pastrnak R -1.26 0.00 0.00 -1.20 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 13:53
28 Elias Lindholm C -1.38 0.00 0.00 -1.50 0.00 +0.07 +0.05 — 14:27
27 Hampus Lindholm D -1.46 0.00 +0.09 -1.52 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 20:44

Colorado Avalanche

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
62 Artturi Lehkonen L +4.09 +2.10 +0.18 +1.78 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:58
29 Nathan MacKinnon C +3.88 +1.50 +0.54 +1.93 -0.15 +0.06 0.00 — 23:17
88 Martin Necas C +3.47 +0.75 +0.95 +1.66 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 21:24
8 Cale Makar D +2.21 0.00 +0.14 +1.98 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:30
7 Devon Toews D +1.83 0.00 +0.02 +1.71 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 18:14
42 Josh Manson D +1.48 +0.75 +0.08 +0.77 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:04
84 Brent Burns D +1.29 +0.70 +0.05 +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:32
20 Ross Colton C +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.63 +0.15 -0.03 +0.10 — 12:26
92 Gabriel Landeskog L +0.76 +0.55 +0.03 +0.17 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 14:33
18 Jack Drury C +0.66 0.00 +0.23 +0.43 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:16
13 Valeri Nichushkin R +0.58 0.00 +0.06 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:41
11 Brock Nelson C +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.20 +0.15 -0.06 +0.03 — 19:00
17 Parker Kelly C +0.31 0.00 +0.12 +0.18 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 13:14
70 Sam Malinski D +0.26 0.00 +0.02 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:11
95 Victor Olofsson L +0.24 0.00 +0.01 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:51
41 Scott Wedgewood G +0.21 0.00 — — +0.15 — — +0.06 59:33
54 Gavin Brindley C +0.15 0.00 +0.11 -0.09 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:37
28 Ilya Solovyov D -0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 15:28
93 Zakhar Bardakov C -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.23 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 8:11

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.