Saturday, October 18, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
CAR 71%Deserve to win 29% LAK
CAR LAK
3.78 Expected goals 2.44
4 Goals (no shootout) 3
3.02 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.94
77 Shot attempts 61
56 Unblocked attempts 41
40 Shots on goal 28
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
2:50
CAR
No shift
No shift · Gostisbehere, 44:22 on the bench
No shift after 12:45 of the 1st; 5 shifts (4:06) before that
Shot map
CAR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:21)
Sean Walker: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:27)
Taylor Hall: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 0:36)
Sebastian Aho: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:06)
Jackson Blake: deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:10)
Jalen Chatfield: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:50)
Brandt Clarke: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:33)
Phillip Danault: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:00)
Seth Jarvis: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 5:10)
Sebastian Aho: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:13)
Seth Jarvis: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:23)
Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:48)
Taylor Hall: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:31)
Cody Ceci: wrist, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:01)
Trevor Moore: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:55)
Joel Armia: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:36)
Joel Armia: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:41)
Kevin Fiala: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:46)
Jordan Staal: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:32)
Seth Jarvis: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:53)
Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 11:57)
Sean Walker: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:04)
Jackson Blake: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:18)
Cody Ceci: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:20)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:29)
Eric Robinson: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:34)
Taylor Hall: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:58)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:18)
Sebastian Aho: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:02)
Warren Foegele: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:15)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:38)
William Carrier: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:48)
Nikolaj Ehlers: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:56)
Sean Walker: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:14)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:42)
Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:57)
Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:24)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:02)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:09)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:14)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:23)
K'Andre Miller: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:02)
Jordan Staal: deflected, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:05)
Logan Stankoven: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:41)
Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:02)
Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:42)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:09)
Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:37)
Seth Jarvis: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:47)
Mike Reilly: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:29)
Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:55)
Kevin Fiala: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:34)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:42)
Phillip Danault: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 11:44)
Phillip Danault: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:45)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:13)
Alex Laferriere: between-legs, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:09)
William Carrier: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:24)
Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:28)
Jackson Blake: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:06)
K'Andre Miller: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:53)
Seth Jarvis: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:58)
Nikolaj Ehlers: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:41)
Seth Jarvis: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:52)
Quinton Byfield: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:20)
Sean Walker: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:56)
Joel Armia: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:22)
Jesperi Kotkaniemi: snap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:51)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:01)
Sebastian Aho: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 5:09)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:28)
Seth Jarvis: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:40)
Alex Laferriere: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:52)
Mikey Anderson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:09)
Sean Walker: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:02)
Jackson Blake: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:20)
Logan Stankoven: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:33)
Warren Foegele: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:42)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:41)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:51)
Sean Walker: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:35)
Jordan Martinook: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:37)
K'Andre Miller: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:43)
Sean Walker: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:14)
K'Andre Miller: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:53)
Jesperi Kotkaniemi: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:15)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 16:01)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:30)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:13)
Drew Doughty: slap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:54)
Jordan Staal: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 0:12)
Jordan Staal: GOAL, slap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:58)
Jesperi Kotkaniemi: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 3:43)
Trevor Moore: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:35)
Andrei Kuzmenko: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.48 (P2 16:04)
Kevin Fiala: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:02)
Seth Jarvis: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 1:45)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Carolina Hurricanes
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Carolina Hurricanes
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
12 Trevor Moore L
+1.28
+0.75
+0.32
+0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
17:36
24 Phillip Danault C
+1.10
+0.70
+0.18
-0.04
+0.15
+0.06
+0.05
—
19:24
55 Quinton Byfield R
+0.85
+0.70
+0.03
+0.07
0.00
-0.03
+0.08
—
19:17
22 Kevin Fiala L
+0.63
+0.75
+0.15
-0.12
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
19:47
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.44
+1.25
0.00
-0.62
-0.15
-0.03
-0.01
—
18:04
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L
+0.36
+0.75
+0.42
-0.76
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
11:04
2 Brian Dumoulin D
+0.03
0.00
+0.02
+0.05
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
25:24
37 Warren Foegele L
+0.01
0.00
+0.09
+0.08
-0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
15:17
8 Drew Doughty D
-0.01
0.00
0.00
-0.07
0.00
0.00
+0.06
—
24:35
40 Joel Armia R
-0.17
0.00
+0.08
-0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
15:29
31 Anton Forsberg G
-0.22
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.22
61:45
92 Brandt Clarke D
-0.24
0.00
+0.02
-0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.04
—
14:36
6 Joel Edmundson D
-0.26
+0.55
0.00
-0.86
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
17:07
44 Mikey Anderson D
-0.35
0.00
+0.02
-0.55
0.00
0.00
+0.18
—
21:10
15 Alex Turcotte C
-0.48
0.00
0.00
-0.44
0.00
-0.04
0.00
—
9:10
39 Jeff Malott L
-0.49
0.00
+0.04
-0.58
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
9:06
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.58
0.00
+0.03
-0.56
0.00
-0.05
0.00
—
10:07
14 Alex Laferriere R
-0.67
0.00
+0.17
-0.79
0.00
-0.08
+0.04
—
13:31
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.92
0.00
+0.01
-0.93
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
18:31
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.