Carolina HurricanesCAR 4–3 Final/OT Los Angeles KingsLAK

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Carolina HurricanesCAR 2101 4 40
Los Angeles KingsLAK 0210 3 28

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:12 CAR Jordan Staal (2) William Carrier (2), Jordan Martinook (4) · snap xG 0.16 1–0 ▶
3:58 CAR Jordan Staal (3) Mike Reilly (2), Jalen Chatfield (2) · slap xG 0.14 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
3:43 CAR Jesperi Kotkaniemi (1) K'Andre Miller (1) · backhand xG 0.24 3–0 ▶
4:35 LAK Trevor Moore (2) Phillip Danault (2), Joel Edmundson (1) · snap xG 0.10 3–1 ▶
16:04 LAK Andrei Kuzmenko (2)PP Quinton Byfield (4), Adrian Kempe (4) · wrist xG 0.48 3–2 ▶
3rd Period
11:02 LAK Kevin Fiala (4) Adrian Kempe (5) · snap xG 0.07 3–3 ▶
Overtime
1:45 CAR Seth Jarvis (6) Sebastian Aho (6), K'Andre Miller (2) · wrist xG 0.23 4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CAR 71%Deserve to win29% LAK
CARLAK
3.78Expected goals2.44
4Goals (no shootout)3
3.02Expected goals, 5 on 51.94
77Shot attempts61
56Unblocked attempts41
40Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
2:50 CAR No shift No shift · Gostisbehere, 44:22 on the bench
No shift after 12:45 of the 1st; 5 shifts (4:06) before that

Shot map

CAR shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots
Jordan Martinook: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:21) Sean Walker: snap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:27) Taylor Hall: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 0:36) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:06) Jackson Blake: deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:10) Jalen Chatfield: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:50) Brandt Clarke: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:33) Phillip Danault: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:00) Seth Jarvis: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 5:10) Sebastian Aho: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:13) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 5:23) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:48) Taylor Hall: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:31) Cody Ceci: wrist, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:01) Trevor Moore: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:55) Joel Armia: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:36) Joel Armia: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:41) Kevin Fiala: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 9:46) Jordan Staal: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:32) Seth Jarvis: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:53) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 11:57) Sean Walker: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:04) Jackson Blake: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:18) Cody Ceci: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:20) Drew Doughty: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:29) Eric Robinson: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 16:34) Taylor Hall: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:58) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:18) Sebastian Aho: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:02) Warren Foegele: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:15) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:38) William Carrier: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:48) Nikolaj Ehlers: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:56) Sean Walker: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 1:14) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:42) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:57) Andrei Kuzmenko: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 3:24) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:02) Samuel Helenius: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:09) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:14) Trevor Moore: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:23) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 6:02) Jordan Staal: deflected, 20 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:05) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:41) Logan Stankoven: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:02) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 7:42) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:09) Nikolaj Ehlers: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:37) Seth Jarvis: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 8:47) Mike Reilly: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:29) Andrei Svechnikov: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:55) Kevin Fiala: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:34) Warren Foegele: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:42) Phillip Danault: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 11:44) Phillip Danault: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:45) Jeff Malott: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 13:13) Alex Laferriere: between-legs, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:09) William Carrier: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:24) Nikolaj Ehlers: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:28) Jackson Blake: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:06) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:53) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 19:58) Nikolaj Ehlers: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 0:41) Seth Jarvis: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 0:52) Quinton Byfield: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:20) Sean Walker: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 2:56) Joel Armia: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 3:22) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: snap, 90 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:51) Trevor Moore: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:01) Sebastian Aho: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 5:09) Trevor Moore: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:28) Seth Jarvis: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:40) Alex Laferriere: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:52) Mikey Anderson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:09) Sean Walker: snap, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:02) Jackson Blake: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:20) Logan Stankoven: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:33) Warren Foegele: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:42) Jeff Malott: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:41) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:51) Sean Walker: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:35) Jordan Martinook: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:37) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:43) Sean Walker: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:14) K'Andre Miller: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:53) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:15) Trevor Moore: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 16:01) Trevor Moore: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:30) Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:13) Drew Doughty: slap, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:54) Jordan Staal: GOAL, snap, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 0:12) Jordan Staal: GOAL, slap, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 3:58) Jesperi Kotkaniemi: GOAL, backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 3:43) Trevor Moore: GOAL, snap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 4:35) Andrei Kuzmenko: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.48 (P2 16:04) Kevin Fiala: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 11:02) Seth Jarvis: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.23 (OT 1:45)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Carolina Hurricanes

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
20 Sebastian Aho 011 +1 50.31 4321:29
24 Seth Jarvis 101 +1 80.88 0221:05
27 Nikolaj Ehlers 000 0 90.60 0220:13
53 Jackson Blake 000 -1 50.17 0118:29
28 William Carrier 011 +3 30.03 1014:55
22 Logan Stankoven 000 -1 30.23 0014:11
11 Jordan Staal 202 +2 50.56 2113:59
71 Taylor Hall 000 -1 30.21 0113:56
50 Eric Robinson 000 0 10.05 2012:37
48 Jordan Martinook 011 +2 20.15 0012:17
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi 101 0 40.27 2112:06
37 Andrei Svechnikov 000 -1 20.01 1011:42
Defense
19 K'Andre Miller 022 +2 70.10 1127:36
26 Sean Walker 000 0 100.18 0126:03
5 Jalen Chatfield 011 +1 20.02 1221:10
21 Alexander Nikishin 000 0 30.00 3020:23
6 Mike Reilly 011 0 40.01 1518:49
4 Shayne Gostisbehere 000 0 10.00 0004:06
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Brandon Bussi 28325 .893 2.44 -0.56

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
22 Kevin Fiala 101 -1 40.23 2019:47
24 Phillip Danault 011 +1 30.28 0119:24
55 Quinton Byfield 011 -1 20.05 1219:17
9 Adrian Kempe 022 0 20.00 4118:04
12 Trevor Moore 101 +1 120.49 0217:36
40 Joel Armia 000 -1 40.13 0215:29
37 Warren Foegele 000 +1 50.14 2015:17
14 Alex Laferriere 000 -1 30.26 1213:31
62 Andrei Kuzmenko 101 -1 30.64 1011:04
79 Samuel Helenius 000 -1 30.04 6010:07
15 Alex Turcotte 000 -1 00.00 0009:10
39 Jeff Malott 000 -1 20.06 6109:06
Defense
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 -1 30.04 3025:24
8 Drew Doughty 000 -1 60.01 0224:35
44 Mikey Anderson 000 0 10.03 2421:10
5 Cody Ceci 000 0 40.02 0018:31
6 Joel Edmundson 011 0 10.00 1117:07
92 Brandt Clarke 000 -1 30.03 0214:36
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Anton Forsberg 40436 .900 3.78 -0.22

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Carolina Hurricanes

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Jordan Staal C +3.11 +1.50 +0.37 +1.03 0.00 +0.18 +0.03 — 13:59
19 K'Andre Miller D +2.58 +1.25 +0.06 +1.21 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 27:36
28 William Carrier L +2.01 +0.70 +0.02 +1.31 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:55
48 Jordan Martinook L +1.83 +0.55 +0.10 +1.05 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 12:17
6 Mike Reilly D +1.54 +0.70 +0.01 +0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.25 — 18:49
24 Seth Jarvis C +1.40 +0.75 +0.57 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 21:05
5 Jalen Chatfield D +1.39 +0.55 +0.01 +0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:10
20 Sebastian Aho C +1.32 +0.70 +0.20 +0.38 0.00 -0.05 +0.09 — 21:29
82 Jesperi Kotkaniemi C +1.01 +0.75 +0.17 -0.01 0.00 +0.03 +0.07 — 12:06
26 Sean Walker D +0.77 0.00 +0.12 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 26:03
27 Nikolaj Ehlers L +0.76 0.00 +0.39 +0.30 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 20:13
22 Logan Stankoven C +0.32 0.00 +0.15 -0.06 +0.15 +0.04 +0.04 — 14:11
53 Jackson Blake R +0.30 0.00 +0.11 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 18:29
71 Taylor Hall L +0.22 0.00 +0.14 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:56
50 Eric Robinson L +0.14 0.00 +0.03 +0.11 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:37
4 Shayne Gostisbehere D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 4:06
37 Andrei Svechnikov R -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:42
21 Alexander Nikishin D -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:23
32 Brandon Bussi G -0.56 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.56 61:45

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
12 Trevor Moore L +1.28 +0.75 +0.32 +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:36
24 Phillip Danault C +1.10 +0.70 +0.18 -0.04 +0.15 +0.06 +0.05 — 19:24
55 Quinton Byfield R +0.85 +0.70 +0.03 +0.07 0.00 -0.03 +0.08 — 19:17
22 Kevin Fiala L +0.63 +0.75 +0.15 -0.12 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 19:47
9 Adrian Kempe R +0.44 +1.25 0.00 -0.62 -0.15 -0.03 -0.01 — 18:04
96 Andrei Kuzmenko L +0.36 +0.75 +0.42 -0.76 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 11:04
2 Brian Dumoulin D +0.03 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 25:24
37 Warren Foegele L +0.01 0.00 +0.09 +0.08 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 15:17
8 Drew Doughty D -0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 24:35
40 Joel Armia R -0.17 0.00 +0.08 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 15:29
31 Anton Forsberg G -0.22 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.22 61:45
92 Brandt Clarke D -0.24 0.00 +0.02 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 14:36
6 Joel Edmundson D -0.26 +0.55 0.00 -0.86 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:07
44 Mikey Anderson D -0.35 0.00 +0.02 -0.55 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 21:10
15 Alex Turcotte C -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 9:10
39 Jeff Malott L -0.49 0.00 +0.04 -0.58 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:06
79 Samuel Helenius C -0.58 0.00 +0.03 -0.56 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 10:07
14 Alex Laferriere R -0.67 0.00 +0.17 -0.79 0.00 -0.08 +0.04 — 13:31
5 Cody Ceci D -0.92 0.00 +0.01 -0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.