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Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 3–0 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Saturday, October 18, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 012 3 27
San Jose SharksSJS 000 0 31

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
7:35 PIT Sidney Crosby (3) Kris Letang (1), Rickard Rakell (3) · tip-in xG 0.06 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
7:02 PIT Anthony Mantha (2) Justin Brazeau (1), Evgeni Malkin (7) · wrist xG 0.17 2–0 ▶
19:38 PIT Evgeni Malkin (2)EN Sidney Crosby (4), Erik Karlsson (3) · wrist xG 0.52 3–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PIT 50%Deserve to win50% SJS
PITSJS
3.28Expected goals2.52
3Goals (no shootout)0
2.35Expected goals, 5 on 52.22
53Shot attempts64
38Unblocked attempts43
27Shots on goal31

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
9:51 PIT Goalie Goalie · Jarry +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 26 shots on goal
17:10 SJS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 2–0
With 2:50 left; PIT scored at 19:38 of the 3rd (3–0)

Shot map

PIT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Kris Letang: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:55) Noel Acciari: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 1:34) William Eklund: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 3:40) William Eklund: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:42) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:12) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:44) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:57) Anthony Mantha: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:58) Rickard Rakell: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 7:06) Bryan Rust: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:22) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:20) Noel Acciari: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:35) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 8:55) Anthony Mantha: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:16) Ryan Shea: slap, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:36) Caleb Jones: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:10) Ben Kindel: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:11) Caleb Jones: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 10:36) Ben Kindel: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.44 (P1 10:39) Ben Kindel: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 10:40) Ben Kindel: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 10:40) Vincent Desharnais: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:17) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:58) Vincent Iorio: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:52) Alexander Wennberg: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:20) Connor Dewar: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:28) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:45) Anthony Mantha: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 16:10) Caleb Jones: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:06) Will Smith: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:29) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 18:39) Ryan Shea: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:44) Jeff Skinner: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:07) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:29) Harrison Brunicke: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:05) Ben Kindel: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:29) Michael Misa: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 2:36) Michael Misa: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P2 2:52) Mario Ferraro: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:41) Kris Letang: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:02) Anthony Mantha: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 5:19) Tommy Novak: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:57) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:15) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:53) Caleb Jones: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:19) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:48) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:58) Harrison Brunicke: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 10:03) Collin Graf: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:10) Will Smith: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:59) Parker Wotherspoon: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:58) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:22) Alexander Wennberg: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:47) Jeff Skinner: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:52) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 18:24) Rickard Rakell: deflected, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:52) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:14) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:27) William Eklund: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 2:39) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 89 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:48) Ben Kindel: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:42) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:39) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:41) William Eklund: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:47) William Eklund: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:44) Vincent Iorio: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:51) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:58) Collin Graf: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:39) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:39) Barclay Goodrow: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:40) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:46) Tyler Toffoli: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:56) Bryan Rust: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:03) Erik Karlsson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:14) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:58) Will Smith: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 16:31) Will Smith: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 17:56) Connor Dewar: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 18:37) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:35) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 7:02) Evgeni Malkin: GOAL, wrist, 80 ft, xG 0.52 (P3 19:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 000 +1 30.16 0019:28
87 Sidney Crosby 112 +2 20.06 0019:04
67 Rickard Rakell 011 +2 40.41 1217:12
71 Evgeni Malkin 112 +2 20.52 0015:31
52 Noel Acciari 000 0 20.26 2314:39
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 00.00 2014:25
19 Connor Dewar 000 0 30.25 1014:01
39 Anthony Mantha 101 +1 60.44 0213:53
16 Justin Brazeau 011 +1 10.04 2113:03
19 Filip Hallander 000 0 00.00 0012:40
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 80.69 0112:25
18 Tommy Novak 000 0 10.02 0110:51
Defense
6 Ryan Shea 000 +1 40.02 1222:03
58 Kris Letang 011 +1 40.03 1221:50
29 Parker Wotherspoon 000 +1 50.03 0120:19
82 Caleb Jones 000 +1 40.09 1318:51
65 Erik Karlsson 011 +1 20.06 0118:30
45 Harrison Brunicke 000 +1 20.18 0217:15
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Tristan Jarry 31031 1.000 2.52 +2.52

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
21 Alexander Wennberg 000 -1 30.09 0019:52
71 Macklin Celebrini 000 -1 30.08 1018:24
27 William Eklund 000 -1 70.42 1118:15
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 -1 50.14 0216:40
53 Jeff Skinner 000 -2 40.41 1016:17
81 Adam Gaudette 000 -2 40.04 1015:45
51 Collin Graf 000 -1 30.04 2215:15
96 Philipp Kurashev 000 -1 30.29 0113:53
2 Will Smith 000 0 50.27 3113:44
10 Ty Dellandrea 000 0 10.00 2113:30
77 Michael Misa 000 -1 40.35 1012:56
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 30.22 0111:04
Defense
38 Mario Ferraro 000 0 50.07 4024:16
9 Dmitry Orlov 000 0 40.05 2023:14
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 -1 30.02 3220:21
4 Nick Leddy 000 -2 00.00 0117:12
6 Sam Dickinson 000 -1 50.03 2016:48
6 Vincent Iorio 000 -1 20.02 2213:02
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Alex Nedeljkovic 26224 .923 2.54 +0.54

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
35 Tristan Jarry G +2.52 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.52 60:00
87 Sidney Crosby C +1.37 +1.45 +0.04 +0.09 -0.15 -0.04 -0.02 — 19:04
71 Evgeni Malkin C +1.28 +1.30 +0.34 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:31
45 Harrison Brunicke D +1.08 0.00 +0.12 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 17:15
81 Ben Kindel C +1.00 0.00 +0.45 +0.57 0.00 -0.03 +0.01 — 12:25
67 Rickard Rakell R +0.99 +0.55 +0.27 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:12
39 Anthony Mantha R +0.98 +0.75 +0.28 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 13:53
58 Kris Letang D +0.81 +0.70 +0.02 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 21:50
82 Caleb Jones D +0.75 0.00 +0.06 +0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:51
55 Noel Acciari C +0.54 0.00 +0.17 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 14:39
18 Tommy Novak C +0.52 0.00 +0.01 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 10:51
16 Justin Brazeau R +0.49 +0.70 +0.02 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:03
11 Filip Hallander C +0.44 0.00 0.00 +0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:40
46 Blake Lizotte C +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.19 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 14:25
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.19 +0.55 +0.04 -0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 18:30
19 Connor Dewar C +0.15 0.00 +0.16 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:01
17 Bryan Rust R +0.14 0.00 +0.11 +0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:28
5 Ryan Shea D +0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 22:03
28 Parker Wotherspoon D -0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:19

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G +0.54 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.54 57:32
22 Vincent Iorio D +0.53 0.00 +0.01 +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:02
72 William Eklund L +0.38 0.00 +0.27 +0.10 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 18:15
73 Tyler Toffoli C +0.27 0.00 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 16:40
2 Will Smith C +0.25 0.00 +0.17 +0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 13:44
77 Michael Misa C +0.20 0.00 +0.23 -0.03 0.00 +0.04 -0.04 — 12:56
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.17 0.00 +0.06 +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 19:52
10 Ty Dellandrea C +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 13:30
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.14 0.00 +0.14 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:04
5 Vincent Desharnais D +0.13 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:21
53 Jeff Skinner L +0.13 0.00 +0.27 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:17
6 Sam Dickinson D +0.05 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 16:48
51 Collin Graf R -0.08 0.00 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:15
96 Philipp Kurashev C -0.13 0.00 +0.19 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 13:53
81 Adam Gaudette R -0.30 0.00 +0.02 -0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 15:45
71 Macklin Celebrini C -0.30 0.00 +0.05 -0.48 +0.15 +0.02 -0.04 — 18:24
4 Nick Leddy D -0.31 0.00 0.00 -0.21 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 17:12
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.48 0.00 +0.04 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:16
9 Dmitry Orlov D -0.70 0.00 +0.03 -0.67 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 23:14

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.