| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | |
| 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 25 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:51 | Dylan Larkin (4) Ben Chiarot (2), Lucas Raymond (2) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 11:54 | Emmitt Finnie (1) Jacob Bernard-Docker (1), Dylan Larkin (5) · wrist xG 0.39 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 12:25 | Noah Philp (2) Vasily Podkolzin (2), Brett Kulak (1) · tip-in xG 0.08 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 17:05 | Dylan Larkin (5) Emmitt Finnie (3), John Gibson (1) · wrist xG 0.01 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:33 | Leon Draisaitl (4) Brett Kulak (2), Mattias Ekholm (1) · snap xG 0.21 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 18:38 | Emmitt Finnie (2)EN Lucas Raymond (3), Dylan Larkin (6) · wrist xG 0.57 | 2–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| EDM | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 2.77 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 1.64 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.21 |
| 44 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 31 | Unblocked attempts | 39 |
| 18 | Shots on goal | 25 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | EDM | No shift | No shift · Kapanen, 36:48 on the bench
No shift after 0:42 of the 2nd; 8 shifts (5:43) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 18:22 | EDM | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Skinner, down 3–2
With 1:38 left; DET scored at 18:38 of the 3rd (2–4) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.15 | 0 | 1 | 22:04 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.38 | 1 | 0 | 20:33 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18:51 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 17:42 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.07 | 5 | 0 | 17:11 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:42 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 14:47 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 13:51 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 2 | 0 | 12:26 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 11:21 |
| 42 | Kasperi Kapanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 1 | 05:43 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 23:07 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 7 | 0.09 | 2 | 5 | 21:15 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 4 | 19:59 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19:13 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 3 | 18:31 |
| 28 | Troy Stecher | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stuart Skinner | 24 | 3 | 21 | .875 | 2.21 | -0.79 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 58 | Emmitt Finnie | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 1.26 | 4 | 0 | 19:25 |
| 71 | Dylan Larkin | 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 7 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 19:11 |
| 23 | Lucas Raymond | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 17:20 |
| 92 | Marco Kasper | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 16:58 |
| 93 | Alex DeBrincat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 22 | Mason Appleton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 14:56 |
| 37 | J.T. Compher | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 0 | 13:59 |
| 29 | Jonatan Berggren | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 11:48 |
| 27 | Michael Rasmussen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 1 | 11:44 |
| 18 | Andrew Copp | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 11:36 |
| 21 | James van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.28 | 0 | 0 | 11:22 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Moritz Seider | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 5 | 0 | 23:45 |
| 77 | Simon Edvinsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 3 | 23:03 |
| 8 | Ben Chiarot | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 23:01 |
| 44 | Axel Sandin-Pellikka | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 0 | 2 | 19:37 |
| 20 | Albert Johansson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 15:38 |
| 25 | Jacob Bernard-Docker | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 15:14 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gibson | 18 | 2 | 16 | .889 | 1.88 | -0.12 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Brett Kulak D | +2.36 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 19:13 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.04 | +0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:11 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +1.24 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:33 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.05 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:26 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.09 | — | 18:31 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:42 |
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.07 | 0.00 | -0.06 | +0.03 | — | 22:04 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | +0.14 | +0.55 | +0.17 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.16 | — | 19:59 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:47 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.04 | — | 15:42 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:00 |
| 42 Kasperi Kapanen R | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 5:43 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | -0.26 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 23:07 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | -0.59 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 13:51 |
| 51 Troy Stecher D | -0.66 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 16:00 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | -0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.83 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:51 |
| 74 Stuart Skinner G | -0.79 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.79 | 59:44 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 21:15 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -1.05 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.09 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 11:21 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Emmitt Finnie C | +3.44 | +2.20 | +0.82 | +0.41 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:25 |
| 71 Dylan Larkin C | +3.12 | +2.60 | +0.11 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:11 |
| 23 Lucas Raymond L | +1.61 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 17:20 |
| 25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D | +1.29 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 15:14 |
| 8 Ben Chiarot D | +0.74 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:01 |
| 77 Simon Edvinsson D | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 23:03 |
| 20 Albert Johansson D | +0.58 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:38 |
| 28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R | +0.57 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 92 Marco Kasper C | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.01 | — | 16:58 |
| 93 Alex DeBrincat R | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:12 |
| 36 John Gibson G | +0.43 | +0.55 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.12 | 60:00 |
| 21 James van Riemsdyk L | +0.43 | 0.00 | +0.18 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:22 |
| 27 Michael Rasmussen C | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 11:44 |
| 18 Andrew Copp C | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.33 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:36 |
| 44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:37 |
| 53 Moritz Seider D | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:45 |
| 22 Mason Appleton C | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:56 |
| 37 J.T. Compher L | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:59 |
| 48 Jonatan Berggren R | -0.32 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:48 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.