| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 39 | |
| 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 30 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| No scoring | |||
| 2nd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
| 3rd Period | |||
| 9:43 | Frank Nazar (3) Wyatt Kaiser (2), Ryan Donato (2) · wrist xG 0.05 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 19:24 | Mason McTavish (1)PP Troy Terry (4), Jackson LaCombe (1) · wrist xG 0.07 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:58 | Ryan Donato (3) Connor Bedard (5), Sam Rinzel (2) · wrist xG 0.46 | 1–2 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.01 | Expected goals | 3.35 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 1.73 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.00 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 60 |
| 55 | Unblocked attempts | 48 |
| 39 | Shots on goal | 30 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 1:21 | ANA | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · ANA takes the lead, 60–40%
CHI had led since 0:35 of the 1st, by as much as 69% |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 8:37 | ANA | Goalie | Goalie · Dostal +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.05 xG, 19 shots on goal |
| 12:31 | CHI | Goalie | Goalie · Knight +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.01 xG, 30 shots on goal |
| 18:13 | ANA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Dostal, down 1–0
With 1:47 left; ANA scored at 19:24 of the 3rd (1–1) |
| 19:50 | CHI | No shift | No shift · Reichel, 10:18 on the bench
No shift after 8:31 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (7:47) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 23:22 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 10 | 0.51 | 4 | 1 | 21:50 |
| 22 | Chris Kreider | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 0 | 19:33 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 18:57 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 1 | 2 | 18:19 |
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.30 | 3 | 0 | 18:00 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 3 | 0 | 13:56 |
| 12 | Sam Colangelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 08:24 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 07:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.25 | 1 | 2 | 25:54 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 10 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 19:29 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 2 | 0 | 18:20 |
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 5 | 2 | 16:53 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 14:02 |
| 3 | Ian Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 13:32 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 10:17 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Dostal | 30 | 2 | 28 | .933 | 3.35 | +1.35 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 98 | Connor Bedard | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 11 | 0.50 | 1 | 0 | 24:37 |
| 91 | Frank Nazar | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.21 | 1 | 2 | 21:21 |
| 95 | Ilya Mikheyev | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.43 | 0 | 0 | 20:56 |
| 95 | Andre Burakovsky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 20:32 |
| 86 | Teuvo Teravainen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 19:39 |
| 59 | Tyler Bertuzzi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.61 | 1 | 0 | 18:07 |
| 20 | Ryan Greene | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 14:22 |
| 8 | Ryan Donato | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.62 | 1 | 0 | 14:06 |
| 34 | Colton Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 3 | 0 | 11:49 |
| 84 | Landon Slaggert | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 07:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 72 | Alex Vlasic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 4 | 24:57 |
| 44 | Wyatt Kaiser | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 19:50 |
| 5 | Connor Murphy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 15:08 |
| 24 | Matt Grzelcyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 12:46 |
| 55 | Artyom Levshunov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 11:52 |
| 46 | Louis Crevier | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 4 | 1 | 11:28 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | 39 | 1 | 38 | .974 | 3.01 | +2.01 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lukas Dostal G | +1.35 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.35 | 61:47 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | +1.15 | +0.75 | +0.33 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.07 | — | 21:50 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +0.94 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:16 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +0.44 | +0.55 | +0.16 | -0.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 25:54 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:53 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +0.38 | 0.00 | +0.17 | -0.11 | +0.30 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 23:22 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.37 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:29 |
| 74 Ian Moore D | +0.19 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:32 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.08 | — | 18:19 |
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.17 | -0.30 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 18:00 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:17 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.08 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:56 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:20 |
| 20 Chris Kreider L | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.20 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:43 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:33 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:57 |
| 12 Sam Colangelo R | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:24 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:18 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 14:02 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Spencer Knight G | +2.01 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +2.01 | 62:38 |
| 8 Ryan Donato C | +1.83 | +1.30 | +0.40 | +0.28 | -0.15 | +0.02 | -0.02 | — | 14:06 |
| 98 Connor Bedard C | +1.73 | +0.70 | +0.33 | +0.73 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 24:37 |
| 6 Sam Rinzel D | +1.18 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 23:14 |
| 59 Tyler Bertuzzi L | +1.04 | 0.00 | +0.40 | +0.63 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.02 | — | 18:07 |
| 91 Frank Nazar C | +0.88 | +0.75 | +0.14 | -0.10 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.06 | — | 21:21 |
| 72 Alex Vlasic D | +0.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 24:57 |
| 44 Wyatt Kaiser D | +0.75 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +0.14 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:50 |
| 46 Louis Crevier D | +0.44 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:28 |
| 86 Teuvo Teravainen C | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.23 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:39 |
| 95 Ilya Mikheyev R | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.28 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 20:56 |
| 28 Andre Burakovsky L | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.17 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:32 |
| 5 Connor Murphy D | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.08 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 15:08 |
| 48 Matt Grzelcyk D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:46 |
| 73 Lukas Reichel L | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 7:47 |
| 84 Landon Slaggert L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:32 |
| 20 Ryan Greene C | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:22 |
| 34 Colton Dach C | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:49 |
| 55 Artyom Levshunov D | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 11:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.