| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | |
| 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:16 | Jordan Eberle (1) Cale Fleury (1), Berkly Catton (1) · deflected xG 0.14 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 9:56 | Owen Tippett (4) Nick Seeler (2), Sean Couturier (4) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 13:19 | Tyson Foerster (2)PP Bobby Brink (2), Cam York (1) · snap xG 0.14 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:59 | Travis Konecny (1) Egor Zamula (1), Matvei Michkov (1) · wrist xG 0.18 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 5:32 | Noah Cates (3)PP Cam York (2), Trevor Zegras (5) · tip-in xG 0.12 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 8:33 | Jani Nyman (3)PP Matty Beniers (3), Chandler Stephenson (3) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–4 ▶ | |
| 15:40 | Owen Tippett (5) Sean Couturier (5), Cam York (3) · wrist xG 0.02 | 2–5 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SEA | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.36 | Expected goals | 2.22 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.28 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.61 |
| 47 | Shot attempts | 47 |
| 36 | Unblocked attempts | 36 |
| 23 | Shots on goal | 27 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:32 | SEA | Goalie | Goalie · Daccord −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.50 xG, 15 shots on goal |
| 20:00 | SEA | Goalie change | Goalie change · Grubauer in for Daccord
The start of the 3rd; Daccord had allowed 5 goals on 21 shots (1.78 xG) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Matty Beniers | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 20:05 |
| 7 | Jordan Eberle | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 0.41 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 |
| 9 | Chandler Stephenson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 17:57 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 17 | Eeli Tolvanen | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 2 | 1 | 14:52 |
| 51 | Shane Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 |
| 27 | Berkly Catton | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 |
| 71 | Jaden Schwartz | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 2 | 13:37 |
| 26 | Ryan Winterton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.21 | 0 | 0 | 11:55 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.09 | 4 | 0 | 11:16 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 29 | Vince Dunn | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 25:23 |
| 6 | Adam Larsson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 1 | 20:33 |
| 4 | Jamie Oleksiak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 18:23 |
| 8 | Cale Fleury | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:12 |
| 28 | Josh Mahura | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 |
| 55 | Ryan Lindgren | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 15:30 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Daccord | 21 | 5 | 16 | .762 | 1.78 | -3.22 |
| Philipp Grubauer | 6 | 0 | 6 | 1.000 | 0.44 | +0.44 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Sean Couturier | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 |
| 11 | Travis Konecny | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 0.46 | 2 | 0 | 17:47 |
| 71 | Tyson Foerster | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 1 | 17:36 |
| 27 | Noah Cates | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 16:44 |
| 74 | Owen Tippett | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 16:41 |
| 39 | Matvei Michkov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 16:15 |
| 46 | Trevor Zegras | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 |
| 10 | Bobby Brink | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 22 | Christian Dvorak | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 13:05 |
| 21 | Garnet Hathaway | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.08 | 6 | 1 | 09:28 |
| 17 | Nikita Grebenkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 07:38 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Travis Sanheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 3 | 2 | 24:07 |
| 8 | Cam York | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 21:49 |
| 24 | Nick Seeler | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 21:04 |
| 9 | Jamie Drysdale | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 1 | 3 | 17:31 |
| 47 | Noah Juulsen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 17:03 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Vladar | 23 | 2 | 21 | .913 | 2.36 | +0.36 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jordan Eberle R | +1.61 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.44 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 19:13 |
| 10 Matty Beniers C | +1.33 | +0.70 | +0.09 | +0.62 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.02 | — | 20:05 |
| 8 Cale Fleury D | +1.21 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.34 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:12 |
| 77 Berkly Catton C | +0.91 | +0.55 | +0.07 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 13:49 |
| 38 Jani Nyman R | +0.62 | +0.75 | +0.28 | -0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:11 |
| 31 Philipp Grubauer G | +0.44 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.44 | 20:00 |
| 9 Chandler Stephenson C | +0.38 | +0.55 | +0.14 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:57 |
| 55 Ryan Lindgren D | +0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:30 |
| 17 Jaden Schwartz L | +0.06 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.08 | — | 13:37 |
| 26 Ryan Winterton C | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.39 | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:55 |
| 27 Mason Marchment L | -0.16 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 16:11 |
| 20 Eeli Tolvanen R | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 14:52 |
| 29 Vince Dunn D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:23 |
| 51 Shane Wright C | -0.33 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.57 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.06 | — | 14:50 |
| 24 Jamie Oleksiak D | -0.40 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.55 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:23 |
| 12 Tye Kartye L | -0.43 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:16 |
| 6 Adam Larsson D | -0.49 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:33 |
| 15 John Hayden C | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:43 |
| 28 Josh Mahura D | -0.83 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.79 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:38 |
| 35 Joey Daccord G | -3.22 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.22 | 39:30 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 74 Owen Tippett R | +2.40 | +1.50 | +0.27 | +0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:41 |
| 11 Travis Konecny R | +2.30 | +0.75 | +0.30 | +0.98 | +0.30 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:47 |
| 14 Sean Couturier C | +1.87 | +1.25 | +0.14 | +0.69 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 18:56 |
| 8 Cam York D | +1.51 | +1.80 | 0.00 | -0.22 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:49 |
| 5 Egor Zamula D | +1.35 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:03 |
| 27 Noah Cates L | +1.02 | +0.75 | +0.19 | +0.03 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 16:44 |
| 71 Tyson Foerster R | +0.96 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 17:36 |
| 24 Nick Seeler D | +0.88 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 21:04 |
| 39 Matvei Michkov R | +0.73 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:15 |
| 47 Noah Juulsen D | +0.71 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.59 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 17:03 |
| 10 Bobby Brink R | +0.63 | +0.70 | +0.01 | -0.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 13:47 |
| 9 Jamie Drysdale D | +0.40 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.38 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:31 |
| 80 Dan Vladar G | +0.36 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.36 | 58:59 |
| 29 Nikita Grebenkin R | +0.26 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:38 |
| 46 Trevor Zegras C | +0.23 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.28 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 15:51 |
| 22 Christian Dvorak C | +0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.15 | +0.06 | 0.00 | — | 13:05 |
| 19 Garnet Hathaway R | +0.10 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -0.01 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:28 |
| 17 Jett Luchanko C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.19 | -0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 8:43 |
| 6 Travis Sanheim D | -0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 24:07 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.