| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 36 |
 |
3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 27 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:29 | |
Collin Graf (1)SH Ty Dellandrea (3) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 9:26 | |
Bo Horvat (5)PP Mathew Barzal (4), Matthew Schaefer (5) · wrist xG 0.08 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 10:30 | |
Casey Cizikas (1) Simon Holmstrom (2) · wrist xG 0.11 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 14:16 | |
Adam Gaudette (2) Michael Misa (1), Collin Graf (1) · snap xG 0.26 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 19:28 | |
Emil Heineman (3)PP Anders Lee (2), Max Shabanov (2) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:38 | |
Matthew Schaefer (2) Anthony Duclair (1), Kyle Palmieri (3) · wrist xG 0.49 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:16 | |
Macklin Celebrini (2) Dmitry Orlov (5), Mario Ferraro (1) · wrist xG 0.12 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.03 | Expected goals | 3.80 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 3.17 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.56 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 52 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 45 |
| 36 | Shots on goal | 27 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:20 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.29–0.20
In xG over 10 minutes, 6:40 to 16:40 of the 1st; goals 2–2 |
| 19:28 | SJS | Goalie | Goalie · Askarov −2.5 goals saved
3 goals on 0.49 xG, 8 shots on goal |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 15:10 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.89–0.33
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:10 to 15:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:49 | SJS | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 4–3
With 2:11 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 13 | 0.36 | 0 | 2 | 22:45 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 21:32 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 7 | 0.39 | 1 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19:28 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 6 | 0.44 | 2 | 0 | 17:58 |
| 53 | Jeff Skinner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 8 | 0.75 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 15:02 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.89 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 12:42 |
| 10 | Ty Dellandrea | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.08 | 1 | 0 | 11:04 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 09:46 |
| 75 | Ryan Reaves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 5 | 0 | 05:18 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 24:37 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 19:55 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 3 | 19:20 |
| 6 | Vincent Iorio | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:04 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.14 | 1 | 0 | 15:47 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 15:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Askarov | 27 | 4 | 23 | .852 | 3.01 | -0.99 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 21 | Kyle Palmieri | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.62 | 1 | 2 | 21:29 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.41 | 0 | 3 | 21:25 |
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 1 | 20:53 |
| 92 | Jonathan Drouin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 3 | 18:19 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 4 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.69 | 0 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6 | 0 | 13:20 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 2 | 13:20 |
| 49 | Maxim Shabanov | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 10:15 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 07:08 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 06:36 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 2 | 24:20 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 9 | 0.10 | 3 | 3 | 23:35 |
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 0.66 | 0 | 1 | 22:34 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:03 |
| 77 | Tony DeAngelo | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 14:12 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 0 | 0 | 12:16 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 4.03 | +1.03 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.68 | +0.75 | +0.23 | +1.46 | +0.15 | +0.03 | +0.06 | — | 22:45 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +2.15 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 24:37 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +2.03 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +1.50 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:20 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +1.91 | 0.00 | +0.15 | +1.66 | +0.15 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 21:32 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +1.77 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +0.81 | +0.15 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 12:42 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +1.41 | +1.30 | +0.18 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:02 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +1.39 | +0.75 | +0.58 | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.03 | 0.00 | — | 13:38 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.30 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:01 |
| 53 Jeff Skinner L | +1.14 | 0.00 | +0.49 | +0.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:49 |
| 10 Ty Dellandrea C | +1.02 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.02 | — | 11:04 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.94 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +1.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:47 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.13 | +0.81 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:39 |
| 72 William Eklund L | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 17:58 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 9:46 |
| 75 Ryan Reaves R | +0.12 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 5:18 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:55 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.73 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.02 | — | 19:28 |
| 22 Vincent Iorio D | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:04 |
| 30 Yaroslav Askarov G | -0.99 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.99 | 57:49 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +2.46 | +1.30 | +0.43 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:34 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.43 | +0.70 | +0.45 | +0.06 | +0.15 | +0.02 | +0.05 | — | 14:58 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +1.03 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.03 | 59:49 |
| 49 Max Shabanov R | +0.80 | +0.55 | +0.16 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:15 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +0.72 | +0.75 | +0.20 | -0.24 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 20:53 |
| 21 Kyle Palmieri C | +0.59 | +0.55 | +0.40 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:29 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.25 | +0.15 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 15:55 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +0.31 | +0.70 | +0.27 | -0.66 | 0.00 | -0.05 | +0.05 | — | 21:25 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | +0.27 | +0.70 | +0.05 | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:33 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +0.05 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:20 |
| 10 Simon Holmstrom R | -0.01 | +0.70 | +0.13 | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:20 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:16 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:03 |
| 29 Jonathan Drouin L | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.49 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.15 | — | 18:19 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.37 | +0.75 | +0.07 | -1.13 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 7:08 |
| 7 Maxim Tsyplakov R | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:36 |
| 77 Tony DeAngelo D | -0.99 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:12 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -1.35 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 23:35 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -1.37 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 24:20 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.