hockeystats.io

Vancouver CanucksVAN 1–5 Final Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT

Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 100 1 24
Pittsburgh PenguinsPIT 131 5 26

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:18 VAN Conor Garland (2) Elias Pettersson (3), Filip Hronek (4) · slap xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
11:39 PIT Connor Dewar (2) Parker Wotherspoon (3), Noel Acciari (2) · tip-in xG 0.05 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
14:21 PIT Tommy Novak (1)PP Kris Letang (2), Justin Brazeau (2) · wrist xG 0.09 1–2 ▶
16:18 PIT Sidney Crosby (4) Rickard Rakell (4) · wrist xG 0.10 1–3 ▶
17:29 PIT Anthony Mantha (3) Evgeni Malkin (8), Justin Brazeau (3) · wrist xG 0.65 1–4 ▶
3rd Period
5:56 PIT Justin Brazeau (5)PP Anthony Mantha (3), Kris Letang (3) · wrist xG 0.15 1–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 29%Deserve to win71% PIT
VANPIT
2.94Expected goals4.32
1Goals (no shootout)5
1.83Expected goals, 5 on 52.72
69Shot attempts65
49Unblocked attempts42
24Shots on goal26

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
17:30 PIT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.70–0.29
In xG over 10 minutes, 10:00 of the 2nd to the end of the 2nd; goals 3–0

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PIT shoots
Linus Karlsson: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:43) Max Sasson: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 1:51) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:34) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:38) Evander Kane: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 5:31) Marcus Pettersson: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:48) Marcus Pettersson: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:54) Erik Karlsson: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:10) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:21) Evgeni Malkin: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.31 (P1 8:32) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:33) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:57) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:09) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 9:48) Rickard Rakell: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.28 (P1 9:50) Tommy Novak: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 9:58) Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:30) Connor Dewar: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:30) Filip Hronek: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:01) Conor Garland: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:22) Evander Kane: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:30) Linus Karlsson: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 14:35) Kris Letang: wrist, 78 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 14:44) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P1 14:59) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:00) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:09) Tyler Myers: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:27) Erik Karlsson: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:41) Aatu Räty: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 16:22) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:16) Conor Garland: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:52) Ben Kindel: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:28) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 0:50) Evgeni Malkin: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:34) Tommy Novak: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:27) Joseph LaBate: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 3:21) Anthony Mantha: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 4:50) Filip Hallander: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:35) Harrison Brunicke: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:48) Bryan Rust: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 7:32) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 8:02) Sidney Crosby: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:15) Erik Karlsson: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:23) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 9:32) Bryan Rust: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:06) Quinn Hughes: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:49) Filip Hallander: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 15:25) Kris Letang: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:29) Tommy Novak: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:03) Bryan Rust: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 16:12) Max Sasson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:57) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 17:12) Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:13) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:14) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:26) Bryan Rust: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 17:43) Linus Karlsson: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:41) Evgeni Malkin: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 19:54) Kris Letang: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:56) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:17) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:33) Elias Pettersson: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 2:39) Justin Brazeau: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:35) Linus Karlsson: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:14) Nils Aman: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:39) Joseph LaBate: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:54) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:30) Quinn Hughes: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:04) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 8:19) Evander Kane: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:22) Pierre-Olivier Joseph: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:32) Pierre-Olivier Joseph: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 9:45) Pierre-Olivier Joseph: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:14) Aatu Räty: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:29) Joseph LaBate: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 10:54) Kiefer Sherwood: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:13) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:06) Anthony Mantha: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:39) Anthony Mantha: backhand, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:40) Filip Hallander: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:06) Evander Kane: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:35) Quinn Hughes: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:14) Harrison Brunicke: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 17:05) Noel Acciari: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 18:14) Connor Dewar: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 18:34) Conor Garland: GOAL, slap, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:18) Connor Dewar: GOAL, tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:39) Tommy Novak: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 14:21) Sidney Crosby: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 16:18) Anthony Mantha: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.65 (P2 17:29) Justin Brazeau: GOAL, wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
44 Kiefer Sherwood 000 -1 40.06 4120:28
83 Conor Garland 101 +1 30.15 0119:51
91 Evander Kane 000 -1 70.32 1217:20
54 Aatu Räty 000 -1 30.29 2017:01
40 Elias Pettersson 011 +1 60.24 1116:56
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 +1 10.00 1013:50
18 Drew O'Connor 000 -2 20.05 0013:08
13 Arshdeep Bains 000 0 10.00 1012:28
94 Linus Karlsson 000 -1 90.64 1112:19
63 Max Sasson 000 -1 30.10 1111:40
88 Nils Aman 000 -1 30.09 1110:32
Defense
43 Quinn Hughes 000 -1 70.29 0025:41
17 Filip Hronek 011 0 20.02 2222:52
57 Tyler Myers 000 0 10.02 0321:04
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 -1 50.10 1217:54
25 Elias Pettersson 000 -1 50.12 3116:23
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph 000 -1 40.09 1212:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Kevin Lankinen 26521 .808 4.32 -0.68

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
17 Bryan Rust 000 +1 60.59 0018:46
67 Rickard Rakell 011 +1 20.28 0017:54
87 Sidney Crosby 101 +1 30.24 0017:18
46 Blake Lizotte 000 0 30.00 2017:15
71 Evgeni Malkin 011 +1 61.09 1016:38
52 Noel Acciari 011 0 30.12 2116:06
19 Connor Dewar 101 0 50.24 4114:24
39 Anthony Mantha 112 +1 50.78 0013:33
81 Ben Kindel 000 0 30.09 0213:21
18 Tommy Novak 101 0 50.32 0012:21
16 Justin Brazeau 123 +1 20.24 2011:50
19 Filip Hallander 000 0 30.22 0011:40
Defense
65 Erik Karlsson 000 +2 70.05 0122:33
29 Parker Wotherspoon 011 +2 10.00 1222:24
82 Caleb Jones 000 0 30.00 3317:59
58 Kris Letang 022 0 40.02 1117:02
45 Harrison Brunicke 000 0 30.06 2516:34
6 Ryan Shea 000 0 10.00 0116:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Arturs Silovs 24123 .958 2.94 +1.94

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Conor Garland R +0.84 +0.75 +0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 19:51
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.81 +0.70 +0.15 +0.03 0.00 -0.12 +0.05 — 16:56
17 Filip Hronek D +0.75 +0.55 +0.01 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:52
14 Joseph LaBate C +0.56 0.00 +0.24 +0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:32
88 Nils Aman C +0.46 0.00 +0.06 +0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:32
7 Pierre-Olivier Joseph D +0.25 0.00 +0.06 +0.25 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 12:01
54 Aatu Räty C +0.15 0.00 +0.19 -0.04 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 17:01
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 13:50
13 Arshdeep Bains L -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 12:28
91 Evander Kane L -0.19 0.00 +0.21 -0.47 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 17:20
43 Quinn Hughes D -0.36 0.00 +0.19 -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 25:41
44 Kiefer Sherwood L -0.40 0.00 +0.04 -0.59 +0.15 +0.01 -0.01 — 20:28
94 Linus Karlsson C -0.49 0.00 +0.42 -0.91 0.00 -0.01 +0.01 — 12:19
25 Elias Pettersson D -0.63 0.00 +0.08 -0.91 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:23
57 Tyler Myers D -0.64 0.00 +0.01 -0.76 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:04
32 Kevin Lankinen G -0.68 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.68 59:48
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.72 0.00 +0.06 -0.72 -0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 17:54
63 Max Sasson C -0.98 0.00 +0.06 -1.04 0.00 -0.06 +0.05 — 11:40
18 Drew O'Connor L -1.43 0.00 +0.03 -1.30 -0.15 -0.01 0.00 — 13:08

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
39 Anthony Mantha R +3.01 +1.45 +0.51 +0.77 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 — 13:33
16 Justin Brazeau R +2.59 +1.85 +0.16 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:50
58 Kris Letang D +2.11 +1.25 +0.01 +0.82 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 17:02
37 Arturs Silovs G +1.94 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.94 59:52
71 Evgeni Malkin C +1.81 +0.70 +0.71 +0.57 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 16:38
18 Tommy Novak C +1.51 +0.75 +0.21 +0.56 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 12:21
87 Sidney Crosby C +1.35 +0.75 +0.15 +0.41 0.00 +0.08 -0.04 — 17:18
19 Connor Dewar C +1.09 +0.75 +0.15 -0.16 +0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 14:24
67 Rickard Rakell R +1.07 +0.70 +0.18 +0.21 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:54
28 Parker Wotherspoon D +0.93 +0.70 0.00 +0.15 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:24
17 Bryan Rust R +0.83 0.00 +0.38 +0.47 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:46
65 Erik Karlsson D +0.77 0.00 +0.03 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:33
5 Ryan Shea D +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.76 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 16:30
55 Noel Acciari C +0.61 +0.55 +0.08 -0.17 0.00 +0.10 +0.05 — 16:06
81 Ben Kindel C +0.51 0.00 +0.06 +0.38 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 13:21
45 Harrison Brunicke D +0.38 0.00 +0.04 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 16:34
11 Filip Hallander C +0.31 0.00 +0.14 +0.32 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:40
82 Caleb Jones D +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:59
46 Blake Lizotte C -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 17:15

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.