hockeystats.io

Minnesota WildMIN 1–4 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Minnesota WildMIN 001 1 31
New Jersey DevilsNJD 112 4 35

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
16:21 NJD Paul Cotter (1) Connor Brown (1), Dawson Mercer (3) · wrist xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:08 NJD Brenden Dillon (2) Dawson Mercer (4), Simon Nemec (4) · snap xG 0.02 0–2 ▶
3rd Period
4:53 NJD Arseny Gritsyuk (1)PP Timo Meier (4) · snap xG 0.13 0–3 ▶
10:37 MIN Matt Boldy (5) Joel Eriksson Ek (5), Zeev Buium (5) · wrist xG 0.12 1–3 ▶
18:43 NJD Jesper Bratt (4)EN Jonas Siegenthaler (1) · wrist xG 0.39 1–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MIN 47%Deserve to win53% NJD
MINNJD
2.76Expected goals3.34
1Goals (no shootout)4
2.21Expected goals, 5 on 52.62
68Shot attempts71
44Unblocked attempts51
31Shots on goal35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
18:12 MIN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Gustavsson, down 3–1
With 1:48 left; NJD scored at 18:43 of the 3rd (1–4)

Shot map

MIN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots
Luke Hughes: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:59) Connor Brown: slap, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:38) Paul Cotter: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 2:09) Nico Hischier: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:55) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 3:09) Luke Hughes: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 3:22) Danila Yurov: slap, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 5:38) Joel Eriksson Ek: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 6:13) Vladimir Tarasenko: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:14) Marco Rossi: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:20) Connor Brown: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:54) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:42) Ryan Hartman: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:50) Jack Hughes: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:42) Simon Nemec: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:02) Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:13) Connor Brown: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 12:44) Simon Nemec: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:02) Timo Meier: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:40) Brett Pesce: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 13:50) Luke Hughes: slap, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:06) Jesper Bratt: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:36) Jesper Bratt: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:46) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:58) Jake Middleton: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:11) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 18:27) Zeev Buium: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:36) Brock Faber: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 19:56) Matt Boldy: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:26) Marcus Johansson: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:49) Marco Rossi: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:10) Marco Rossi: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 1:15) Jack Hughes: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 1:27) Brenden Dillon: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:30) Vinnie Hinostroza: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:51) Timo Meier: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:23) Nico Hischier: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 4:48) Luke Hughes: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:49) Luke Hughes: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:46) Jack Hughes: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:50) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:08) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 7:15) Brian Halonen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 7:38) Zeev Buium: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:14) Matt Boldy: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:28) Matt Boldy: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 9:29) Marcus Johansson: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 10:17) Marcus Johansson: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:18) Luke Hughes: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:56) Matt Boldy: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 13:28) Matt Boldy: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 13:29) Luke Glendening: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:25) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:17) Nico Hischier: snap, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:32) Brett Pesce: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 15:35) Matt Boldy: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 17:03) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:08) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:12) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:14) Jack Hughes: backhand, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 1:36) Arseny Gritsyuk: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:25) Marcus Johansson: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:59) Luke Hughes: backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:24) Timo Meier: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:44) Jack Hughes: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 9:03) Brian Halonen: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 10:09) Jonas Siegenthaler: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:55) Jonas Siegenthaler: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:05) Dougie Hamilton: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:15) Luke Hughes: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:58) David Jiricek: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:22) Yakov Trenin: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:23) Yakov Trenin: backhand, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:28) Brock Faber: wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:40) Matt Boldy: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:41) Matt Boldy: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:42) Jonas Brodin: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:47) Ryan Hartman: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.36 (P3 13:50) Jack Hughes: backhand, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 14:09) Dougie Hamilton: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 14:23) Dougie Hamilton: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:35) Jack Hughes: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 14:51) Dawson Mercer: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:23) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:56) Joel Eriksson Ek: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:05) Kirill Kaprizov: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 16:49) Ryan Hartman: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 17:21) Marcus Johansson: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:43) Tyler Pitlick: tip-in, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:22) Dawson Mercer: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:35) Paul Cotter: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 16:21) Brenden Dillon: GOAL, snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:08) Arseny Gritsyuk: GOAL, snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:53) Matt Boldy: GOAL, wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 10:37) Jesper Bratt: GOAL, wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.39 (P3 18:43)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Minnesota Wild

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
97 Kirill Kaprizov 000 0 20.05 0121:35
12 Matt Boldy 101 0 120.68 0121:29
14 Joel Eriksson Ek 011 0 20.25 0218:07
90 Marcus Johansson 000 0 50.30 0017:14
38 Ryan Hartman 000 -2 100.74 0316:57
23 Marco Rossi 000 -1 50.25 1215:58
91 Vladimir Tarasenko 000 -1 20.01 0014:44
18 Vinnie Hinostroza 000 -2 40.12 3014:09
17 Marcus Foligno 000 -2 00.00 7011:55
22 Danila Yurov 000 0 30.14 0111:31
13 Yakov Trenin 000 0 40.06 5211:08
19 Tyler Pitlick 000 0 20.00 3110:23
Defense
25 Jonas Brodin 000 0 30.03 0322:46
8 Zeev Buium 011 0 40.06 0021:14
7 Brock Faber 000 0 40.06 1220:39
46 Jared Spurgeon 000 -2 30.00 4119:17
55 Jake Middleton 000 -1 20.01 1116:20
5 David Jiricek 000 0 10.01 0013:01
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Filip Gustavsson 34331 .912 2.94 -0.06

New Jersey Devils

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Jack Hughes 000 +1 100.65 0019:40
13 Nico Hischier 000 0 40.27 0019:29
28 Timo Meier 011 -1 50.11 1018:22
91 Dawson Mercer 022 +2 50.09 0216:46
81 Arseny Gritsyuk 101 0 40.29 1015:55
63 Jesper Bratt 101 +1 30.45 0015:10
16 Connor Brown 011 +2 40.14 0215:08
47 Paul Cotter 101 +2 30.29 2014:14
81 Ondrej Palat 000 +1 00.00 0013:57
41 Luke Glendening 000 -1 10.01 0209:37
11 Stefan Noesen 000 0 00.00 2008:14
Defense
22 Brett Pesce 000 0 20.15 0122:31
7 Dougie Hamilton 000 +1 70.29 0321:54
71 Jonas Siegenthaler 011 +1 40.11 0219:44
43 Luke Hughes 000 0 90.24 1119:43
5 Brenden Dillon 101 +1 30.04 1218:42
71 Simon Nemec 011 +1 50.02 0416:30
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Nico Daws 31130 .968 2.76 +1.76

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Minnesota Wild

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
12 Matt Boldy L +1.80 +0.75 +0.44 +0.59 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 21:29
14 Joel Eriksson Ek C +0.94 +0.70 +0.16 -0.06 0.00 +0.04 +0.10 — 18:07
38 Ryan Hartman R +0.63 0.00 +0.48 -0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.15 — 16:57
7 Brock Faber D +0.33 0.00 +0.04 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 20:39
8 Zeev Buium D +0.30 +0.55 +0.04 -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:14
23 Marco Rossi C +0.30 0.00 +0.16 +0.07 0.00 +0.01 +0.06 — 15:58
90 Marcus Johansson L +0.30 0.00 +0.19 +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 17:14
97 Kirill Kaprizov L +0.29 0.00 +0.03 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:35
91 Vladimir Tarasenko R 0.00 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 14:44
32 Filip Gustavsson G -0.06 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.06 59:29
55 David Jiricek D -0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.11 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:01
22 Danila Yurov R -0.10 0.00 +0.09 -0.38 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 11:31
25 Jonas Brodin D -0.14 0.00 +0.02 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:46
13 Yakov Trenin C -0.18 0.00 +0.04 -0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:08
19 Tyler Pitlick C -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 10:23
5 Jake Middleton D -0.27 0.00 0.00 -0.47 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:20
18 Vinnie Hinostroza C -0.48 0.00 +0.08 -0.71 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:09
46 Jared Spurgeon D -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.70 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 19:17
17 Marcus Foligno L -0.85 0.00 0.00 -0.72 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 11:55

New Jersey Devils

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Dawson Mercer C +2.27 +1.25 +0.06 +0.72 +0.15 +0.01 +0.08 — 16:46
50 Nico Daws G +1.76 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.76 60:00
16 Connor Brown R +1.68 +0.70 +0.09 +0.81 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 15:08
47 Paul Cotter L +1.59 +0.75 +0.19 +0.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:14
17 Simon Nemec D +1.41 +0.55 +0.02 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.18 — 16:30
63 Jesper Bratt L +1.24 +0.75 +0.29 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:10
5 Brenden Dillon D +1.01 +0.75 +0.03 +0.28 -0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 18:42
86 Jack Hughes C +0.95 0.00 +0.42 +0.57 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 19:40
28 Timo Meier R +0.73 +0.70 +0.07 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:22
22 Brett Pesce D +0.71 0.00 +0.10 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:31
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R +0.55 +0.75 +0.19 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:55
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D +0.40 +0.70 +0.07 -0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:44
18 Ondrej Palat L +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
13 Nico Hischier C +0.14 0.00 +0.18 +0.01 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 19:29
7 Dougie Hamilton D +0.13 0.00 +0.19 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 21:54
11 Stefan Noesen R +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 8:14
43 Luke Hughes D +0.02 0.00 +0.16 +0.11 -0.30 0.00 +0.05 — 19:43
48 Brian Halonen L -0.22 0.00 +0.12 -0.38 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 8:24
14 Luke Glendening C -0.26 0.00 +0.01 -0.38 0.00 +0.01 +0.10 — 9:37

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.