hockeystats.io

Montréal CanadiensMTL 2–1 Final/OT Calgary FlamesCGY

Wednesday, October 22, 2025

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 1001 2 28
Calgary FlamesCGY 0010 1 37

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
17:09 MTL Zachary Bolduc (4)PP Nick Suzuki (10), Lane Hutson (5) · snap xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
No scoring
3rd Period
5:56 CGY Adam Klapka (1) Morgan Frost (2) · wrist xG 0.10 1–1 ▶
Overtime
1:00 MTL Mike Matheson (2) Ivan Demidov (5), Alex Newhook (4) · snap xG 0.20 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 64%Deserve to win36% CGY
MTLCGY
2.91Expected goals2.14
2Goals (no shootout)1
2.00Expected goals, 5 on 51.17
48Shot attempts75
35Unblocked attempts49
28Shots on goal37

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CGY shoots
Cole Caufield: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:19) Jonathan Huberdeau: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:07) Zayne Parekh: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:18) Joel Hanley: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 1:22) Oliver Kapanen: snap, 19 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 2:10) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 95 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:39) Morgan Frost: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 3:54) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 92 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 4:48) Joel Hanley: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:59) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:31) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:31) Connor Zary: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:56) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:36) Mikael Backlund: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:13) Zachary Bolduc: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:42) Justin Kirkland: wrist, 128 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 12:25) Joel Farabee: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 12:33) Joseph Veleno: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 13:26) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:04) Jake Evans: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:43) Ivan Demidov: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 15:42) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 16:10) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 16:20) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:10) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 128 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:25) Matt Coronato: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:36) Matt Coronato: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 0:50) Samuel Honzek: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:30) Joseph Veleno: tip-in, 87 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:28) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:00) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:03) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:04) Matt Coronato: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:28) Jake Evans: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:28) Jake Evans: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 6:31) Juraj Slafkovský: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:40) Rasmus Andersson: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:08) Mike Matheson: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:34) Jayden Struble: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:45) MacKenzie Weegar: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:16) Jake Bean: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:09) Lane Hutson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:17) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:41) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:52) Jake Evans: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:11) Connor Zary: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:37) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:59) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:37) Mikael Backlund: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:05) Ryan Lomberg: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:46) Jonathan Huberdeau: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:51) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 15:23) Morgan Frost: poke, 14 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 15:34) Morgan Frost: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:35) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:28) Kevin Bahl: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:34) Nazem Kadri: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 18:55) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:54) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 1:00) Josh Anderson: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 1:16) Brendan Gallagher: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.28 (P3 1:19) Joel Hanley: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:30) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:22) Rasmus Andersson: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:32) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:50) Joel Hanley: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:02) Joel Farabee: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 5:04) MacKenzie Weegar: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:11) Adam Klapka: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 6:13) Noah Dobson: wrist, 86 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 8:53) Adam Klapka: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:14) Joseph Veleno: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:26) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 11:05) Brendan Gallagher: tip-in, 142 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:53) Mikael Backlund: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 13:00) Kevin Bahl: poke, 8 ft, xG 0.23 (P3 13:04) Mike Matheson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:18) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:31) Cole Caufield: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:48) Cole Caufield: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 15:05) Noah Dobson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:49) Zachary Bolduc: GOAL, snap, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:09) Adam Klapka: GOAL, wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 5:56) Mike Matheson: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.20 (OT 1:00)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 011 0 40.36 1121:05
71 Jake Evans 000 0 40.43 0017:17
13 Cole Caufield 000 0 40.24 0117:02
20 Juraj Slafkovský 000 0 60.29 1316:50
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 10.11 0016:41
15 Alex Newhook 011 0 00.00 2116:08
93 Ivan Demidov 011 0 20.14 1013:46
91 Oliver Kapanen 000 -1 30.37 2113:33
7 Brendan Gallagher 000 0 40.34 2012:34
76 Zachary Bolduc 101 0 40.20 1010:45
90 Joseph Veleno 000 0 30.09 1110:22
Defense
8 Mike Matheson 101 +1 50.24 0325:26
53 Noah Dobson 000 -1 30.04 0623:42
48 Lane Hutson 011 0 30.05 0223:23
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 -1 00.00 1521:20
3 Jayden Struble 000 0 10.01 0112:52
72 Arber Xhekaj 000 0 10.00 1012:16
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 37136 .973 2.14 +1.14

Calgary Flames

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
91 Nazem Kadri 000 0 60.20 1022:46
27 Matt Coronato 000 -1 60.16 0121:50
10 Jonathan Huberdeau 000 0 30.14 2020:55
20 Blake Coleman 000 0 00.00 1019:50
11 Mikael Backlund 000 -1 80.20 0119:39
86 Joel Farabee 000 0 30.17 6015:32
16 Morgan Frost 011 +1 40.27 1112:59
47 Connor Zary 000 0 50.11 1112:12
43 Adam Klapka 101 +1 30.22 4110:00
29 Samuel Honzek 000 0 20.03 0009:39
28 Justin Kirkland 000 0 10.00 0008:51
94 Ryan Lomberg 000 +1 10.03 2008:26
Defense
52 MacKenzie Weegar 000 +1 110.10 2327:46
4 Rasmus Andersson 000 -1 60.16 3122:41
7 Kevin Bahl 000 0 30.25 0120:42
24 Jake Bean 000 +1 40.02 0219:41
19 Zayne Parekh 000 0 40.00 0012:42
44 Joel Hanley 000 0 50.06 0112:08
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Dustin Wolf 28226 .929 2.91 +0.91

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
8 Mike Matheson D +1.96 +0.75 +0.16 +1.07 -0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 25:26
14 Nick Suzuki C +1.95 +0.70 +0.23 +0.63 +0.30 +0.03 +0.05 — 21:05
75 Jakub Dobes G +0.99 0.00 — — -0.15 — — +1.14 61:00
15 Alex Newhook C +0.90 +0.55 0.00 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:08
93 Ivan Demidov R +0.87 +0.70 +0.09 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 13:46
53 Noah Dobson D +0.87 0.00 +0.03 +0.75 -0.15 0.00 +0.24 — 23:42
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +0.68 0.00 +0.19 +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 16:50
48 Lane Hutson D +0.66 +0.55 +0.03 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:23
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.59 0.00 +0.22 +0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:34
13 Cole Caufield R +0.56 0.00 +0.16 +0.35 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 17:02
76 Zachary Bolduc R +0.51 +0.75 +0.13 -0.20 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 10:45
71 Jake Evans C +0.38 0.00 +0.28 +0.13 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 17:17
17 Josh Anderson R +0.36 0.00 +0.07 +0.27 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 16:41
91 Oliver Kapanen C +0.28 0.00 +0.24 +0.17 -0.15 -0.03 +0.05 — 13:33
72 Arber Xhekaj D +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:16
89 Joshua Roy R +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:58
90 Joseph Veleno C +0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.20 +0.15 -0.05 +0.05 — 10:22
45 Alexandre Carrier D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.31 0.00 0.00 +0.27 — 21:20
47 Jayden Struble D -0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:52

Calgary Flames

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
32 Dustin Wolf G +0.91 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.91 61:00
43 Adam Klapka R +0.86 +0.75 +0.14 +0.06 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 10:00
24 Jake Bean D +0.84 0.00 +0.01 +0.74 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 19:41
16 Morgan Frost C +0.65 +0.70 +0.18 -0.12 -0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 12:59
86 Joel Farabee L +0.25 0.00 +0.11 +0.13 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:32
47 Connor Zary C +0.21 0.00 +0.07 -0.18 +0.30 -0.04 +0.05 — 12:12
70 Ryan Lomberg L +0.14 0.00 +0.02 +0.15 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:26
52 MacKenzie Weegar D +0.09 0.00 +0.06 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.11 — 27:46
29 Samuel Honzek L +0.03 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:39
91 Nazem Kadri C -0.01 0.00 +0.13 -0.44 +0.30 +0.04 -0.04 — 22:46
23 Justin Kirkland C -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.09 0.00 +0.06 -0.02 — 8:51
44 Joel Hanley D -0.08 0.00 +0.04 -0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 12:08
10 Jonathan Huberdeau L -0.14 0.00 +0.09 -0.24 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 20:55
19 Zayne Parekh D -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 12:42
11 Mikael Backlund C -0.20 0.00 +0.13 -0.35 0.00 -0.05 +0.07 — 19:39
27 Matt Coronato R -0.33 0.00 +0.11 -0.48 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:50
4 Rasmus Andersson D -0.60 0.00 +0.11 -0.60 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:41
20 Blake Coleman L -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.73 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 19:50
7 Kevin Bahl D -1.04 0.00 +0.16 -1.23 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:42

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.