| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 30 | |
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 42 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2:10 | Casey Mittelstadt (3) Pavel Zacha (7), Viktor Arvidsson (3) · wrist xG 0.29 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 8:06 | Drew Helleson (2) Nikita Nesterenko (1), Mikael Granlund (4) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 8:49 | Morgan Geekie (4) David Pastrnak (7), Charlie McAvoy (5) · wrist xG 0.08 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 11:29 | Cutter Gauthier (5) Jackson LaCombe (2), Leo Carlsson (5) · wrist xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 15:24 | Jacob Trouba (1) Nikita Nesterenko (2), Mikael Granlund (5) · snap xG 0.32 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 17:10 | Mason Lohrei (1)PP Henri Jokiharju (3), Michael Eyssimont (3) · snap xG 0.04 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:52 | Mikael Granlund (1)PP Troy Terry (5), Frank Vatrano (1) · snap xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 7:49 | Sam Colangelo (1) Ryan Poehling (2), Jacob Trouba (3) · snap xG 0.22 | 5–3 ▶ | |
| 14:32 | David Pastrnak (5)PP Charlie McAvoy (6), Elias Lindholm (4) · wrist xG 0.03 | 5–4 ▶ | |
| 14:57 | Morgan Geekie (5) Nikita Zadorov (2) · wrist xG 0.12 | 5–5 ▶ | |
| 15:27 | Troy Terry (2) Nikita Nesterenko (3), Mikael Granlund (6) · wrist xG 0.18 | 6–5 ▶ | |
| 17:52 | Mikael Granlund (2)EN Nikita Nesterenko (4) · wrist xG 0.64 | 7–5 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| ANA | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.02 | Expected goals | 3.65 |
| 7 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 2.58 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 3.58 |
| 63 | Shot attempts | 82 |
| 48 | Unblocked attempts | 56 |
| 30 | Shots on goal | 42 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 5:20 | ANA | No shift | No shift · Gudas, 40:30 on the bench
No shift after 13:02 of the 1st; 6 shifts (3:49) before that |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 7:49 | BOS | Goalie | Goalie · Korpisalo −2.1 goals saved
5 goals on 2.93 xG, 26 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 64 | Mikael Granlund | 2 | 3 | 5 | +4 | 7 | 1.14 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 |
| 19 | Troy Terry | 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 9 | 0.59 | 0 | 0 | 19:46 |
| 91 | Leo Carlsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.44 | 0 | 1 | 18:44 |
| 17 | Alex Killorn | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 17:31 |
| 61 | Cutter Gauthier | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.41 | 1 | 0 | 17:14 |
| 13 | Nikita Nesterenko | 0 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 4 | 0.12 | 1 | 1 | 15:17 |
| 45 | Beckett Sennecke | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 14:10 |
| 12 | Sam Colangelo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.32 | 0 | 1 | 13:14 |
| 83 | Mason McTavish | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 12:56 |
| 77 | Frank Vatrano | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.05 | 4 | 0 | 12:39 |
| 49 | Ross Johnston | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 11:20 |
| 25 | Ryan Poehling | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 11:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Jacob Trouba | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.36 | 3 | 5 | 28:34 |
| 2 | Jackson LaCombe | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 8 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 24:05 |
| 8 | Olen Zellweger | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 |
| 14 | Drew Helleson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 1 | 2 | 21:18 |
| 98 | Pavel Mintyukov | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 3 | 15:54 |
| 6 | Radko Gudas | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 03:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Mrazek | 42 | 5 | 37 | .881 | 3.65 | -1.35 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 39 | Morgan Geekie | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 4 | 0.33 | 3 | 0 | 18:29 |
| 28 | Elias Lindholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 0 | 0 | 17:46 |
| 88 | David Pastrnak | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 17:44 |
| 93 | Fraser Minten | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.77 | 2 | 1 | 15:22 |
| 84 | Tanner Jeannot | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 14:36 |
| 25 | Jeffrey Viel | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.63 | 4 | 0 | 14:11 |
| 18 | Pavel Zacha | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.22 | 1 | 1 | 14:11 |
| 52 | Sean Kuraly | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 13:38 |
| 47 | Mark Kastelic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.01 | 1 | 2 | 12:50 |
| 11 | Casey Mittelstadt | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 |
| 81 | Michael Eyssimont | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 5 | 0.17 | 1 | 2 | 12:05 |
| 33 | Viktor Arvidsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 9 | 0.27 | 0 | 0 | 11:50 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 73 | Charlie McAvoy | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 5 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 22:40 |
| 20 | Andrew Peeke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 21:30 |
| 91 | Nikita Zadorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 21:16 |
| 6 | Mason Lohrei | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.07 | 1 | 0 | 19:02 |
| 20 | Henri Jokiharju | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 18:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joonas Korpisalo | 29 | 6 | 23 | .793 | 3.37 | -2.63 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64 Mikael Granlund C | +4.73 | +3.15 | +0.74 | +0.68 | +0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 20:46 |
| 13 Nikita Nesterenko C | +3.97 | +2.80 | +0.08 | +1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:17 |
| 19 Troy Terry R | +2.80 | +1.45 | +0.39 | +0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:46 |
| 65 Jacob Trouba D | +2.00 | +1.30 | +0.24 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.21 | — | 28:34 |
| 61 Cutter Gauthier L | +1.06 | +0.75 | +0.27 | +0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:14 |
| 2 Jackson LaCombe D | +1.01 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 24:05 |
| 91 Leo Carlsson C | +1.01 | +0.55 | +0.29 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.05 | — | 18:44 |
| 25 Ryan Poehling C | +0.95 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.24 | 0.00 | -0.04 | +0.05 | — | 11:07 |
| 12 Sam Colangelo R | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | — | 13:14 |
| 51 Olen Zellweger D | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.39 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:26 |
| 17 Alex Killorn L | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | — | 17:31 |
| 14 Drew Helleson D | +0.19 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:18 |
| 44 Ross Johnston L | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:20 |
| 7 Radko Gudas D | -0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 3:49 |
| 98 Pavel Mintyukov D | -1.03 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.06 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 15:54 |
| 77 Frank Vatrano R | -1.28 | +0.55 | +0.04 | -1.86 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:39 |
| 34 Petr Mrazek G | -1.35 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.35 | 59:48 |
| 23 Mason McTavish C | -1.84 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.87 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 12:56 |
| 45 Beckett Sennecke R | -2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 14:10 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Casey Mittelstadt C | +1.78 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.01 | — | 12:36 |
| 18 Pavel Zacha C | +1.75 | +0.70 | +0.15 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 14:11 |
| 20 Henri Jokiharju D | +1.56 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:24 |
| 91 Nikita Zadorov D | +1.43 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:16 |
| 84 Tanner Jeannot L | +1.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:36 |
| 71 Viktor Arvidsson L | +1.33 | +0.55 | +0.18 | +0.75 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:50 |
| 88 David Pastrnak R | +1.28 | +1.45 | +0.16 | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 17:44 |
| 73 Charlie McAvoy D | +0.98 | +1.25 | +0.01 | -0.13 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 22:40 |
| 48 Jeffrey Viel L | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.41 | +0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:11 |
| 39 Morgan Geekie C | +0.95 | +1.50 | +0.21 | -0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:29 |
| 93 Fraser Minten C | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.50 | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.07 | — | 15:22 |
| 81 Michael Eyssimont C | +0.64 | +0.55 | +0.11 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 12:05 |
| 28 Elias Lindholm C | +0.62 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 17:46 |
| 26 Andrew Peeke D | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:30 |
| 79 Michael Callahan D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 16:54 |
| 6 Mason Lohrei D | +0.26 | +0.75 | +0.05 | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:02 |
| 52 Sean Kuraly C | -0.21 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.36 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.04 | — | 13:38 |
| 47 Mark Kastelic C | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 12:50 |
| 70 Joonas Korpisalo G | -2.63 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.63 | 59:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.