| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 |
 |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 37 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:24 | |
Sidney Crosby (5)PP Bryan Rust (3), Evgeni Malkin (9) · snap xG 0.06 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 6:36 | |
Rickard Rakell (3) Erik Karlsson (4), Sidney Crosby (5) · backhand xG 0.36 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 8:26 | |
Brad Marchand (4)PP Mackie Samoskevich (3), Seth Jones (4) · deflected xG 0.14 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 15:24 | |
Ben Kindel (2) Tommy Novak (2) · snap xG 0.12 | 3–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:24 | |
Sam Reinhart (3)PP Mackie Samoskevich (4), Seth Jones (5) · wrist xG 0.11 | 3–2 ▶ |
| 4:49 | |
Connor Dewar (3) Erik Karlsson (5) · wrist xG 0.15 | 4–2 ▶ |
| 11:06 | |
Brad Marchand (5) Eetu Luostarinen (1), Anton Lundell (5) · backhand xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ |
| 11:49 | |
Sidney Crosby (6)PP Rickard Rakell (5), Evgeni Malkin (10) · wrist xG 0.08 | 5–3 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| PIT | FLA | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.51 | Expected goals | 4.30 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 3 |
| 1.47 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.46 |
| 43 | Shot attempts | 81 |
| 34 | Unblocked attempts | 61 |
| 17 | Shots on goal | 37 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 4:49 | FLA | Goalie | Goalie · Bobrovsky −2.4 goals saved
4 goals on 1.59 xG, 16 shots on goal |
| 16:18 | FLA | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Bobrovsky, down 5–3
With 3:42 left |
| 18:30 | FLA | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced PIT 1.41–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–1 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 17 | Bryan Rust | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.92 | 1 | 2 | 21:43 |
| 67 | Rickard Rakell | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 19:07 |
| 87 | Sidney Crosby | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 4 | 1 | 19:06 |
| 71 | Evgeni Malkin | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 39 | Anthony Mantha | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 15:28 |
| 16 | Justin Brazeau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 15:12 |
| 52 | Noel Acciari | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.93 | 1 | 1 | 14:36 |
| 81 | Ben Kindel | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 11:54 |
| 46 | Blake Lizotte | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 11:52 |
| 19 | Connor Dewar | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 11:51 |
| 19 | Filip Hallander | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 0 | 0 | 10:58 |
| 18 | Tommy Novak | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 10:17 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 65 | Erik Karlsson | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 22:27 |
| 6 | Ryan Shea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 21:47 |
| 58 | Kris Letang | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 20:56 |
| 29 | Parker Wotherspoon | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 4 | 19:35 |
| 75 | Connor Clifton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 4 | 3 | 17:53 |
| 82 | Caleb Jones | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 4 | 16:39 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Jarry | 37 | 3 | 34 | .919 | 4.30 | +1.30 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Sam Reinhart | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 13 | 0.93 | 0 | 0 | 23:59 |
| 63 | Brad Marchand | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 12 | 0.82 | 3 | 0 | 22:11 |
| 15 | Anton Lundell | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0.32 | 2 | 1 | 21:01 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 20:01 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 | 0.18 | 2 | 0 | 19:17 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.53 | 3 | 4 | 18:06 |
| 9 | Sam Bennett | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 17:17 |
| 17 | Evan Rodrigues | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.30 | 2 | 0 | 17:07 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.20 | 2 | 0 | 12:13 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 06:33 |
| 18 | A.J. Greer | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 06:29 |
| 12 | Jonah Gadjovich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.14 | 4 | 0 | 05:41 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 23:27 |
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 22:14 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 22:02 |
| 77 | Niko Mikkola | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 17:27 |
| 26 | Uvis Balinskis | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 14:27 |
| 2 | Jeff Petry | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sergei Bobrovsky | 17 | 5 | 12 | .706 | 1.71 | -3.29 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 65 Erik Karlsson D | +2.18 | +1.40 | +0.03 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 22:27 |
| 67 Rickard Rakell R | +1.78 | +1.45 | +0.33 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:07 |
| 87 Sidney Crosby C | +1.73 | +2.05 | +0.12 | -0.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.07 | — | 19:06 |
| 17 Bryan Rust R | +1.45 | +0.70 | +0.60 | -0.01 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 21:43 |
| 35 Tristan Jarry G | +1.30 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +1.30 | 60:00 |
| 55 Noel Acciari C | +0.95 | 0.00 | +0.60 | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.05 | — | 14:36 |
| 81 Ben Kindel C | +0.92 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.01 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 11:54 |
| 71 Evgeni Malkin C | +0.80 | +1.10 | +0.04 | -0.18 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:29 |
| 19 Connor Dewar C | +0.77 | +0.75 | +0.10 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:51 |
| 18 Tommy Novak C | +0.75 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.07 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 10:17 |
| 28 Parker Wotherspoon D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.22 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.24 | — | 19:35 |
| 46 Blake Lizotte C | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.02 | — | 11:52 |
| 58 Kris Letang D | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:56 |
| 11 Filip Hallander C | -0.35 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:58 |
| 5 Ryan Shea D | -0.45 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:47 |
| 16 Justin Brazeau R | -0.54 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:12 |
| 82 Caleb Jones D | -0.64 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | — | 16:39 |
| 39 Anthony Mantha R | -0.65 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.66 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 15:28 |
| 75 Connor Clifton D | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.98 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:53 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63 Brad Marchand L | +3.23 | +1.50 | +0.53 | +1.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:11 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +1.91 | +0.70 | +0.35 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | — | 18:06 |
| 15 Anton Lundell C | +1.71 | +0.55 | +0.21 | +0.65 | +0.22 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 21:01 |
| 13 Sam Reinhart C | +1.37 | +0.75 | +0.60 | +0.05 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | — | 23:59 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | +1.33 | +1.40 | +0.12 | -0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 19:17 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +1.10 | +1.10 | +0.09 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 22:14 |
| 17 Evan Rodrigues C | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.20 | +0.53 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:07 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +0.47 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:01 |
| 26 Uvis Balinskis D | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:27 |
| 2 Jeff Petry D | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.57 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:19 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.35 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 22:02 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | +0.25 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.34 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:27 |
| 77 Niko Mikkola D | -0.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.14 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 17:27 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.13 | -0.25 | +0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 12:13 |
| 12 Jonah Gadjovich L | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 5:41 |
| 9 Sam Bennett C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.18 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 17:17 |
| 10 A.J. Greer L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:29 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.02 | — | 6:33 |
| 72 Sergei Bobrovsky G | -3.29 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.29 | 56:18 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.