Detroit Red WingsDET 2–7 Final New York IslandersNYI

Thursday, October 23, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Detroit Red WingsDET	0	0	2	2	34
New York IslandersNYI	2	3	2	7	30

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:05	NYI	Tony DeAngelo (1) Anders Lee (3), Simon Holmstrom (3) · snap xG 0.17	0–1 ▶
14:56	NYI	Emil Heineman (4) Bo Horvat (3), Jonathan Drouin (4) · snap xG 0.12	0–2 ▶
2nd Period
7:25	NYI	Jean-Gabriel Pageau (2) Anders Lee (4), Tony DeAngelo (2) · wrist xG 0.10	0–3 ▶
13:09	NYI	Kyle Palmieri (3) Ryan Pulock (3), Mathew Barzal (5) · deflected xG 0.19	0–4 ▶
19:34	NYI	Mathew Barzal (2) Casey Cizikas (1) · wrist xG 0.18	0–5 ▶
3rd Period
3:11	DET	Dylan Larkin (6)PP Emmitt Finnie (4), Alex DeBrincat (7) · wrist xG 0.64	1–5 ▶
7:19	NYI	Emil Heineman (5) Bo Horvat (4), Ryan Pulock (4) · snap xG 0.10	1–6 ▶
7:57	NYI	Simon Holmstrom (1) Anders Lee (5), Scott Mayfield (3) · snap xG 0.18	1–7 ▶
17:20	DET	Jonatan Berggren (1) J.T. Compher (2), Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (1) · wrist xG 0.15	2–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DET 63%Deserve to win37% NYI

DET		NYI
3.84	Expected goals	3.01
2	Goals (no shootout)	7
2.04	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.96
77	Shot attempts	53
52	Unblocked attempts	41
34	Shots on goal	30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:09	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Talbot −2.2 goals saved 4 goals on 1.85 xG, 16 shots on goal
3rd Period
2:21	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Rittich +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.03 xG, 20 shots on goal
4:30	DET	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NYI 1.58–0.21 In xG over 10 minutes, 16:20 of the 2nd to 6:20 of the 3rd; goals 1–1
7:57	DET	Goalie	Goalie · Talbot −4.3 goals saved 7 goals on 2.75 xG, 26 shots on goal
10:34	DET	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · DET takes the lead, 60–40% NYI had led since 8:13 of the 1st, by as much as 68%
20:00	DET	No shift	No shift · Edvinsson, 10:00 on the bench No shift after 7:57 of the 3rd; 21 shifts (14:07) before that

Shot map

DET shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Detroit Red Wings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Dylan Larkin	1	0	1	-1	6	1.03	1	1	19:41
58	Emmitt Finnie	0	1	1	-1	2	0.18	1	1	19:14
93	Alex DeBrincat	0	1	1	-1	11	0.85	0	0	17:53
37	J.T. Compher	0	1	1	0	5	0.00	0	0	17:26
23	Lucas Raymond	0	0	0	-2	7	0.17	0	0	17:10
92	Marco Kasper	0	0	0	-2	4	0.25	6	0	16:41
18	Andrew Copp	0	0	0	-3	3	0.04	0	2	14:09
29	Jonatan Berggren	1	0	1	-1	6	0.48	1	0	13:44
22	Mason Appleton	0	0	0	-3	1	0.07	1	0	13:28
27	Michael Rasmussen	0	0	0	-3	2	0.14	0	1	12:25
25	Elmer Soderblom	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	0	09:56
Defense
53	Moritz Seider	0	0	0	-2	6	0.07	4	1	24:34
44	Axel Sandin-Pellikka	0	0	0	-3	5	0.18	2	0	21:10
20	Albert Johansson	0	0	0	-2	7	0.11	2	0	18:29
8	Ben Chiarot	0	0	0	-2	3	0.06	4	2	16:35
25	Jacob Bernard-Docker	0	0	0	-1	4	0.02	0	1	15:34
77	Simon Edvinsson	0	0	0	-2	1	0.01	0	2	14:07

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Cam Talbot	30	7	23	.767	3.01	-3.99

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Bo Horvat	0	2	2	+2	2	0.07	1	0	19:57
92	Simon Holmstrom	1	1	2	+3	7	0.41	0	1	18:52
13	Mathew Barzal	1	1	2	+2	3	0.25	0	1	17:43
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	1	0	1	+3	3	0.25	2	2	17:07
21	Kyle Palmieri	1	0	1	+1	3	0.28	0	1	16:59
11	Anthony Duclair	0	0	0	+1	3	0.18	0	1	15:04
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	1	1	+2	2	0.08	2	0	14:41
51	Emil Heineman	2	0	2	+2	6	0.40	2	1	14:40
72	Anders Lee	0	3	3	+4	10	0.64	1	1	12:50
53	Casey Cizikas	0	1	1	0	0	0.00	1	1	10:14
32	Kyle MacLean	0	0	0	-1	1	0.02	2	0	09:01
72	Maxim Tsyplakov	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	1	0	08:40
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	0	0	+2	2	0.06	0	2	25:14
24	Scott Mayfield	0	1	1	+3	0	0.00	0	4	22:43
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	+1	2	0.05	0	3	19:06
6	Ryan Pulock	0	2	2	+2	2	0.04	0	2	17:44
77	Tony DeAngelo	1	1	2	+2	4	0.20	2	0	16:32
34	Adam Boqvist	0	0	0	+2	1	0.05	0	2	13:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
David Rittich	34	2	32	.941	3.84	+1.84

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Detroit Red Wings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
71 Dylan Larkin C	+1.57	+0.75	+0.67	+0.15	0.00	-0.05	+0.05	—	19:41
48 Jonatan Berggren R	+1.50	+0.75	+0.31	+0.28	+0.15	0.00	0.00	—	13:44
37 J.T. Compher L	+1.49	+0.70	0.00	+0.77	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	17:26
28 Michael Brandsegg-Nygård R	+1.41	+0.55	+0.12	+0.80	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	12:08
93 Alex DeBrincat R	+1.18	+0.55	+0.55	+0.08	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:53
58 Emmitt Finnie C	+1.09	+0.70	+0.12	+0.08	+0.15	-0.01	+0.05	—	19:14
20 Albert Johansson D	+0.53	0.00	+0.07	+0.33	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	18:29
25 Jacob Bernard-Docker D	+0.49	0.00	+0.02	+0.40	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	15:34
92 Marco Kasper C	-0.10	0.00	+0.16	-0.24	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	16:41
8 Ben Chiarot D	-0.20	0.00	+0.04	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	16:35
53 Moritz Seider D	-0.32	0.00	+0.05	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	24:34
85 Elmer Soderblom L	-0.40	0.00	0.00	-0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:56
23 Lucas Raymond L	-0.49	0.00	+0.11	-0.56	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:10
18 Andrew Copp C	-0.80	0.00	+0.02	-0.91	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	14:09
44 Axel Sandin-Pellikka D	-0.83	0.00	+0.12	-0.93	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:10
27 Michael Rasmussen C	-0.86	0.00	+0.09	-1.18	+0.15	+0.03	+0.05	—	12:25
77 Simon Edvinsson D	-0.95	0.00	0.00	-0.90	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	14:07
22 Mason Appleton C	-1.07	0.00	+0.04	-1.10	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	13:28
39 Cam Talbot G	-3.99	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-3.99	59:36

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
27 Anders Lee L	+3.72	+2.10	+0.42	+1.13	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	12:50
10 Simon Holmstrom R	+2.14	+1.30	+0.27	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	18:52
51 Emil Heineman L	+2.02	+1.50	+0.26	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:40
14 Bo Horvat C	+1.87	+1.40	+0.05	+0.27	+0.15	+0.04	-0.04	—	19:57
33 David Rittich G	+1.84	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.84	59:44
13 Mathew Barzal C	+1.68	+1.30	+0.16	+0.36	-0.15	-0.01	+0.01	—	17:43
77 Tony DeAngelo D	+1.65	+1.30	+0.13	+0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:32
6 Ryan Pulock D	+1.51	+1.25	+0.02	+0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	17:44
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	+1.51	+0.75	+0.16	+0.48	0.00	+0.04	+0.08	—	17:07
24 Scott Mayfield D	+1.43	+0.55	0.00	+0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.22	—	22:43
21 Kyle Palmieri C	+0.85	+0.75	+0.18	+0.02	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	16:59
29 Jonathan Drouin L	+0.85	+0.55	+0.05	+0.24	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	14:41
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.63	+0.70	0.00	+0.08	-0.15	-0.05	+0.05	—	10:14
48 Matthew Schaefer D	+0.57	0.00	+0.04	+0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	25:14
34 Adam Boqvist D	+0.49	0.00	+0.03	+0.35	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	13:23
11 Anthony Duclair L	+0.11	0.00	+0.12	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	15:04
3 Adam Pelech D	-0.03	0.00	+0.03	-0.17	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	19:06
7 Maxim Tsyplakov R	-0.20	0.00	+0.02	-0.22	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:40
32 Kyle MacLean C	-0.69	0.00	+0.01	-0.57	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	9:01

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.