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Utah MammothUTA 7–4 Final St. Louis BluesSTL

Thursday, October 23, 2025

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Utah MammothUTA 412 7 25
St. Louis BluesSTL 022 4 20

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:18 UTA Ian Cole (1) JJ Peterka (3), Logan Cooley (2) · wrist xG 0.13 1–0 ▶
6:07 UTA Logan Cooley (3) Dylan Guenther (3), JJ Peterka (4) · slap xG 0.09 2–0 ▶
7:57 UTA Logan Cooley (4) Dylan Guenther (4), Olli Maatta (1) · backhand xG 0.15 3–0 ▶
10:55 UTA Logan Cooley (5)PP Dylan Guenther (5), Mikhail Sergachev (3) · wrist xG 0.37 4–0 ▶
2nd Period
5:58 STL Pius Suter (3) Colton Parayko (3), Mathieu Joseph (2) · wrist xG 0.11 4–1 ▶
7:13 STL Pavel Buchnevich (1)PP Robert Thomas (3), Jordan Kyrou (4) · wrist xG 0.44 4–2 ▶
19:24 UTA Clayton Keller (3) Nick Schmaltz (7), JJ Peterka (5) · wrist xG 0.09 5–2 ▶
3rd Period
2:19 STL Nathan Walker (1) Oskar Sundqvist (1), Dylan Holloway (1) · snap xG 0.19 5–3 ▶
5:43 STL Philip Broberg (1) Oskar Sundqvist (2), Colton Parayko (4) · wrap-around xG 0.09 5–4 ▶
9:51 UTA Nick Schmaltz (5)PP Mikhail Sergachev (4), Clayton Keller (8) · tip-in xG 0.10 6–4 ▶
18:20 UTA Clayton Keller (4)EN Nick Schmaltz (8), Barrett Hayton (2) · wrist xG 0.69 7–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

UTA 45%Deserve to win55% STL
UTASTL
3.04Expected goals2.61
7Goals (no shootout)4
1.34Expected goals, 5 on 51.95
40Shot attempts40
35Unblocked attempts31
25Shots on goal20

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
7:57 STL Goalie Goalie · Hofer −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.57 xG, 6 shots on goal
7:57 STL Goalie change Goalie change · Binnington in for Hofer
7:57 of the 1st; Hofer had allowed 3 goals on 6 shots (0.57 xG)
11:00 UTA xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced STL 1.27–0.06
In xG over 10 minutes, 2:30 to 12:30 of the 1st; goals 4–0
2nd Period
7:20 STL xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced UTA 1.14–0.01
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:00 of the 1st to 9:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
3rd Period
5:43 UTA Goalie Goalie · Vejmelka −2.0 goals saved
4 goals on 1.97 xG, 14 shots on goal

Shot map

UTA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ STL shoots
Nick Bjugstad: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 2:26) John Marino: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:18) Ian Cole: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 5:10) JJ Peterka: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 5:52) JJ Peterka: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:58) Colton Parayko: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:35) Nate Schmidt: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:43) Dylan Guenther: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:49) Nick Schmaltz: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 10:39) Dylan Guenther: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:53) Dylan Holloway: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 12:01) Cam Fowler: wrist, 165 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:31) Justin Faulk: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:46) Kevin Stenlund: deflected, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:32) Liam O'Brien: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 16:37) Brandon Tanev: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 18:46) Kevin Stenlund: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:59) Pavel Buchnevich: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:12) Oskar Sundqvist: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 3:43) Jimmy Snuggerud: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 4:54) Pius Suter: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:56) Colton Parayko: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 5:56) Robert Thomas: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:10) Colton Parayko: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:24) JJ Peterka: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:03) Dylan Guenther: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 9:04) Pavel Buchnevich: wrist, 79 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:14) Dylan Guenther: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:42) John Marino: wrist, 183 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:23) Dmitri Simashev: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:13) Michael Carcone: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:16) Logan Cooley: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:27) Nathan Walker: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:13) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 145 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:47) Robert Thomas: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:24) Jimmy Snuggerud: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:55) Barrett Hayton: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:47) Michael Carcone: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 1:39) Ian Cole: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:46) Logan Mailloux: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:31) Philip Broberg: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:42) Justin Faulk: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 2:52) Lawson Crouse: wrist, 180 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:25) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:34) Nathan Walker: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 6:00) Nathan Walker: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:01) Jake Neighbours: deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 10:16) Justin Faulk: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:25) Ian Cole: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:00) Michael Carcone: backhand, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:10) Brayden Schenn: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 16:51) Michael Carcone: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 17:04) Jordan Kyrou: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:09) John Marino: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:34) Pius Suter: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 19:15) Ian Cole: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 3:18) Logan Cooley: GOAL, slap, 42 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:07) Logan Cooley: GOAL, backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 7:57) Logan Cooley: GOAL, wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.37 (P1 10:55) Pius Suter: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 5:58) Pavel Buchnevich: GOAL, wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.44 (P2 7:13) Clayton Keller: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 19:24) Nathan Walker: GOAL, snap, 21 ft, xG 0.19 (P3 2:19) Philip Broberg: GOAL, wrap-around, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 5:43) Nick Schmaltz: GOAL, tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 9:51) Clayton Keller: GOAL, wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.69 (P3 18:20)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Utah Mammoth

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
8 Nick Schmaltz 123 +2 30.21 1020:47
92 Logan Cooley 314 +2 40.67 0018:16
9 Clayton Keller 213 +2 20.78 0018:14
11 Dylan Guenther 033 +2 40.42 1017:55
10 JJ Peterka 033 +4 40.07 0016:14
22 Jack McBain 000 -1 00.00 3015:36
82 Kevin Stenlund 000 -1 20.03 1114:59
27 Barrett Hayton 011 +1 10.02 0113:47
67 Lawson Crouse 000 -1 20.00 2112:52
53 Michael Carcone 000 -2 40.25 0010:46
38 Liam O'Brien 000 -1 30.08 2009:42
13 Brandon Tanev 000 -1 10.09 0109:35
Defense
98 Mikhail Sergachev 022 +1 00.00 0023:10
88 Nate Schmidt 000 0 20.01 2122:16
28 Ian Cole 101 +4 40.27 2222:00
6 John Marino 000 -2 30.12 1119:42
3 Olli Maatta 011 +1 00.00 0112:40
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Karel Vejmelka 20416 .800 2.61 -1.39

St. Louis Blues

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Robert Thomas 011 -1 30.18 2022:19
89 Pavel Buchnevich 101 -1 30.47 0021:38
25 Jordan Kyrou 011 -1 20.04 0018:59
81 Dylan Holloway 011 -1 20.03 1015:32
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -3 10.14 4015:20
21 Jimmy Snuggerud 000 -1 30.28 2014:57
63 Jake Neighbours 000 -3 20.17 1013:52
26 Nathan Walker 101 +2 40.51 4013:34
22 Pius Suter 101 -1 30.20 1012:56
21 Mathieu Joseph 011 -1 00.00 5012:20
70 Oskar Sundqvist 022 +2 10.07 3011:13
72 Nick Bjugstad 000 +1 20.14 3109:51
Defense
6 Philip Broberg 101 +1 30.11 1022:38
72 Justin Faulk 000 0 50.05 0222:05
17 Cam Fowler 000 -3 20.00 0121:37
55 Colton Parayko 022 0 30.23 1121:18
75 Tyler Tucker 000 +1 00.00 3014:00
23 Logan Mailloux 000 -2 10.01 1010:51
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Joel Hofer 633 .500 0.57 -2.43
Jordan Binnington 18315 .833 1.78 -1.22

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Utah Mammoth

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
92 Logan Cooley C +3.59 +2.80 +0.44 +0.38 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 — 18:16
11 Dylan Guenther R +2.68 +2.10 +0.27 +0.50 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 17:55
77 JJ Peterka R +2.58 +1.80 +0.04 +0.54 +0.15 +0.01 +0.04 — 16:14
9 Clayton Keller R +2.25 +2.05 +0.51 -0.14 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 18:14
8 Nick Schmaltz C +2.18 +2.15 +0.13 +0.11 -0.15 -0.02 -0.04 — 20:47
28 Ian Cole D +1.93 +0.75 +0.18 +0.93 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:00
98 Mikhail Sergachev D +0.69 +1.25 0.00 -0.49 -0.05 0.00 -0.02 — 23:10
2 Olli Maatta D +0.53 +0.55 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 12:40
27 Barrett Hayton C +0.22 +0.55 +0.01 -0.35 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 13:47
88 Nate Schmidt D +0.21 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 22:16
13 Brandon Tanev L -0.14 0.00 +0.06 -0.38 +0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 9:35
22 Jack McBain C -0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 -0.02 0.00 — 15:36
67 Lawson Crouse L -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.28 -0.05 0.00 +0.03 — 12:52
82 Kevin Stenlund C -0.45 0.00 +0.02 -0.49 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 14:59
26 Dmitri Simashev D -0.48 0.00 +0.02 -0.48 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:14
38 Liam O'Brien C -0.50 0.00 +0.05 -0.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:42
53 Michael Carcone L -0.50 0.00 +0.16 -0.62 -0.05 0.00 0.00 — 10:46
6 John Marino D -0.82 0.00 +0.08 -0.97 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 19:42
70 Karel Vejmelka G -1.39 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.39 60:00

St. Louis Blues

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
26 Nathan Walker L +2.55 +0.75 +0.33 +1.37 +0.10 0.00 0.00 — 13:34
70 Oskar Sundqvist C +2.00 +1.40 +0.05 +0.82 -0.30 +0.01 +0.02 — 11:13
6 Philip Broberg D +1.95 +0.75 +0.07 +0.99 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 22:38
55 Colton Parayko D +1.56 +1.25 +0.15 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 21:18
18 Robert Thomas C +1.23 +0.70 +0.12 +0.28 +0.15 +0.03 -0.04 — 22:19
89 Pavel Buchnevich L +1.06 +0.75 +0.31 +0.06 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 21:38
77 Nick Bjugstad C +0.64 0.00 +0.09 +0.49 0.00 +0.03 +0.03 — 9:51
25 Jordan Kyrou R +0.63 +0.55 +0.03 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:59
81 Dylan Holloway L +0.53 +0.55 +0.02 -0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:32
22 Pius Suter C +0.51 +0.75 +0.13 -0.23 -0.10 -0.04 0.00 — 12:56
72 Justin Faulk D +0.41 0.00 +0.03 +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 22:05
71 Mathieu Joseph R +0.36 +0.55 0.00 -0.34 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:20
75 Tyler Tucker D +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:00
63 Jake Neighbours L -0.02 0.00 +0.11 -0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:52
23 Logan Mailloux D -0.19 0.00 +0.01 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 10:51
21 Jimmy Snuggerud R -0.26 0.00 +0.18 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:57
17 Cam Fowler D -0.38 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 21:37
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.40 0.00 +0.09 -0.35 -0.15 +0.03 -0.02 — 15:20
50 Jordan Binnington G -1.22 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.22 51:05
30 Joel Hofer G -2.43 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.43 7:57

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.