Thursday, October 23, 2025
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
SEA 45%Deserve to win 55% WPG
SEA WPG
3.44 Expected goals 1.97
3 Goals (no shootout) 0
1.68 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.77
53 Shot attempts 62
39 Unblocked attempts 47
28 Shots on goal 32
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
18:09
WPG
Pulled goalie
Pulled goalie · Pulled Hellebuyck, down 1–0
With 1:51 left; SEA scored at 18:20 of the 3rd (2–0)
Shot map
SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → WPG shoots
Neal Pionk: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:49)
Eeli Tolvanen: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 1:17)
Tanner Pearson: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:45)
Logan Stanley: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:50)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:39)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:58)
Brad Lambert: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:46)
Alex Iafallo: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:59)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 6:02)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:44)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:09)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:20)
Brad Lambert: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:16)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 9:39)
Jamie Oleksiak: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:44)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:17)
Chandler Stephenson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 11:01)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 12:17)
Nino Niederreiter: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 13:47)
Jonathan Toews: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:03)
Nino Niederreiter: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:05)
Tanner Pearson: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 14:38)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:59)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:15)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:20)
Ryan Winterton: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:39)
Josh Mahura: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:00)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 18:29)
Ryan Winterton: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:46)
Neal Pionk: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:20)
Josh Morrissey: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 19:55)
Mark Scheifele: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 19:57)
Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 1:01)
Ryan Lindgren: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:26)
Shane Wright: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:26)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 3:01)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:16)
Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.26 (P2 4:18)
Neal Pionk: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:41)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 6:22)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:40)
Morgan Barron: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 7:21)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:21)
Jani Nyman: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:01)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 63 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 11:07)
Tye Kartye: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:30)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 12:10)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 14:04)
Haydn Fleury: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:01)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:06)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:37)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:32)
Adam Larsson: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:42)
Shane Wright: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:03)
Jamie Oleksiak: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:19)
Vince Dunn: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 19:13)
Luke Schenn: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:43)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:47)
Matty Beniers: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:58)
Jonathan Toews: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:05)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:39)
Mason Marchment: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:47)
Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:33)
Ryan Winterton: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 5:59)
Cole Koepke: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:38)
Logan Stanley: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:49)
Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:17)
Josh Morrissey: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:29)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 7:44)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:36)
Morgan Barron: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:08)
Kyle Connor: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:34)
Josh Morrissey: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:46)
Ryan Lindgren: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 11:38)
Cale Fleury: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:12)
Berkly Catton: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:50)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:07)
Chandler Stephenson: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 15:39)
Jordan Eberle: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 16:10)
Morgan Barron: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 16:27)
Neal Pionk: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:00)
Jonathan Toews: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:08)
Haydn Fleury: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:02)
Jaden Schwartz: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 2:28)
Jaden Schwartz: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.85 (P3 18:20)
Jordan Eberle: GOAL, wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.84 (P3 18:43)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Seattle Kraken
Goalie
SA GA
SV SV%
xGA
GSAx
Joey Daccord
32 0 32
1.000
1.97
+1.97
Winnipeg Jets
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Seattle Kraken
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
17 Jaden Schwartz L
+2.52
+2.20
+0.68
-0.24
-0.15
0.00
+0.04
—
14:42
35 Joey Daccord G
+2.52
+0.55
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.97
60:00
7 Jordan Eberle R
+1.05
+0.75
+0.75
-0.30
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
17:26
51 Shane Wright C
+0.90
+0.70
+0.04
+0.25
0.00
-0.04
-0.04
—
13:46
29 Vince Dunn D
+0.62
0.00
+0.21
+0.27
+0.15
0.00
-0.01
—
24:43
6 Adam Larsson D
+0.61
+0.55
0.00
-0.06
0.00
0.00
+0.12
—
27:17
26 Ryan Winterton C
+0.51
0.00
+0.10
+0.36
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:55
12 Tye Kartye L
+0.36
0.00
+0.01
+0.35
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:31
38 Jani Nyman R
+0.32
0.00
+0.04
+0.28
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:16
24 Jamie Oleksiak D
+0.26
0.00
+0.05
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
21:33
28 Josh Mahura D
+0.17
0.00
+0.01
+0.05
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
13:14
59 Ben Meyers C
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.16
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:23
77 Berkly Catton C
+0.09
0.00
+0.04
+0.01
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
10:09
9 Chandler Stephenson C
-0.05
0.00
+0.09
-0.24
0.00
+0.04
+0.06
—
21:51
55 Ryan Lindgren D
-0.05
0.00
+0.01
-0.10
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:14
10 Matty Beniers C
-0.13
0.00
+0.03
-0.20
0.00
-0.04
+0.08
—
18:39
27 Mason Marchment L
-0.14
0.00
+0.10
-0.19
0.00
-0.01
-0.04
—
19:10
8 Cale Fleury D
-0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.17
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
11:53
20 Eeli Tolvanen R
-0.19
0.00
+0.06
-0.13
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
17:18
Winnipeg Jets
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
37 Connor Hellebuyck G
+0.75
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+0.75
59:36
2 Dylan DeMelo D
+0.67
0.00
+0.02
+0.47
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
21:04
13 Gabriel Vilardi C
+0.58
0.00
+0.19
+0.39
0.00
+0.02
-0.02
—
22:14
4 Neal Pionk D
+0.53
0.00
+0.08
+0.30
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
22:36
44 Josh Morrissey D
+0.50
0.00
+0.13
+0.35
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
28:13
36 Morgan Barron C
+0.46
0.00
+0.16
+0.20
0.00
+0.10
0.00
—
10:57
14 Gustav Nyquist R
+0.38
0.00
+0.02
+0.28
+0.15
-0.03
-0.04
—
15:51
45 Cole Koepke L
+0.30
0.00
+0.05
+0.23
0.00
0.00
+0.02
—
9:41
62 Nino Niederreiter R
+0.27
0.00
+0.13
+0.18
0.00
0.00
-0.04
—
15:54
55 Mark Scheifele C
+0.27
0.00
+0.06
+0.13
+0.15
-0.01
-0.06
—
23:42
19 Jonathan Toews C
+0.24
0.00
+0.08
+0.11
0.00
-0.03
+0.08
—
16:26
70 Tanner Pearson L
+0.19
0.00
+0.05
+0.14
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:24
81 Kyle Connor L
+0.16
0.00
+0.17
+0.13
-0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
22:41
64 Logan Stanley D
-0.17
0.00
+0.08
-0.24
0.00
0.00
-0.01
—
19:29
24 Haydn Fleury D
-0.35
0.00
+0.04
-0.41
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
15:30
93 Brad Lambert C
-0.51
0.00
+0.02
-0.52
0.00
-0.01
+0.01
—
10:14
5 Luke Schenn D
-0.57
0.00
+0.01
-0.62
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
9:13
7 Vladislav Namestnikov C
-0.58
0.00
0.00
-0.62
0.00
+0.01
+0.03
—
12:05
9 Alex Iafallo L
-0.73
0.00
+0.01
-0.73
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
13:10
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.