| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 27 |
 |
1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 29 |
No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:28 | |
Alex Newhook (2) Lane Hutson (6), Oliver Kapanen (1) · wrist xG 0.41 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 16:12 | |
David Tomasek (1) Vasily Podkolzin (3), Noah Philp (1) · slap xG 0.03 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:37 | |
Adam Henrique (2) Jake Walman (1), Mattias Ekholm (3) · tip-in xG 0.07 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 13:28 | |
Andrew Mangiapane (3) Darnell Nurse (3), Connor McDavid (8) · snap xG 0.45 | 1–3 ▶ |
| 16:57 | |
Josh Anderson (1) Brendan Gallagher (6), Jake Evans (1) · snap xG 0.32 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 18:00 | |
Cole Caufield (6) Noah Dobson (4), Lane Hutson (7) · wrist xG 0.06 | 3–3 ▶ |
| 18:49 | |
Cole Caufield (7) Nick Suzuki (11), Alexandre Carrier (2) · snap xG 0.10 | 4–3 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:10 | |
Alex Newhook (3) Oliver Kapanen (2), Jayden Struble (2) · snap xG 0.20 | 5–3 ▶ |
| 11:19 | |
Leon Draisaitl (5)PP Connor McDavid (9), Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (4) · snap xG 0.21 | 5–4 ▶ |
| 12:17 | |
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins (5)PP Connor McDavid (10), Evan Bouchard (2) · backhand xG 0.16 | 5–5 ▶ |
| 18:51 | |
Vasily Podkolzin (1) Darnell Nurse (4), Jake Walman (2) · backhand xG 0.13 | 5–6 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| MTL | EDM | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.27 | Expected goals | 3.68 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 3.71 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.96 |
| 62 | Shot attempts | 61 |
| 43 | Unblocked attempts | 44 |
| 27 | Shots on goal | 29 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | MTL | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced EDM 1.79–0.37
In xG over 10 minutes, the start of the 1st to 10:00 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 14:00 | EDM | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced MTL 1.33–0.33
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:00 to 14:00 of the 3rd; goals 2–0 |
| 18:51 | MTL | Goalie | Goalie · Montembeault −2.3 goals saved
6 goals on 3.68 xG, 29 shots on goal |
| 19:33 | MTL | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Montembeault, down 6–5
With 0:27 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Nick Suzuki | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.79 | 1 | 1 | 19:37 |
| 13 | Cole Caufield | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 10 | 0.48 | 0 | 0 | 18:53 |
| 20 | Juraj Slafkovský | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.40 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 |
| 71 | Jake Evans | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.29 | 1 | 2 | 18:29 |
| 17 | Josh Anderson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.32 | 0 | 0 | 16:22 |
| 7 | Brendan Gallagher | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 13:36 |
| 15 | Alex Newhook | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.73 | 2 | 0 | 13:32 |
| 91 | Oliver Kapanen | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 |
| 93 | Ivan Demidov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.22 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 |
| 77 | Kirby Dach | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 10:28 |
| 76 | Zachary Bolduc | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 10:11 |
| 90 | Joseph Veleno | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 09:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 53 | Noah Dobson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 3 | 25:16 |
| 8 | Mike Matheson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.09 | 1 | 0 | 25:11 |
| 45 | Alexandre Carrier | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.27 | 1 | 3 | 23:03 |
| 48 | Lane Hutson | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0.25 | 0 | 2 | 21:02 |
| 3 | Jayden Struble | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 72 | Arber Xhekaj | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 08:49 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Montembeault | 29 | 6 | 23 | .793 | 3.68 | -2.32 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 97 | Connor McDavid | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 0.76 | 0 | 0 | 22:35 |
| 29 | Leon Draisaitl | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.69 | 0 | 0 | 22:23 |
| 93 | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 22 | Matt Savoie | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 15:43 |
| 96 | Jack Roslovic | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 15:12 |
| 26 | Andrew Mangiapane | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.52 | 1 | 1 | 13:50 |
| 92 | Vasily Podkolzin | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 13:26 |
| 19 | Adam Henrique | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 4 | 0.27 | 0 | 2 | 12:51 |
| 15 | Noah Philp | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:25 |
| 10 | Trent Frederic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 10:55 |
| 53 | Isaac Howard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 10:54 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 2 | Evan Bouchard | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 7 | 0.23 | 1 | 3 | 21:47 |
| 96 | Jake Walman | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 3 | 19:51 |
| 25 | Darnell Nurse | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 19:36 |
| 14 | Mattias Ekholm | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 3 | 17:56 |
| 27 | Brett Kulak | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 17:21 |
| 49 | Ty Emberson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 4 | 1 | 16:44 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Pickard | 27 | 5 | 22 | .815 | 4.27 | -0.73 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Cole Caufield R | +3.20 | +1.50 | +0.31 | +1.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:53 |
| 15 Alex Newhook C | +3.02 | +1.50 | +0.48 | +0.90 | +0.15 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:32 |
| 14 Nick Suzuki C | +2.63 | +0.70 | +0.51 | +1.45 | 0.00 | -0.10 | +0.07 | — | 19:37 |
| 48 Lane Hutson D | +2.15 | +1.25 | +0.16 | +0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 21:02 |
| 91 Oliver Kapanen C | +2.07 | +1.25 | 0.00 | +0.81 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 13:10 |
| 45 Alexandre Carrier D | +1.72 | +0.55 | +0.17 | +1.03 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 23:03 |
| 53 Noah Dobson D | +1.72 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 25:16 |
| 47 Jayden Struble D | +1.55 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 14:48 |
| 11 Brendan Gallagher R | +1.55 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:36 |
| 20 Juraj Slafkovský L | +1.52 | 0.00 | +0.26 | +1.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 18:47 |
| 71 Jake Evans C | +1.51 | +0.55 | +0.19 | +0.73 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 18:29 |
| 93 Ivan Demidov R | +1.12 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:06 |
| 8 Mike Matheson D | +1.03 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +1.25 | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 25:11 |
| 17 Josh Anderson R | +0.76 | +0.75 | +0.21 | -0.05 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:22 |
| 76 Zachary Bolduc R | +0.02 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 10:11 |
| 72 Arber Xhekaj D | -0.75 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 8:49 |
| 77 Kirby Dach C | -0.82 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.92 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 10:28 |
| 90 Joseph Veleno C | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:31 |
| 35 Samuel Montembeault G | -2.32 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.32 | 59:33 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97 Connor McDavid C | +2.72 | +1.95 | +0.49 | +0.12 | +0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 22:35 |
| 96 Jake Walman D | +1.68 | +1.25 | +0.11 | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 19:51 |
| 88 Andrew Mangiapane L | +1.47 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.19 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 13:50 |
| 25 Darnell Nurse D | +0.99 | +1.40 | +0.09 | -0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 19:36 |
| 93 Ryan Nugent-Hopkins C | +0.96 | +1.30 | +0.10 | -0.41 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 19:37 |
| 19 Adam Henrique C | +0.83 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.22 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.10 | — | 12:51 |
| 29 Leon Draisaitl C | +0.74 | +0.75 | +0.45 | -0.58 | 0.00 | +0.12 | 0.00 | — | 22:23 |
| 86 David Tomasek R | +0.64 | +0.75 | +0.03 | -0.11 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 14:54 |
| 53 Isaac Howard L | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:54 |
| 49 Ty Emberson D | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 16:44 |
| 92 Vasily Podkolzin R | +0.07 | +1.45 | +0.09 | -1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:26 |
| 28 Jack Roslovic C | -0.12 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:12 |
| 27 Brett Kulak D | -0.61 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 17:21 |
| 30 Calvin Pickard G | -0.73 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.73 | 60:00 |
| 48 Noah Philp C | -0.76 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -1.30 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 12:25 |
| 2 Evan Bouchard D | -0.82 | +0.55 | +0.15 | -1.49 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.11 | — | 21:47 |
| 14 Mattias Ekholm D | -0.88 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -1.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 17:56 |
| 10 Trent Frederic C | -0.97 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -1.02 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 10:55 |
| 22 Matt Savoie C | -1.14 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:43 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.