San Jose SharksSJS 1–3 Final New Jersey DevilsNJD

Friday, October 24, 2025

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
San Jose SharksSJS	1	0	0	1	17
New Jersey DevilsNJD	0	2	1	3	29

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:25	SJS	William Eklund (2)PP Macklin Celebrini (7) · snap xG 0.19	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
0:40	NJD	Dougie Hamilton (2)PP Dawson Mercer (5), Nico Hischier (5) · wrist xG 0.20	1–1 ▶
9:08	NJD	Dougie Hamilton (3)PP Jack Hughes (4), Nico Hischier (6) · slap xG 0.14	1–2 ▶
3rd Period
19:13	NJD	Connor Brown (4)EN Dougie Hamilton (1), Nico Hischier (7) · backhand xG 0.92	1–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SJS 24%Deserve to win76% NJD

SJS		NJD
2.07	Expected goals	4.61
1	Goals (no shootout)	3
1.18	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.54
45	Shot attempts	70
26	Unblocked attempts	46
17	Shots on goal	29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
0:40	NJD	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NJD takes the lead, 63–37% SJS had led since 2:25 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
11:10	SJS	No shift	No shift · Reaves, 12:20 on the bench No shift from 14:22 of the 1st to 12:28 of the 2nd; 3 shifts (1:42) before that
13:20	NJD	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced SJS 1.63–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 10:50 of the 2nd to 0:50 of the 3rd; neither team scored
3rd Period
17:46	SJS	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Askarov, down 2–1 With 2:14 left; NJD scored at 19:13 of the 3rd (1–3)

Shot map

SJS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NJD shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

San Jose Sharks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
71	Macklin Celebrini	0	1	1	-1	4	0.24	2	1	22:07
2	Will Smith	0	0	0	-1	4	0.22	0	0	20:39
21	Alexander Wennberg	0	0	0	-1	0	0.00	0	3	20:35
73	Tyler Toffoli	0	0	0	-1	8	0.05	0	0	19:29
27	William Eklund	1	0	1	-1	4	0.39	0	0	18:19
53	Jeff Skinner	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	0	0	15:08
51	Collin Graf	0	0	0	0	2	0.09	1	1	14:08
10	Ty Dellandrea	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	11:34
96	Philipp Kurashev	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	0	1	11:21
81	Adam Gaudette	0	0	0	0	6	0.73	0	0	11:16
23	Barclay Goodrow	0	0	0	0	1	0.06	0	2	09:54
75	Ryan Reaves	0	0	0	0	1	0.09	3	0	04:53
Defense
27	Timothy Liljegren	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	24:28
9	Dmitry Orlov	0	0	0	-1	2	0.03	0	4	24:25
38	Mario Ferraro	0	0	0	0	4	0.01	1	3	18:46
6	Sam Dickinson	0	0	0	0	1	0.01	1	2	17:20
6	Vincent Iorio	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	14:03
73	Vincent Desharnais	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	1	13:59

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov	28	2	26	.929	3.69	+1.69

New Jersey Devils

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
13	Nico Hischier	0	3	3	+1	7	0.77	0	1	22:03
91	Dawson Mercer	0	1	1	0	8	0.36	1	0	21:58
86	Jack Hughes	0	1	1	0	7	0.59	0	2	21:15
63	Jesper Bratt	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	0	19:14
28	Timo Meier	0	0	0	+1	7	0.19	4	1	17:19
16	Connor Brown	1	0	1	+1	2	0.93	0	0	16:42
81	Arseny Gritsyuk	0	0	0	0	3	0.12	4	0	14:34
47	Paul Cotter	0	0	0	0	6	0.29	2	0	12:47
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	0	3	0.39	2	2	10:52
41	Luke Glendening	0	0	0	0	2	0.04	1	0	10:38
11	Stefan Noesen	0	0	0	0	1	0.11	3	0	07:00
Defense
7	Dougie Hamilton	2	1	3	+1	9	0.53	1	3	25:51
22	Brett Pesce	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	0	2	20:36
43	Luke Hughes	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	1	19:24
71	Jonas Siegenthaler	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	1	17:23
5	Brenden Dillon	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	3	16:42
71	Simon Nemec	0	0	0	0	3	0.02	0	2	12:04

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Jake Allen	17	1	16	.941	2.07	+1.07

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

San Jose Sharks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
30 Yaroslav Askarov G	+1.69	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.69	58:15
72 William Eklund L	+0.93	+0.75	+0.26	-0.06	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	18:19
71 Macklin Celebrini C	+0.88	+0.70	+0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	22:07
6 Sam Dickinson D	+0.44	0.00	0.00	+0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	17:20
9 Dmitry Orlov D	+0.43	0.00	+0.02	+0.42	-0.15	0.00	+0.14	—	24:25
21 Alexander Wennberg C	+0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.16	+0.30	+0.02	+0.11	—	20:35
2 Will Smith C	+0.15	0.00	+0.14	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:39
23 Barclay Goodrow C	+0.13	0.00	+0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	9:54
75 Ryan Reaves R	+0.10	0.00	+0.06	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	4:53
10 Ty Dellandrea C	+0.04	0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	11:34
73 Tyler Toffoli C	+0.04	0.00	+0.03	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:29
81 Adam Gaudette R	0.00	0.00	+0.47	-0.33	-0.15	+0.01	0.00	—	11:16
96 Philipp Kurashev C	-0.05	0.00	+0.08	-0.23	0.00	+0.05	+0.05	—	11:21
37 Timothy Liljegren D	-0.08	0.00	0.00	-0.29	+0.15	0.00	+0.06	—	24:28
22 Vincent Iorio D	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.06	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:03
53 Jeff Skinner L	-0.16	0.00	+0.02	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:08
51 Collin Graf R	-0.18	0.00	+0.06	-0.26	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	14:08
38 Mario Ferraro D	-0.53	0.00	+0.01	-0.67	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	18:46
5 Vincent Desharnais D	-0.77	0.00	0.00	-0.65	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	13:59

New Jersey Devils

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
7 Dougie Hamilton D	+2.44	+2.20	+0.35	-0.20	0.00	0.00	+0.09	—	25:51
13 Nico Hischier C	+2.20	+1.65	+0.50	+0.05	-0.15	+0.08	+0.07	—	22:03
86 Jack Hughes C	+1.36	+0.70	+0.38	+0.20	0.00	-0.02	+0.10	—	21:15
91 Dawson Mercer C	+1.18	+0.70	+0.23	+0.18	+0.15	-0.07	-0.02	—	21:58
34 Jake Allen G	+1.07	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.07	59:51
16 Connor Brown R	+0.97	+0.75	+0.60	-0.21	-0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	16:42
18 Ondrej Palat L	+0.81	0.00	+0.25	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	10:52
43 Luke Hughes D	+0.76	0.00	+0.01	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:24
47 Paul Cotter L	+0.75	0.00	+0.19	+0.42	+0.15	+0.01	-0.02	—	12:47
63 Jesper Bratt L	+0.60	0.00	+0.15	+0.49	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	19:14
81 Arseny Gritsyuk R	+0.25	0.00	+0.08	+0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:34
71 Jonas Siegenthaler D	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	17:23
22 Brett Pesce D	+0.21	0.00	+0.01	+0.08	0.00	0.00	+0.12	—	20:36
11 Stefan Noesen R	+0.16	0.00	+0.07	-0.05	+0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	7:00
17 Simon Nemec D	+0.16	0.00	+0.02	+0.19	-0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	12:04
5 Brenden Dillon D	-0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	16:42
48 Brian Halonen L	-0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:33
28 Timo Meier R	-0.12	0.00	+0.12	-0.28	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	17:19
14 Luke Glendening C	-0.18	0.00	+0.03	-0.18	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	10:38

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.